Aryna Sabalenka and Shelby Rogers will face off in the 3rd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 8:30 pm on GRAND STAND. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.31
Shelby Rogers -> 3.58
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Shelby Rogers
This will be the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Shelby Rogers face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Sabalenka won 7-6(6) 6-0 in the semifinal in Hertogenbosch back in June 2022.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-6 | 14-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Belarussian reached the 3rd round after beating Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 4-1 ret..
In the 2nd round, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Kalinskaya (6-3 4-1 ret.). During the match, Sabalenka scored 57 points vs Kalinskaya’s 39. Sabalenka was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka scored 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 63% of her first serves in, winning 93% (25/27) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Kalinskaya 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 65% of her matches (252-134). 9-9 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a composed143-70 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
Aryna’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Stuttgart and Hertogenbosch.
Sabalenka has an aggregate 22-16 win-loss record in 2022, 9-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Shelby Rogers
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-14 | 11-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-20 | 13-9 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-23 | 20-12 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-10 | 16-9 | 1-1 | 4-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30 (career-high), the American reached the 3rd round after defeating Sofia Kenin 6-2 6-1 and Amanda Anisimova w/o.
In the 2nd round, Shelby defeated Anisimova (w/o). During the match Rogers and Anisimova scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 7 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Rogers was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
Talking about serving, Rogers wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Shelby Rogers conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Rogers’s best result of the year was getting to the final in San Jose.
The American has an overall 17-16 win-loss record in 2022, 11-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 15 |
| Pts | 57-39 | 57-31 |
| Total Points | 96 | 88 |
| Winners | 25 | 23 |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% |
Both Sabalenka and Rogers played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set more than Rogers (3 vs 2). However, it’s interesting to notice that Sabalenka played 1 game less than Rogers. Aryna scored 25 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Shelby fired 23 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 9 |
| 1st in | 27/43 | 25/39 |
| %1st in | 63% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 25/27 | 23/25 |
| %1st pts | 93% | 92% |
| 2nd pts | 7/16 | 9/14 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 64% |
Sabalenka blasted 2 aces . Rogers recorded 9 aces . Sabalenka won 93% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Rogers won 92% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 4/10 |
| % Converted | 38% | 40% |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 |
| Saved | 3 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Aryna broke her opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Aryna very solid her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points. The American broke her opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R2 Kalinskaya |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 57-39 | 57-39 | |
| Total points | 96 | 96 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 27/43 | 27/43 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 25/27 | 25/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 93% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/16 | 7/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Rogers | ||||
| R1 Kenin |
R2 Anisimova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | – | 15 | |
| pts | 57-31 | – | 57-31 | |
| Total points | 88 | – | 88 | |
| Winners | 23 | – | 23 | |
| %Winners | 40% | – | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | – | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | – | 2 | |
| 1st in | 25/39 | – | 25/39 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | – | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 23/25 | – | 23/25 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | – | 92% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | – | 9/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | – | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | – | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | – | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | – | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | – | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | – | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | – | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWLWLW
WLWLWLWLWL Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Elise MertensMertens – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-75 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sloane StephensStephens (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-73 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Alison RiskeRiske – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (w/o) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Caty McNallyMcNally (6-3 4-6 7-67) – See score progression
- Victoria Azarenka/Ons JabeurAzarenka/Ons Jabeur – Yifan Xu/Zhaoxuan YangXu/Zhaoxuan Yang (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Simona HalepHalep (w/o) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Maria SakkariSakkari (7-62 6-76 6-1) – See score progression
- Shelby RogersRogers – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (w/o) – See score progression
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Facundo MenaMena (5-7 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Thales TuriniTurini – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (6-0 7-67) – See score progression
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Ty TrombettaTrombetta (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Evan KingKing – Ulises BlanchBlanch (6-1 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Kaichi UchidaUchida – Ruben GonzalesGonzales (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Santiago Fa Rodriguez TavernaFa Rodriguez Taverna – Eric QuigleyQuigley (5-7 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-7(3) 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Simona HalepHalep (w/o) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Madison KeysKeys (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alison RiskeRiske – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Ons JabeurJabeur (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Caroline GarciaGarcia (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Shelby RogersRogers (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (1-3) – H2H and prediction
