Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Thiago Agustin Tirante will play each other in the final of the Lima Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.72
Thiago Agustin Tirante -> 2.07

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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante

This will be the 2nd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Thiago Agustin Tirante fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Agustin Tirante (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Agustin Tirante won 6-2 6-1

in the 2nd round in the Heilbronn Challenger back in May 2022.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
49
High
43
LWLLLWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-29 5-9 27-14 1-3 0-3 0-0
2024 58-30 6-5 52-24 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 41-26 0-2 41-24 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 39-24 3-4 36-19 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 43-24 4-2 39-22 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 121, the Argentine reached the final after beating Nicolas Mejia 6-2 6-3, Alejandro Hoyos 6-1 6-1, Facundo Mena 7-64 6-1 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3 3-6 7-5.

In the semifinal, The Argentine defeated Martin Etcheverry (6-3 3-6 7-5). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 96 points vs Martin Etcheverry’s 93. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli blasted 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 59% of his first serves in, winning 60% (34/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (23/39) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Martin Etcheverry 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 64% of his matches (238-134). 27-12 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has a compiled211-113 record in the last 7 years on clay.

Camilo’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger and the Buenos Aires 2 Challenger.

The Argentine has an aggregate 30-16 win-loss record in 2022, 27-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lima Challenger

Lima Challenger
Ugo Carabelli's Record

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Thiago Agustin Tirante

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
101
High
90
LLLWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 50-33 14-7 35-22 1-3 0-1 0-0
2024 35-30 5-4 26-22 3-3 1-1 0-0
2023 43-31 13-10 29-19 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 28-31 2-4 25-26 0-0 1-1 0-0
2021 35-23 8-4 27-19 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 197, the Argentine got to the final after defeating Conner Huertas Del Pino 6-3 6-2, Nick Chappell 6-4 6-0, Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 6-3 and Gonzalo Bueno 7-65 4-6 7-5.

In the semifinal, Agustin Tirante defeated Bueno (7-65 4-6 7-5).During the match Agustin Tirante scored less points (7) than Bueno. In fact, the world no. 121 won 125 points vs Bueno’s. That means that Agustin Tirante was more focused during the important points. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 46 winners.

About the serving games, Agustin Tirante scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Thiago Agustin Tirante lost the serve 5 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Agustin Tirante put 64% of his first serves in, winning 57% (46/81) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (25/46) on the 2nd serve. Thiago broke Bueno 5 times after converting 28% of his break points (5/18).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Thiago has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Thiago’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Troyes Challenger and the Lima Challenger.

Thiago has a composed 21-18 win-loss record in 2022, 19-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lima Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2020. See his history.

Lima Challenger
Agustin Tirante's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Ugo Carabelli
T.Agustin Tirante
6h:58
6h:58
Time on court​
7h:36
7h:36
!
2h:47
2h:47
Last match​
!
3h:14
3h:14
4
4
Match played
4
4
81
81
Games Played​
87
87
9
9
Set played​​
9
9
295
295
Total points​
325
325
73.8
73.8
Avg point​
81.3
81.3
111
111
Winners
140
140
27.8
27.8
Avg Winners​
35
35
38%
38%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
7
7
1.5
1.5
Avg Aces
1.8
1.8
14
14
Double Faults
5
5
3.5
3.5
Avg Double Faults
1.3
1.3
111/157
111/157
1st won total​
140/201
140/201
!
71%
71%
1st won %
70%
70%
51/92
51/92
2nd won total​
48/95
48/95
55%
55%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
20/40
20/40
BP won
16/38
16/38
5/10
5/10
Avg BP won
4/9.5
4/9.5
50%
50%
Won
42%
42%
21
21
Conceded
20
20
5.3
5.3
Avg Conceded
5
5
7
7
Broken
6
6
1.8
1.8
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
14
14
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ugo Carabelli Agustin Tirante
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 9 9
Tot Games 81 87
Pts 295-224 325-277
Total Points 519 602
Winners 111 140
%Winners 38% 43%

Both Ugo Carabelli and Agustin Tirante played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped 1 set, while Thiago Agustin Tirante dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Ugo Carabelli and Agustin Tirante have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Ugo Carabelli played 6 games less than Agustin Tirante. The Argentine scored 111 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine fired 140 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ugo Carabelli Agustin Tirante
Aces 6 7
Avg per match 1.5 1.8
1st in 157/249 201/296
%1st in 63% 68%
1st pts 111/157 140/201
%1st pts 71% 70%
2nd pts 51/92 48/95
%2nd pts 55% 51%

Ugo Carabelli made 6 aces (1.5 per match). Agustin Tirante blasted 7 aces (1.8 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 71% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Agustin Tirante won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ugo Carabelli Agustin Tirante
Won 20 16
Converted 20/40 16/38
% Converted 50% 42%
Conceded 21 20
Saved 14 14
% Saved 67% 70%
Times Broken 7 6

The Argentine broke his opponents 20 times with a 50% conversion rate. Camilo dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 16 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Ugo Carabelli
R1
Mejia
R2
Hoyos
1/4
Mena
1/2
Martin Etcheverry
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-1 6-1 7-64 6-1 6-3 3-6 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 9
Tot Games 17 14 20 30 81
pts 65-42 54-27 80-62 96-93 295-224
Total points 107 81 142 189 519
Winners 26 24 27 34 111
%Winners 40% 44% 34% 35% 38%
SERVE
Aces 2 2 0 2 6
Double Faults 3 3 3 5 14
1st in 35/52 27/41 38/60 57/96 157/249
% 1st in 67% 66% 63% 59% 63%
1st pts 26/35 24/27 27/38 34/57 111/157
% 1st pts 74% 89% 71% 60% 71%
2nd pts 7/17 7/14 14/22 23/39 51/92
% 2nd pts 41% 50% 64% 59% 55%
Breaks
Won 6 5 4 5 20
Converted 6/10 5/8 4/13 5/9 20/40
Converted % 60% 63% 31% 56% 50%
Conceded 6 2 4 9 21
Saved 4/6 2/2 3/4 5/9 14
Saved % 67% 100% 75% 56% 75%
Times Broken 2 0 1 4 7
Agustin Tirante
R1
Huertas Del Pino
R2
Chappell
1/4
Pablo Patino-Samudio
1/2
Bueno
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-0 6-4 6-3 7-65 4-6 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 9
Tot Games 17 16 19 35 87
pts 63-44 65-44 72-57 125-132 325-277
Total points 107 109 129 257 602
Winners 34 28 32 46 140
%Winners 54% 43% 44% 37% 43%
SERVE
Aces 4 1 1 1 7
Double Faults 1 0 1 3 5
1st in 39/55 37/50 44/64 81/127 201/296
% 1st in 71% 74% 69% 64% 68%
1st pts 34/39 28/37 32/44 46/81 140/201
% 1st pts 87% 76% 73% 57% 70%
2nd pts 6/16 8/13 9/20 25/46 48/95
% 2nd pts 38% 62% 45% 54% 51%
Breaks
Won 3 4 4 5 16
Converted 3/6 4/8 4/6 5/18 16/38
Converted % 50% 50% 67% 28% 42%
Conceded 0 1 5 14 20
Saved 0/0 1/1 4/5 9/14 14
Saved % 100% 80% 64% 61%
Times Broken 0 0 1 5 6

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo CarabelliThiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (0-1) – H2H and prediction
  • Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez SerranoEduardo RibeiroRibeiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction