Carlos Alcaraz and Marin Cilic will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 9:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.26
Marin Cilic -> 4.05

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Marin Cilic

This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Marin Cilic face off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Alcaraz won 6-4 6-4 in the 3rd round in Miami back in March 2022.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Marin Cilic – Miami 28-March-2022

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Alcaraz reached the 3rd round after defeating Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-3 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Mcdonald (6-3 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 56 points vs Mcdonald’s 38. Carlos was exceptionally aggressive to blast 17 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz recorded 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Carlos Alcaraz was pretty efficient on serve to win 85% (17/20) of his 1st serve and 79% (15/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Carlos broke Mcdonald 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 5 years having won 77% of his matches (154-46). 13-3 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an aggregate41-13 record in the last 5 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Rio de Janeiro where he beat Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Miami where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-5 6-4 and in in Barcelona where he defeated Pablo Carreno-Busta in the final 6-3 6-2 and in in Madrid where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 6-1.

The Spaniard has an overall 43-8 win-loss record in 2022, 13-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Cincinnati
Alcaraz's Record

Marin Cilic

Marin Cilic

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
75
High
3
LWWLWWWLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-20 3-6 11-9 6-3 9-2 0-0
2024 9-11 8-6 0-1 1-4 0-0 0-0
2023 1-1 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 32-21 16-10 9-5 4-5 3-1 0-0
2021 33-23 6-9 5-5 13-7 9-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 17, the Croatian reached the 3rd round after defeating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-3 6-3 and Emil Ruusuvuori 6-4 6-75 7-5.

In the 2nd round, Cilic defeated Ruusuvuori (6-4 6-75 7-5). During the match Cilic scored 122 points vs Ruusuvuori’s 106. The Croatian was extremely aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Talking about serving, Cilic recorded 13 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Marin Cilic lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Cilic put 50% of his first serves in, winning 78% (47/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (27/59) on the 2nd serve. Marin broke Ruusuvuori 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cilic has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Croatian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide,at the French Open and London.

Marin has a compiled 25-14 win-loss record in 2022, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2016. See his history.

Cincinnati
Cilic's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
M.Cilic
1h:05
1h:05
Time on court​
!
4h:48
4h:48
1h:05
1h:05
Last match​
!
3h:17
3h:17
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
17
17
Games Played​
53
53
2
2
Set played​​
5
5
56
56
Total points​
192
192
56
56
Avg point​
96
96
17
17
Winners
80
80
17
17
Avg Winners​
40
40
30%
30%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
20
20
5
5
Avg Aces
10
10
1
1
Double Faults
10
10
1
1
Avg Double Faults
5
5
17/20
17/20
1st won total​
80/104
80/104
!
85%
85%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
15/19
15/19
2nd won total​
34/73
34/73
!
79%
79%
2nd won %
47%
47%
-- Break Points --
4/7
4/7
BP won
10/21
10/21
4/7
4/7
Avg BP won
5/10.5
5/10.5
!
57%
57%
Won
48%
48%
0
0
Conceded
16
16
0
0
Avg Conceded
8
8
0
0
Broken
5
5
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
0
0
Saved
11
11
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Cilic
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 17 53
Pts 56-38 192-163
Total Points 94 355
Winners 17 80
%Winners 30% 42%

Alcaraz played 1 match while Cilic competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Marin Cilic lost 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t dropped a set so far. Alcaraz has played 3 set(s) less than Cilic (2 vs 5). Therefore, Alcaraz played 36 games less than Cilic. Alcaraz scored 17 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Marin scored 80 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Cilic
Aces 5 20
Avg per match 5 10
1st in 20/39 104/177
%1st in 51% 59%
1st pts 17/20 80/104
%1st pts 85% 77%
2nd pts 15/19 34/73
%2nd pts 79% 47%

Alcaraz scored 5 aces . Cilic struck 20 aces (10 per match). Alcaraz won 85% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 79% of the points. On the other side, Cilic won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Cilic
Won 4 10
Converted 4/7 10/21
% Converted 57% 48%
Conceded 0 16
Saved 0 11
% Saved 0% 69%
Times Broken 0 5

The Spaniard broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Spaniard was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Marin broke his opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. Marin conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R2
Mcdonald		 Total
Score 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 56-38 56-38
Total points 94 94
Winners 17 17
%Winners 30% 30%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 20/39 20/39
% 1st in 51% 51%
1st pts 17/20 17/20
% 1st pts 85% 85%
2nd pts 15/19 15/19
% 2nd pts 79% 79%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/7 4/7
Converted % 57% 57%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % – 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Cilic
R1
Munar Clar		 R2
Ruusuvuori		 Total
Score 6-3 6-3 6-4 6-75 7-5
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 18 35 53
pts 70-57 122-106 192-163
Total points 127 228 355
Winners 33 47 80
%Winners 47% 39% 42%
SERVE
Aces 7 13 20
Double Faults 0 10 10
1st in 44/58 60/119 104/177
% 1st in 76% 50% 59%
1st pts 33/44 47/60 80/104
% 1st pts 75% 78% 77%
2nd pts 7/14 27/59 34/73
% 2nd pts 50% 46% 47%
Breaks
Won 3 7 10
Converted 3/11 7/10 10/21
Converted % 27% 70% 48%
Conceded 5 11 16
Saved 5/5 6/11 11
Saved % 100% 55% 155%
Times Broken 0 5 5

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

Upcoming matches in the draw

Alcaraz
More Stats
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Cilic

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