Matteo Arnaldi and Lukas Neumayer will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the San Marino Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 9:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.55
Lukas Neumayer -> 2.39
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Lukas Neumayer
There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Lukas Neumayer since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-23 | 17-12 | 10-9 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 204 (career-high), Matteo reached the 2nd round after beating Federico Gaio 6-2 6-0.
In the 1st round, Arnaldi had a good straight sets win against Gaio (6-2 6-0). During the match, Arnaldi scored 56 points vs Gaio’s 32. Arnaldi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Arnaldi bagged 2 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Matteo Arnaldi was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 83% (19/23) of his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Gaio 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Arnaldi has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 62% of his matches (115-69). 28-16 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has a composed83-44 record in the last 5 years on clay.
The Italian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Francavilla Challenger.
The Italian has a composed 29-22 win-loss record in 2022, 28-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the San Marino Challenger
Lukas Neumayer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-28 | 2-2 | 30-25 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-32 | 2-1 | 38-28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 53-26 | 12-4 | 41-21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-25 | 8-10 | 16-14 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 347, the Austrian got to the 2nd round after beating Marco Miceli 7-64 6-2, Marco De Rossi 6-2 6-1 and Ivan Gakhov 6-2 7-64.
In the 1st round, The Austrian had a good straight sets win against Gakhov (6-2 7-64). During the match Neumayer scored 81 points vs Gakhov’s 67. Lukas was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Neumayer scored 5 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Lukas Neumayer lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Neumayer put 74% of his first serves in, winning 62% (33/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the 2nd serve. The Austrian broke Gakhov 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Lukas’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Antalya and M25 Klosters.
Lukas has an overall 40-16 win-loss record in 2022, 35-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the San Marino Challenger
Neumayer has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Neumayer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 57 |
| Pts | 56-32 | 210-153 |
| Total Points | 88 | 363 |
| Winners | 19 | 76 |
| %Winners | 34% | 36% |
Arnaldi played 1 match while Neumayer competed in 3 matches. Neumayer started his run from the qualifications while Arnaldi had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Arnaldi has played 4 set(s) less than Neumayer (2 vs 6). Therefore, Arnaldi played 43 games less than Neumayer. Arnaldi scored 19 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Austrian struck 76 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Neumayer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3 |
| 1st in | 23/37 | 114/172 |
| %1st in | 62% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 19/23 | 76/114 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 37/58 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 64% |
Arnaldi recorded 2 aces . Neumayer struck 9 aces (3 per match). Arnaldi won 83% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Neumayer won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Neumayer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 13 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 13/21 |
| % Converted | 56% | 62% |
| Conceded | 0 | 15 |
| Saved | 0 | 10 |
| % Saved | 0% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
The Italian broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Matteo very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Neumayer broke his opponents 13 times with a 62% conversion rate. Neumayer conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | |||
| R1 Gaio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 56-32 | 56-32 | |
| Total points | 88 | 88 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 23/37 | 23/37 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 19/23 | 19/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 9/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Neumayer | |||||
| Q1 Miceli |
Q3 De Rossi |
R1 Gakhov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-2 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-2 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 15 | 21 | 57 | |
| pts | 76-58 | 53-28 | 81-67 | 210-153 | |
| Total points | 134 | 81 | 148 | 363 | |
| Winners | 26 | 17 | 33 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 32% | 41% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 42/61 | 19/39 | 53/72 | 114/172 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 49% | 74% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 26/42 | 17/19 | 33/53 | 76/114 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 89% | 62% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/19 | 11/20 | 12/19 | 37/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 74% | 55% | 63% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 5/7 | 4/7 | 13/21 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 71% | 57% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 0/1 | 5/7 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 0% | 71% | 142% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLWWLLWW
LWWWWLWLWW Tennis Scores in San Marino Challenger
- Francesco FortiForti – Nerman FaticFatic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Mattia BellucciBellucci (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Maxime JanvierJanvier – Oleg PrihodkoPrihodko (6-1 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Matteo GiganteGigante – Jelle SelsSels (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla (6-4 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Alexandre MullerMuller (3-6 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Pavel KotovKotov – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (2-6 7-62 6-1) – See score progression
- Robin HaaseHaase – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Lukas NeumayerNeumayer – Ivan GakhovGakhov (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexander WeisWeis – Timofey SkatovSkatov (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic (7-60 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Federico GaioGaio (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Ernests GulbisGulbis (7-64 6-0) – See score progression
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (2-6 7-6(2) 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Robin HaaseHaase – Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Alexander WeisWeis (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Francesco FortiForti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maxime JanvierJanvier – Pavel KotovKotov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
