Madison Keys and Elena Rybakina will fight against each other in the quarter of the Western & Southern Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.64
Madison Keys -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Elena Rybakina
This will be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Elena Rybakina face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Keys won 3-6 6-1 7-6(3) in the 3rd round in at the French Open back in May 2022.
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Madison got to the quarter after beating Yulia Putintseva 7-5 6-3, Jelena Ostapenko 6-4 7-5 and Iga Swiatek 6-3 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Keys had a good straight sets win against Swiatek (6-3 6-4). During the match, Keys scored 66 points vs Swiatek’s 53. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Keys bagged 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Madison Keys lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 63% of her first serves in, winning 66% (23/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the 2nd serve. Keys broke Swiatek 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Madison hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.
Keys has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (259-151). 18-8 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Keys has a compiled 153-90 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in in Adelaide where she beat Alison Riske in the final 6-1 6-2.
Keys has an overall 23-13 win-loss record in 2022, 18-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 0-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, the Kazakhstani reached the quarter after beating Mayar Sherif 6-3 6-2, Garbine Muguruza 6-3 6-1 and Alison Riske 6-2 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Elena had a good straight sets win against Riske (6-2 6-4). During the match Rybakina scored 72 points vs Riske’s 49. Elena was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Rybakina struck 9 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Elena Rybakina lost the serve once. Furthermore, Rybakina put 72% of her first serves in, winning 88% (29/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (6/13) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Riske 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elena hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in at the Wimbledon where she defeated Ons Jabeur in the final 3-6 6-2 6-2.
The Kazakhstani has an overall 32-14 win-loss record in 2022, 14-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 51 |
| Pts | 220-186 | 194-138 |
| Total Points | 406 | 332 |
| Winners | 83 | 69 |
| %Winners | 38% | 36% |
Both Keys and Rybakina played 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Keys and Rybakina have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Keys played 11 games more than Rybakina. Madison scored 83 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani blasted 69 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 7.3 |
| 1st in | 115/184 | 88/145 |
| %1st in | 63% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 83/115 | 69/88 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 39/69 | 30/57 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 53% |
Keys recorded 13 aces (4.3 per match). Rybakina blasted 22 aces (7.3 per match). Keys won 72% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Rybakina won 78% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 14 |
| Converted | 12/34 | 14/31 |
| % Converted | 35% | 45% |
| Conceded | 9 | 10 |
| Saved | 5 | 6 |
| % Saved | 56% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
The American broke her opponents 12 times with a 35% conversion rate. Keys dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 14 times with a 45% conversion rate. Rybakina conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | |||||
| R1 Putintseva |
R2 Ostapenko |
R3 Swiatek |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 22 | 19 | 62 | |
| pts | 67-57 | 87-76 | 66-53 | 220-186 | |
| Total points | 124 | 163 | 119 | 406 | |
| Winners | 27 | 33 | 23 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% | 35% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 2 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 31/56 | 49/72 | 35/56 | 115/184 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 68% | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 27/31 | 33/49 | 23/35 | 83/115 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 67% | 66% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 13/23 | 12/21 | 39/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 57% | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 4/16 | 5/14 | 12/34 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 25% | 36% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 3/5 | 1/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 60% | 33% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Rybakina | |||||
| R1 Sherif |
R2 Muguruza |
R3 Riske |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 16 | 18 | 51 | |
| pts | 58-44 | 64-45 | 72-49 | 194-138 | |
| Total points | 102 | 109 | 121 | 332 | |
| Winners | 24 | 16 | 29 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 25% | 40% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 9 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 32/54 | 23/45 | 33/46 | 88/145 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 51% | 72% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 24/32 | 16/23 | 29/33 | 69/88 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 70% | 88% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 12/22 | 6/13 | 30/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | 46% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 6/10 | 4/13 | 14/31 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 60% | 31% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 50% | 0% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLLW
LLWLLWWWWW Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Evan KingKing – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Kaichi UchidaUchida (2-6 7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Felipe MantillaMantilla – Santiago Fa Rodriguez TavernaFa Rodriguez Taverna (6-2 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Madison KeysKeys – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Caroline GarciaGarcia (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Shuai ZhangZhang (3-1) – H2H and prediction
