Elise Mertens and Caroline Garcia will square off in the 3rd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:30 pm on STADIUM 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Caroline Garcia who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Caroline Garcia is the pick to win this match.
Caroline Garcia -> 1.79
Elise Mertens -> 2.07
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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Caroline Garcia
This will be the 6th time that Elise Mertens and Caroline Garcia square off. The head to head is 3-2 for Garcia (see full H2H stats), but Mertens has a winning record of 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Mertens won 6-4 6-2 in the 3rd round in Dubai back in 2021.
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-11 | 9-7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-13 | 17-7 | 9-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33, Elise got to the 3rd round after defeating Anhelina Kalinina 6-1 6-1 and Karolina Pliskova 7-63 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Mertens had a good straight sets win against Pliskova (7-63 6-3). During the match, Mertens scored 78 points vs Pliskova’s 57. The Belgian was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mertens scored 8 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Elise Mertens was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (26/36) of her 1st serve and 69% (20/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Elise broke Pliskova 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elise hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 62% of the points she played.
Mertens has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (377-206). 10-9 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Mertens has a compiled 209-99 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Belgian has an aggregate 20-17 win-loss record in 2022, 10-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Caroline Garcia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-10 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-27 | 23-17 | 4-4 | 7-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 21-13 | 11-4 | 4-1 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-26 | 15-14 | 8-6 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-11 | 5-6 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, the French player reached the 3rd round after defeating Diane Parry 4-6 6-3 6-2, Andrea Petkovic 6-2 6-75 6-2, Petra Martic 6-3 6-3 and Maria Sakkari 7-62 6-76 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Garcia defeated Sakkari (7-62 6-76 6-1). During the match Garcia scored 114 points vs Sakkari’s 93. Caroline was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.
About the serving games, Garcia managed to score 11 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Caroline Garcia was pretty efficient on serve to win 84% (46/55) of her 1st serve and 64% (25/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Garcia broke Sakkari 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Bad Homburg where she beat Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 and in in Warsaw where she beat Ana Bogdan in the final 6-4 6-1.
The French player has an overall 31-16 win-loss record in 2022, 7-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2015 and 2018. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mertens | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 107 |
| Pts | 131-82 | 368-303 |
| Total Points | 213 | 671 |
| Winners | 48 | 159 |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% |
Mertens played 2 matches while Garcia competed in 4 matches. Garcia started her run from the qualifications while Mertens had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Caroline Garcia conceded 3 sets while Elise Mertens hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Mertens has played 7 set(s) less than Garcia (4 vs 11). Therefore, Mertens played 71 games less than Garcia. The Belgian scored 48 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The French player scored 159 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mertens | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 38 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 9.5 |
| 1st in | 61/107 | 196/333 |
| %1st in | 57% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 48/61 | 159/196 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 28/46 | 80/137 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 58% |
Mertens made 14 aces (7 per match). Garcia blasted 38 aces (9.5 per match). Mertens won 79% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Garcia won 81% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mertens | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 13 |
| Converted | 8/14 | 13/30 |
| % Converted | 57% | 43% |
| Conceded | 2 | 13 |
| Saved | 0 | 11 |
| % Saved | 0% | 85% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Elise broke her opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Belgian surrendered her serve twice and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. The French player broke her opponents 13 times with a 43% conversion rate. Caroline conceded her serve twice and she saved 85% of the break points that she conceded.
| Mertens | ||||
| R1 Kalinina |
R2 Pliskova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 7-63 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 22 | 36 | |
| pts | 53-25 | 78-57 | 131-82 | |
| Total points | 78 | 135 | 213 | |
| Winners | 22 | 26 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 33% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 25/42 | 36/65 | 61/107 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 55% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 22/25 | 26/36 | 48/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 72% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 20/29 | 28/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 69% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/6 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 50% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Garcia | ||||||
| Q1 Parry |
Q3 Petkovic |
R1 Martic |
R2 Sakkari |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 6-75 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | 7-62 6-76 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 29 | 18 | 33 | 107 | |
| pts | 88-72 | 102-86 | 64-52 | 114-93 | 368-303 | |
| Total points | 160 | 188 | 116 | 207 | 671 | |
| Winners | 33 | 50 | 30 | 46 | 159 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 49% | 47% | 40% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 38 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 39/76 | 62/98 | 40/65 | 55/94 | 196/333 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 63% | 62% | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 33/39 | 50/62 | 30/40 | 46/55 | 159/196 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 81% | 75% | 84% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/37 | 19/36 | 14/25 | 25/39 | 80/137 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 53% | 56% | 64% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/11 | 3/5 | 3/9 | 13/30 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 36% | 60% | 33% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 3/3 | 4/4 | 2/3 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 100% | 67% | 167% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWLLWW
LWWWLLWWWL Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-73 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Alison RiskeRiske – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (w/o) – See score progression
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Caty McNallyMcNally (6-3 4-6 7-67) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sloane StephensStephens (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Victoria Azarenka/Ons JabeurAzarenka/Ons Jabeur – Yifan Xu/Zhaoxuan YangXu/Zhaoxuan Yang (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-75 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Simona HalepHalep (w/o) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Shelby RogersRogers – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (w/o) – See score progression
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Maria SakkariSakkari (7-62 6-76 6-1) – See score progression
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Ty TrombettaTrombetta (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Evan KingKing – Ulises BlanchBlanch (6-1 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Kaichi UchidaUchida – Ruben GonzalesGonzales (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Santiago Fa Rodriguez TavernaFa Rodriguez Taverna – Eric QuigleyQuigley (5-7 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Facundo MenaMena (5-7 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Thales TuriniTurini – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (6-0 7-67) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sloane StephensStephens (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-7(3) 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Simona HalepHalep (w/o) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Madison KeysKeys (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alison RiskeRiske – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Ons JabeurJabeur (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Caroline GarciaGarcia (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Shelby RogersRogers (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (1-3) – H2H and prediction
