Pablo Carreno-Busta and Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune will square off in the 2nd round of the National Bank Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on Court 5. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune -> 1.88
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.92
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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
This will be the 3rd time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Carreno-Busta won 6-3 7-6(5) in the 1st round in Halle back in June 2022.
Highlights Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune – Halle 13-June-2022
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-28 | 25-10 | 14-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, the Spaniard got to the 2nd round after beating Matteo Berrettini 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round, Pablo had a good straight sets win against Berrettini (6-3 6-2). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 66 points vs Berrettini’s 42. Pablo was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Carreno-Busta scored 4 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (25/33) of his 1st serve and 79% (11/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Carreno-Busta broke Berrettini 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Carreno-Busta has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (392-220). 10-5 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Carreno-Busta has an aggregate 122-70 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Pablo’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Barcelona.
The Spaniard has an overall 23-17 win-loss record in 2022, 10-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|
Ranked no. 26 (career-high), Holger got to the 2nd round after beating Fabio Fognini 6-3 7-5.
In the 1st round, Holger had a good straight sets win against Fognini (6-3 7-5). During the match Vitus Nodskov Rune scored 76 points vs Fognini’s 67. Holger was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Vitus Nodskov Rune recorded 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune was exceptionally effective on serve to win 73% (38/52) of his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Vitus Nodskov Rune broke Fognini twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Munich where he defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 3-4 ret..
Vitus Nodskov Rune has a compiled 29-21 win-loss record in 2022, 7-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carreno-Busta | Vitus Nodskov Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 21 |
| Pts | 66-42 | 76-67 |
| Total Points | 108 | 143 |
| Winners | 25 | 38 |
| %Winners | 38% | 50% |
Both Carreno-Busta and Vitus Nodskov Rune played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Carreno-Busta and Vitus Nodskov Rune have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Carreno-Busta played 4 games less than Vitus Nodskov Rune. Carreno-Busta scored 25 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Vitus Nodskov Rune managed to score 38 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carreno-Busta | Vitus Nodskov Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 5 |
| 1st in | 33/47 | 52/78 |
| %1st in | 70% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 38/52 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 11/14 | 14/26 |
| %2nd pts | 79% | 54% |
Carreno-Busta bagged 4 aces . Vitus Nodskov Rune bagged 5 aces . Carreno-Busta won 76% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 79% of the points. On the other side, Vitus Nodskov Rune won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carreno-Busta | Vitus Nodskov Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 2/8 |
| % Converted | 43% | 25% |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 |
| Saved | 0 | 6 |
| % Saved | 0% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Carreno-Busta broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Pablo very solid his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Vitus Nodskov Rune broke his opponent twice with a 25% conversion rate. Holger was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 6 break points.
| Carreno-Busta | |||
| R1 Berrettini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 66-42 | 66-42 | |
| Total points | 108 | 108 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 33/47 | 33/47 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 25/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/14 | 11/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 79% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Vitus Nodskov Rune | |||
| R1 Fognini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 76-67 | 76-67 | |
| Total points | 143 | 143 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 52/78 | 52/78 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 38/52 | 38/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/26 | 14/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/8 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWWWLW
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