
Denis Shapovalov and Tommy Paul will play each other in the 2nd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on Grand Stand. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.59
Denis Shapovalov -> 2.36
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Tommy Paul
This will be the 3rd time that Denis Shapovalov and Tommy Paul square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Paul won 6-4 2-6 6-4 in the 1st round in London back in June 2022.
Denis Shapovalov
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 13-9 | 7-6 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, the Canadian got to the 2nd round after beating Grigor Dimitrov 7-64 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Dimitrov (7-64 6-3). During the match, Shapovalov scored 71 points vs Dimitrov’s 60. Shapovalov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Shapovalov scored 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Denis Shapovalov was very efficient on serve to win 87% (41/47) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Denis broke Dimitrov once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).
Shapovalov has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (247-160). 13-8 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shapovalov has an aggregate109-69 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Shapovalov’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Dubai.
Denis has an aggregate 18-17 win-loss record in 2022, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Tommy Paul
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 17-7 | 10-4 | 4-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31 (career-high), Tommy got to the 2nd round after defeating Jenson Brooksby 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round, Tommy had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (6-3 6-2). During the match Paul scored 57 points vs Brooksby’s 39. The American was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Paul struck 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tommy Paul was quite efficient on serve to win 88% (21/24) of his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Paul broke Brooksby 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Paul’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.
The American has an aggregate 29-20 win-loss record in 2022, 19-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Shapovalov | Paul |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
Tot Games | 22 | 17 |
Pts | 71-60 | 57-39 |
Total Points | 131 | 96 |
Winners | 41 | 21 |
%Winners | 58% | 37% |
Both Shapovalov and Paul played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shapovalov and Paul have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Shapovalov played 5 games more than Paul. Shapovalov scored 41 winners (58% of the total points). On the other side, Paul scored 21 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Shapovalov | Paul |
---|---|---|
Aces | 10 | 3 |
Avg per match | 10 | 3 |
1st in | 47/70 | 24/49 |
%1st in | 67% | 49% |
1st pts | 41/47 | 21/24 |
%1st pts | 87% | 88% |
2nd pts | 12/23 | 16/25 |
%2nd pts | 52% | 64% |
Shapovalov bagged 10 aces . Paul fired 3 aces . Shapovalov won 87% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 88% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Shapovalov | Paul |
---|---|---|
Won | 1 | 3 |
Converted | 1/2 | 3/9 |
% Converted | 50% | 33% |
Conceded | 2 | 0 |
Saved | 2 | 0 |
% Saved | 100% | 0% |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The Canadian broke his opponent once with a 50% conversion rate. Denis had a solid display on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 2 break points. Paul broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Tommy was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
Shapovalov | |||
R1 Dimitrov |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-64 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
pts | 71-60 | 71-60 | |
Total points | 131 | 131 | |
Winners | 41 | 41 | |
%Winners | 58% | 58% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 10 | 10 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
1st in | 47/70 | 47/70 | |
% 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
1st pts | 41/47 | 41/47 | |
% 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
2nd pts | 12/23 | 12/23 | |
% 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 1 | 1 | |
Converted | 1/2 | 1/2 | |
Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Paul | |||
R1 Brooksby |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
pts | 57-39 | 57-39 | |
Total points | 96 | 96 | |
Winners | 21 | 21 | |
%Winners | 37% | 37% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 3 | 3 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
1st in | 24/49 | 24/49 | |
% 1st in | 49% | 49% | |
1st pts | 21/24 | 21/24 | |
% 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
2nd pts | 16/25 | 16/25 | |
% 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 3 | 3 | |
Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
Saved % | – | 0% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Head 2 Head



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