Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Thiago Agustin Tirante will play each other in the final of the Lima Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.72
Thiago Agustin Tirante -> 2.07
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante
This will be the 2nd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Thiago Agustin Tirante fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Agustin Tirante (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Agustin Tirante won 6-2 6-1
in the 2nd round in the Heilbronn Challenger back in May 2022.Camilo Ugo Carabelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-29 | 5-9 | 27-14 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 121, the Argentine reached the final after beating Nicolas Mejia 6-2 6-3, Alejandro Hoyos 6-1 6-1, Facundo Mena 7-64 6-1 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3 3-6 7-5.
In the semifinal, The Argentine defeated Martin Etcheverry (6-3 3-6 7-5). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 96 points vs Martin Etcheverry’s 93. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli blasted 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 59% of his first serves in, winning 60% (34/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (23/39) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Martin Etcheverry 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 64% of his matches (238-134). 27-12 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has a compiled211-113 record in the last 7 years on clay.
Camilo’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger and the Buenos Aires 2 Challenger.
The Argentine has an aggregate 30-16 win-loss record in 2022, 27-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lima Challenger
Thiago Agustin Tirante
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 50-33 | 14-7 | 35-22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-30 | 5-4 | 26-22 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-31 | 13-10 | 29-19 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-31 | 2-4 | 25-26 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-23 | 8-4 | 27-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 197, the Argentine got to the final after defeating Conner Huertas Del Pino 6-3 6-2, Nick Chappell 6-4 6-0, Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 6-3 and Gonzalo Bueno 7-65 4-6 7-5.
In the semifinal, Agustin Tirante defeated Bueno (7-65 4-6 7-5).During the match Agustin Tirante scored less points (7) than Bueno. In fact, the world no. 121 won 125 points vs Bueno’s. That means that Agustin Tirante was more focused during the important points. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 46 winners.
About the serving games, Agustin Tirante scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Thiago Agustin Tirante lost the serve 5 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Agustin Tirante put 64% of his first serves in, winning 57% (46/81) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (25/46) on the 2nd serve. Thiago broke Bueno 5 times after converting 28% of his break points (5/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Thiago has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Thiago’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Troyes Challenger and the Lima Challenger.
Thiago has a composed 21-18 win-loss record in 2022, 19-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lima Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Agustin Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 81 | 87 |
| Pts | 295-224 | 325-277 |
| Total Points | 519 | 602 |
| Winners | 111 | 140 |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Agustin Tirante played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped 1 set, while Thiago Agustin Tirante dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Ugo Carabelli and Agustin Tirante have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Ugo Carabelli played 6 games less than Agustin Tirante. The Argentine scored 111 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine fired 140 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Agustin Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st in | 157/249 | 201/296 |
| %1st in | 63% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 111/157 | 140/201 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 51/92 | 48/95 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 51% |
Ugo Carabelli made 6 aces (1.5 per match). Agustin Tirante blasted 7 aces (1.8 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 71% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Agustin Tirante won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Agustin Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 16 |
| Converted | 20/40 | 16/38 |
| % Converted | 50% | 42% |
| Conceded | 21 | 20 |
| Saved | 14 | 14 |
| % Saved | 67% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 6 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 20 times with a 50% conversion rate. Camilo dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 16 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | ||||||
| R1 Mejia | R2 Hoyos | 1/4 Mena | 1/2 Martin Etcheverry | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-1 6-1 | 7-64 6-1 | 6-3 3-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 14 | 20 | 30 | 81 | |
| pts | 65-42 | 54-27 | 80-62 | 96-93 | 295-224 | |
| Total points | 107 | 81 | 142 | 189 | 519 | |
| Winners | 26 | 24 | 27 | 34 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% | 34% | 35% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 35/52 | 27/41 | 38/60 | 57/96 | 157/249 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 66% | 63% | 59% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 24/27 | 27/38 | 34/57 | 111/157 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 89% | 71% | 60% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 7/14 | 14/22 | 23/39 | 51/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 50% | 64% | 59% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/8 | 4/13 | 5/9 | 20/40 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 63% | 31% | 56% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 21 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 2/2 | 3/4 | 5/9 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 75% | 56% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |
| Agustin Tirante | ||||||
| R1 Huertas Del Pino | R2 Chappell | 1/4 Pablo Patino-Samudio | 1/2 Bueno | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-0 | 6-4 6-3 | 7-65 4-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 16 | 19 | 35 | 87 | |
| pts | 63-44 | 65-44 | 72-57 | 125-132 | 325-277 | |
| Total points | 107 | 109 | 129 | 257 | 602 | |
| Winners | 34 | 28 | 32 | 46 | 140 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 43% | 44% | 37% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 39/55 | 37/50 | 44/64 | 81/127 | 201/296 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 74% | 69% | 64% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 34/39 | 28/37 | 32/44 | 46/81 | 140/201 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 76% | 73% | 57% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/16 | 8/13 | 9/20 | 25/46 | 48/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 62% | 45% | 54% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 4/8 | 4/6 | 5/18 | 16/38 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 67% | 28% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 20 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/1 | 4/5 | 9/14 | 14 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 80% | 64% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez Serrano – Eduardo RibeiroRibeiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction