H2H, PREDICTION Denis Shapovalov vs Tommy Paul | Cincinnati odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Cincinnati. Shapovalov and Paul will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Western & Southern Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Tommy Paul

Denis Shapovalov and Tommy Paul will play each other in the 2nd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on Grand Stand. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.59
Denis Shapovalov -> 2.36

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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Tommy Paul

This will be the 3rd time that Denis Shapovalov and Tommy Paul square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Paul won 6-4 2-6 6-4 in the 1st round in London back in June 2022.

Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov
Denis Shapovalov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
30
High
10
LWLLLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 13-9 7-6 1-3 5-0 0-0 0-0
2024 33-25 9-10 5-6 16-6 3-3 0-0
2023 13-13 6-6 3-3 0-1 4-3 0-0
2022 34-26 22-12 4-4 7-6 1-4 0-0
2021 30-23 11-11 7-6 4-3 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 21, the Canadian got to the 2nd round after beating Grigor Dimitrov 7-64 6-3.

In the 1st round, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Dimitrov (7-64 6-3). During the match, Shapovalov scored 71 points vs Dimitrov’s 60. Shapovalov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Shapovalov scored 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Denis Shapovalov was very efficient on serve to win 87% (41/47) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Denis broke Dimitrov once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).

Shapovalov has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (247-160). 13-8 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shapovalov has an aggregate109-69 record in the last 8 years on hard.

Shapovalov’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Dubai.

Denis has an aggregate 18-17 win-loss record in 2022, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Shapovalov
Cincinnati
Shapovalov's Record

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
12
High
9
LWWLWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-7 10-4 4-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2024 45-20 17-12 10-4 8-2 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 31 (career-high), Tommy got to the 2nd round after defeating Jenson Brooksby 6-3 6-2.

In the 1st round, Tommy had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (6-3 6-2). During the match Paul scored 57 points vs Brooksby’s 39. The American was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about serving, Paul struck 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tommy Paul was quite efficient on serve to win 88% (21/24) of his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Paul broke Brooksby 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Paul’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.

The American has an aggregate 29-20 win-loss record in 2022, 19-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017 and 2021. See his history.

Paul
Cincinnati
Paul's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament

D.Shapovalov
T.Paul
1h:28
1h:28
Time on court​
1h:09
1h:09
1h:28
1h:28
Last match​
1h:09
1h:09
1
1
Match played
1
1
22
22
Games Played​
17
17
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
71
71
Total points​
57
57
71
71
Avg point​
57
57
41
41
Winners
21
21
41
41
Avg Winners​
21
21
58%
58%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
3
3
10
10
Avg Aces
3
3
4
4
Double Faults
2
2
4
4
Avg Double Faults
2
2
41/47
41/47
1st won total​
21/24
21/24
!
87%
87%
1st won %
!
88%
88%
12/23
12/23
2nd won total​
16/25
16/25
52%
52%
2nd won %
!
64%
64%
-- Break Points --
1/2
1/2
BP won
3/9
3/9
1/2
1/2
Avg BP won
3/9
3/9
50%
50%
Won
33%
33%
2
2
Conceded
0
0
2
2
Avg Conceded
0
0
0
0
Broken
0
0
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0
0
2
2
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Shapovalov Paul
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 17
Pts 71-60 57-39
Total Points 131 96
Winners 41 21
%Winners 58% 37%

Both Shapovalov and Paul played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shapovalov and Paul have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Shapovalov played 5 games more than Paul. Shapovalov scored 41 winners (58% of the total points). On the other side, Paul scored 21 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Shapovalov Paul
Aces 10 3
Avg per match 10 3
1st in 47/70 24/49
%1st in 67% 49%
1st pts 41/47 21/24
%1st pts 87% 88%
2nd pts 12/23 16/25
%2nd pts 52% 64%

Shapovalov bagged 10 aces . Paul fired 3 aces . Shapovalov won 87% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 88% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Shapovalov Paul
Won 1 3
Converted 1/2 3/9
% Converted 50% 33%
Conceded 2 0
Saved 2 0
% Saved 100% 0%
Times Broken 0 0

The Canadian broke his opponent once with a 50% conversion rate. Denis had a solid display on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 2 break points. Paul broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Tommy was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Shapovalov
R1
Dimitrov
Total
Score 7-64 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 22
pts 71-60 71-60
Total points 131 131
Winners 41 41
%Winners 58% 58%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 47/70 47/70
% 1st in 67% 67%
1st pts 41/47 41/47
% 1st pts 87% 87%
2nd pts 12/23 12/23
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 1 1
Converted 1/2 1/2
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Paul
R1
Brooksby
Total
Score 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 57-39 57-39
Total points 96 96
Winners 21 21
%Winners 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 24/49 24/49
% 1st in 49% 49%
1st pts 21/24 21/24
% 1st pts 88% 88%
2nd pts 16/25 16/25
% 2nd pts 64% 64%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/9 3/9
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Shapovalov
LWLLLWLWLW
Paul
LWWLWWLWLW
2025 2024 2023
13 - 9
17 - 7
7-6
Hard
10-4
5-0
I Hard
3-1
1-3
Clay
4-2

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

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