Daniil Medvedev and Denis Shapovalov will square off in the 3rd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on GRAND STAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.22
Denis Shapovalov -> 4.5
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Denis Shapovalov
This will be the 5th time that Daniil Medvedev and Denis Shapovalov fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Medvedev won 6-4 6-0 in the R in Boston back in 2021.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Denis Shapovalov – Boston 25-September-2021
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-5 | 18-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Russian got to the 3rd round after defeating Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Van De Zandschulp (6-4 7-5). During the match, Medvedev scored 79 points vs Van De Zandschulp’s 64. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev made 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 58% of his first serves in, winning 87% (33/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Daniil broke Van De Zandschulp 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Medvedev has a great match record in the last 10 years having won 70% of his matches (411-172). 21-6 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has an overall 176-60 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Los Cabos where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 7-5 6-0.
Medvedev has an overall 32-11 win-loss record in 2022, 21-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Denis Shapovalov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-15 | 8-6 | 5-2 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, the Canadian reached the 3rd round after beating Grigor Dimitrov 7-64 6-3 and Tommy Paul 3-6 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Paul, Denis recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Shapovalov scored 87 points vs Paul’s 84. The Canadian was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Shapovalov scored 3 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Denis Shapovalov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Shapovalov put 59% of his first serves in, winning 77% (37/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (12/34) on the 2nd serve. Shapovalov broke Paul 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shapovalov has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The Canadian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Dubai.
Shapovalov has a composed 19-17 win-loss record in 2022, 14-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 50 |
| Pts | 79-64 | 158-144 |
| Total Points | 143 | 302 |
| Winners | 33 | 78 |
| %Winners | 42% | 49% |
Medvedev played 1 match while Shapovalov competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Denis Shapovalov conceded 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Medvedev has played 3 set(s) less than Shapovalov (2 vs 5). Therefore, Medvedev played 28 games less than Shapovalov. Daniil scored 33 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Shapovalov managed to score 78 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 38/66 | 95/152 |
| %1st in | 58% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 33/38 | 78/95 |
| %1st pts | 87% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 13/28 | 24/57 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 42% |
Medvedev bagged 7 aces . Shapovalov made 13 aces (6.5 per match). Medvedev won 87% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Shapovalov won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 6 |
| Converted | 3/9 | 6/12 |
| % Converted | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 67% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Medvedev broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Medvedev surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Shapovalov broke his opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||
| R2 Van De Zandschulp |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 79-64 | 79-64 | |
| Total points | 143 | 143 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 38/66 | 38/66 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 33/38 | 33/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/28 | 13/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Shapovalov | ||||
| R1 Dimitrov |
R2 Paul |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 28 | 50 | |
| pts | 71-60 | 87-84 | 158-144 | |
| Total points | 131 | 171 | 302 | |
| Winners | 41 | 37 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 58% | 43% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 3 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 10 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 47/70 | 48/82 | 95/152 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 59% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 41/47 | 37/48 | 78/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 77% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 12/34 | 24/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 35% | 42% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Converted | 1/2 | 5/10 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 3/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 43% | 143% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLWW
WLLLWWLWLL Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Tommy PaulPaul (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Andy MurrayMurray (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-77 7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-5 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Rafael NadalNadal (7-69 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- John IsnerIsner – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-65 6-75 6-2) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Casper RuudRuud (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (4-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (7-63 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-4 6-75 7-5) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (4-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Rafael NadalNadal (7-6(9) 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Borna CoricCoric (4-3) – H2H and prediction
- Marin CilicCilic – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Andrey RublevRublev (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – John IsnerIsner (2-0) – H2H and prediction
