Hubert Hurkacz and Pablo Carreno-Busta will square off in the final of the National Bank Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hubert Hurkacz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hubert Hurkacz is the pick to win this match.
Hubert Hurkacz -> 1.54
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 2.55
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Prediction and head to head Hubert Hurkacz vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
This will be the 4th time that Hubert Hurkacz and Pablo Carreno-Busta play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Hurkacz won 7-6(2) 6-3 in the final in Metz back in 2021.
Highlights Hubert Hurkacz vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – Metz 26-September-2021
Hubert Hurkacz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-13 | 11-6 | 14-4 | 4-2 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-24 | 23-11 | 5-5 | 13-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-21 | 18-9 | 9-4 | 9-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-23 | 22-9 | 1-4 | 8-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-13 | 8-5 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Hubert got to the final after beating Emil Ruusuvuori 6-3 6-74 6-2, Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-76 6-2 7-63, Nick Kyrgios 7-64 6-75 6-1 and Casper Ruud 5-7 6-3 6-2.
In the semifinal against Ruud, Hubert recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-2). During the match, Hurkacz scored 90 points vs Ruud’s 85. Hubert was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Hurkacz recorded 18 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Hubert Hurkacz lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Hurkacz put 53% of his first serves in, winning 81% (42/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (20/47) on the 2nd serve. The Pole broke Ruud 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole has conceded 4 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Hurkacz has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (298-182). 17-6 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Hurkacz has an aggregate145-66 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title in in Halle where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-1 6-4.
Hurkacz has a composed 32-13 win-loss record in 2022, 17-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 9-5 | 4-2 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, Carreno-Busta reached the final after beating Matteo Berrettini 6-3 6-2, Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 6-0 6-3, Jannik Sinner 6-2 6-4, Jack Draper 7-64 6-1 and Daniel Evans 7-5 6-77 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Spaniard defeated Evans (7-5 6-77 6-2). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 112 points vs Evans’s 98. Carreno-Busta was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.
About the serving games, Carreno-Busta bagged 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 62% of his first serves in, winning 79% (49/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (19/38) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Evans 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Pablo’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Barcelona.
Pablo has a composed 27-17 win-loss record in 2022, 14-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017 and 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Hurkacz | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 12 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 126 | 103 |
| Pts | 407-364 | 368-274 |
| Total Points | 771 | 642 |
| Winners | 193 | 153 |
| %Winners | 47% | 42% |
Hurkacz played 4 matches while Carreno-Busta competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hubert Hurkacz conceded 4 sets, while Pablo Carreno-Busta lost 1 set. Hurkacz has played 1 set more than Carreno-Busta (12 vs 11). Therefore, Hurkacz played 23 games more than Carreno-Busta. Hubert scored 193 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Carreno-Busta recorded 153 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Hurkacz | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 77 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 19.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st in | 242/409 | 200/303 |
| %1st in | 59% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 193/242 | 153/200 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 87/167 | 63/103 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 61% |
Hurkacz blasted 77 aces (19.3 per match). Carreno-Busta fired 16 aces (3.2 per match). Hurkacz won 80% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Hurkacz | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 19 |
| Converted | 14/27 | 19/42 |
| % Converted | 52% | 45% |
| Conceded | 24 | 6 |
| Saved | 19 | 3 |
| % Saved | 79% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 |
Hurkacz broke his opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Hurkacz dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Pablo broke his opponents 19 times with a 45% conversion rate. Pablo conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Hurkacz | ||||||
| R2 Ruusuvuori |
R3 Ramos-Vinolas |
1/4 Kyrgios |
1/2 Ruud |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-74 6-2 | 6-76 6-2 7-63 | 7-64 6-75 6-1 | 5-7 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 34 | 33 | 29 | 126 | |
| pts | 105-91 | 103-93 | 109-95 | 90-85 | 407-364 | |
| Total points | 196 | 196 | 204 | 175 | 771 | |
| Winners | 48 | 51 | 52 | 42 | 193 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 50% | 48% | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 16 | 23 | 20 | 18 | 77 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 63/103 | 66/108 | 61/99 | 52/99 | 242/409 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | 62% | 53% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 48/63 | 51/66 | 52/61 | 42/52 | 193/242 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 77% | 85% | 81% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/40 | 19/42 | 24/38 | 20/47 | 87/167 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 45% | 63% | 43% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/4 | 2/6 | 5/8 | 14/27 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 100% | 33% | 63% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 24 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 3/5 | 6/6 | 5/8 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 60% | 100% | 63% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | |
| Carreno-Busta | |||||||
| R1 Berrettini |
R2 Vitus Nodskov Rune |
R3 Sinner |
1/4 Draper |
1/2 Evans |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-0 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | 7-64 6-1 | 7-5 6-77 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 33 | 103 | |
| pts | 66-42 | 55-28 | 58-45 | 77-61 | 112-98 | 368-274 | |
| Total points | 108 | 83 | 103 | 138 | 210 | 642 | |
| Winners | 25 | 23 | 25 | 31 | 49 | 153 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% | 43% | 40% | 44% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 33/47 | 29/38 | 32/49 | 44/69 | 62/100 | 200/303 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 76% | 65% | 64% | 62% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 23/29 | 25/32 | 31/44 | 49/62 | 153/200 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 79% | 78% | 70% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/14 | 6/9 | 12/17 | 15/25 | 19/38 | 63/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 67% | 71% | 60% | 50% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/9 | 3/5 | 3/13 | 5/8 | 19/42 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 56% | 60% | 23% | 63% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 2/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | – | – | 50% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (1-2) – H2H and prediction
