Grigor Dimitrov and Alex De Minaur will face off in the 2nd round of the National Bank Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on Court 9. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.50
Grigor Dimitrov -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 3rd time that Grigor Dimitrov and Alex De Minaur square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, De Minaur won 7-6(4) 6-7(3) 6-4 in the semifinal in Antwerp back in 2020.
Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Grigor Dimitrov – Antwerp 24-October-2020
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-11 | 9-6 | 5-4 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Dimitrov reached the 2nd round after beating Alexis Galarneau 6-4 7-5.
In the 1st round, Grigor had a good straight sets win against Galarneau (6-4 7-5). During the match, Dimitrov scored 68 points vs Galarneau’s 57. The Bulgarian was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Dimitrov recorded 10 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Grigor Dimitrov was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (34/42) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Bulgarian broke Galarneau 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Dimitrov has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (319-191). 9-7 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Dimitrov has a composed 156-94 record in the last years on hard.
The Bulgarian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne and Carlo.
Dimitrov has a compiled 20-14 win-loss record in 2022, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, the Australian got to the 2nd round after defeating Denis Shapovalov 7-5 7-64.
In the 1st round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Shapovalov (7-5 7-64). During the match De Minaur scored 81 points vs Shapovalov’s 76. De Minaur was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, De Minaur wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alex De Minaur lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 61% of his first serves in, winning 80% (40/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Shapovalov twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Atlanta where he beat Jenson Brooksby in the final 6-3 6-3.
The Australian has a compiled 33-17 win-loss record in 2022, 15-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dimitrov | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 25 |
| Pts | 68-57 | 81-76 |
| Total Points | 125 | 157 |
| Winners | 34 | 40 |
| %Winners | 50% | 49% |
Both Dimitrov and De Minaur played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Dimitrov and De Minaur have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Dimitrov played 3 games less than De Minaur. Dimitrov scored 34 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian managed to score 40 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dimitrov | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 0 |
| 1st in | 42/58 | 50/82 |
| %1st in | 72% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 40/50 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 16/32 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 50% |
Dimitrov scored 10 aces . De Minaur didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Dimitrov won 81% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dimitrov | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/4 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 |
| Saved | 0 | 4 |
| % Saved | 0% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Dimitrov broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Bulgarian dropped his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Dimitrov | |||
| R1 Galarneau | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 68-57 | 68-57 | |
| Total points | 125 | 125 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 42/58 | 42/58 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 34/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 9/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| De Minaur | |||
| R1 Shapovalov | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 81-76 | 81-76 | |
| Total points | 157 | 157 | |
| Winners | 40 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 50/82 | 50/82 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 40/50 | 40/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 16/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Montreal
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-3 6-74 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Casper RuudRuud – Alex MolcanMolcan (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-1) – H2H and prediction
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- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-2) – H2H and prediction