Pablo Carreno-Busta and Daniel Evans will fight against each other in the semifinal of the National Bank Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 8:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.44
Daniel Evans -> 2.875
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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Daniel Evans
There is no head to head record between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Daniel Evans since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 9-5 | 4-2 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, Carreno-Busta reached the semifinal after defeating Matteo Berrettini 6-3 6-2, Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 6-0 6-3, Jannik Sinner 6-2 6-4 and Jack Draper 7-64 6-1.
In the quarter, Pablo had a good straight sets win against Draper (7-64 6-1). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 77 points vs Draper’s 61. Pablo was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Carreno-Busta scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 64% of his first serves in, winning 70% (31/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the 2nd serve. Carreno-Busta broke Draper 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Carreno-Busta has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (395-220). 13-5 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Carreno-Busta has a composed 125-70 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Carreno-Busta’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Barcelona.
Carreno-Busta has a composed 26-17 win-loss record in 2022, 13-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Daniel Evans
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-18 | 3-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-27 | 11-15 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 6-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-24 | 12-11 | 6-6 | 3-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-14 | 11-6 | 0-3 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 39, the Brit reached the semifinal after defeating Filip Krajinovic 6-2 1-6 6-0, Andrey Rublev 6-4 6-4, Taylor Harry Fritz 7-65 1-6 7-5 and Tommy Paul 1-6 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter against Paul, Daniel recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-4).During the match Evans scored less points (3) than Paul. In fact, the world no. 23 won 85 points vs Paul’s. That means that Evans was more focused during the important points. Daniel was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Evans struck 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Daniel Evans lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Evans put 64% of his first serves in, winning 75% (45/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (14/34) on the 2nd serve. Daniel broke Paul twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniel has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The Brit’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Nottingham Challenger.
Evans has a composed 24-17 win-loss record in 2022, 14-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carreno-Busta | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 70 | 99 |
| Pts | 256-176 | 331-306 |
| Total Points | 432 | 637 |
| Winners | 104 | 155 |
| %Winners | 41% | 47% |
Both Carreno-Busta and Evans played 4 matches. At the moment, Daniel Evans lost 3 sets while Pablo Carreno-Busta hasn’t lost a set so far. Carreno-Busta has played 3 set(s) less than Evans (8 vs 11). Therefore, Carreno-Busta played 29 games less than Evans. Pablo scored 104 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit made 155 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carreno-Busta | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 4.8 |
| 1st in | 138/203 | 209/329 |
| %1st in | 68% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 104/138 | 155/209 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 44/65 | 54/120 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 45% |
Carreno-Busta recorded 10 aces (2.5 per match). Evans made 19 aces (4.8 per match). Carreno-Busta won 75% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Evans won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carreno-Busta | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 13 |
| Converted | 14/34 | 13/32 |
| % Converted | 41% | 41% |
| Conceded | 2 | 36 |
| Saved | 1 | 26 |
| % Saved | 50% | 72% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 10 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 14 times with a 41% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta surrendered his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Daniel broke his opponents 13 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carreno-Busta | ||||||
| R1 Berrettini |
R2 Vitus Nodskov Rune |
R3 Sinner |
1/4 Draper |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-0 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | 7-64 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 70 | |
| pts | 66-42 | 55-28 | 58-45 | 77-61 | 256-176 | |
| Total points | 108 | 83 | 103 | 138 | 432 | |
| Winners | 25 | 23 | 25 | 31 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% | 43% | 40% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/47 | 29/38 | 32/49 | 44/69 | 138/203 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 76% | 65% | 64% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 23/29 | 25/32 | 31/44 | 104/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 79% | 78% | 70% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/14 | 6/9 | 12/17 | 15/25 | 44/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 67% | 71% | 60% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/9 | 3/5 | 3/13 | 14/34 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 56% | 60% | 23% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | – | – | – | 50% | 13% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Evans | ||||||
| R1 Krajinovic |
R2 Rublev |
R3 Fritz |
1/4 Paul |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 1-6 6-0 | 6-4 6-4 | 7-65 1-6 7-5 | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 99 | |
| pts | 75-62 | 65-51 | 106-105 | 85-88 | 331-306 | |
| Total points | 137 | 116 | 211 | 173 | 637 | |
| Winners | 24 | 33 | 53 | 45 | 155 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 51% | 50% | 53% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 35/63 | 39/57 | 75/115 | 60/94 | 209/329 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 68% | 65% | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 24/35 | 33/39 | 53/75 | 45/60 | 155/209 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 85% | 71% | 75% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 8/18 | 17/40 | 14/34 | 54/120 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 44% | 43% | 41% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 3/5 | 3/9 | 2/4 | 13/32 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 60% | 33% | 50% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 36 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 3/4 | 12/17 | 6/8 | 26 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 75% | 71% | 75% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLL
LLLWWLWLLL Tennis Scores in Montreal
- Hubert Hurkacz/Jan ZielinskiHurkacz/Jan Zielinski – Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski – Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara (4-6 6-3 10-8) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Tommy PaulPaul (1-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (7-64 6-75 6-1) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Jack DraperDraper (7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Daniel EvansEvans (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
