Emilio Gomez and Juncheng Shang will clash against each other in the final of the Lexington Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emilio Gomez who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Emilio Gomez is the pick to win this match.
Emilio Gomez -> 1.666
Juncheng Shang -> 2.16

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Prediction and head to head Emilio Gomez vs. Juncheng Shang

There is no head to head record between Emilio Gomez and Juncheng Shang since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Emilio Gomez

Ranked no. 121 (career-high), Emilio got to the final after beating Cannon Kingsley 6-4 3-6 7-5, Ryan Harrison 7-5 6-4, Nicolas Mejia 6-4 7-5 and Enzo Couacaud 4-6 6-4 7-6⁵.

In the semifinal against Couacaud, Emilio recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 7-6⁵).During the match, Gomez scored less points (7) than Couacaud. In fact, the world no. 121 won 111 points vs Couacaud’s. That means that Gomez was more focused during the important points. Emilio was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about the service games, Gomez scored 4 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Emilio Gomez lost the serve 5 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Gomez put 60% of his first serves in, winning 63% (43/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (22/46) on the 2nd serve. Gomez broke Couacaud 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gomez has dropped 2 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Gomez has a positive match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (339-240). 28-9 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gomez has a compiled 170-96 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Ecuadorian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Salinas Challenger,the Malaga Challenger and the Winnipeg Challenger.

Emilio has an aggregate 32-17 win-loss record in 2022, 28-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lexington Challenger

Juncheng Shang

Ranked no. 344 (career-high), the Chinese reached the final after defeating Stefan Dostanic 6-0 4-6 6-3, Mikhail Kukushkin 7-6⁵ 6-3, Roman Safiullin 0-6 6-4 7-5 and Aleksandar Kovacevic 3-6 7-6⁵ 6-4.

In the semifinal against Kovacevic, The Chinese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-6⁵ 6-4).During the match Shang scored less points (4) than Kovacevic. In fact, the world no. 121 won 95 points vs Kovacevic’s. That means that Shang was more focused during the important points. Juncheng was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Shang recorded 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Juncheng Shang lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Shang put 66% of his first serves in, winning 74% (45/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Kovacevic 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Chinese has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

The Chinese’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Naples.

The Chinese has an aggregate 27-16 win-loss record in 2022, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lexington Challenger

Juncheng has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gomez	Shang
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	11
Tot Games	108	107
Pts	357-332	339-321
Total Points	689	660
Winners	138	152
%Winners	39%	45%

Both Gomez and Shang played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Emilio Gomez lost 2 sets, while Juncheng Shang lost 3 sets. Gomez has played 1 set(s) less than Shang (10 vs 11). However, it’s interesting to notice that Gomez played 1 game more than Shang. Gomez scored 138 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese scored 152 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gomez	Shang
Aces	17	7
Avg per match	4.3	1.8
1st in	189/332	211/339
%1st in	57%	62%
1st pts	138/189	152/211
%1st pts	73%	72%
2nd pts	75/143	67/128
%2nd pts	52%	52%

Gomez fired 17 aces (4.3 per match). Shang scored 7 aces (1.8 per match). Gomez won 73% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Shang won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gomez	Shang
Won	15	13
Converted	15/44	13/24
% Converted	34%	54%
Conceded	28	29
Saved	18	19
% Saved	64%	66%
Times Broken	10	10

The Ecuadorian broke his opponents 15 times with a 34% conversion rate. The Ecuadorian lost his serve 10 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Juncheng broke his opponents 13 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 66% of the break points that he conceded.

Gomez
	R1 Kingsley	R2 Harrison	1/4 Mejia	1/2 Couacaud	Total
Score	6-4 3-6 7-5	7-5 6-4	6-4 7-5	4-6 6-4 7-65
Tot Set	3	2	2	3	10
Tot Games	31	22	22	33	108
pts	105-96	75-60	66-58	111-118	357-332
Total points	201	135	124	229	689
Winners	41	31	23	43	138
%Winners	39%	41%	35%	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	8	3	2	4	17
Double Faults	3	1	4	7	15
1st in	51/95	39/65	31/58	68/114	189/332
% 1st in	54%	60%	53%	60%	57%
1st pts	41/51	31/39	23/31	43/68	138/189
% 1st pts	80%	79%	74%	63%	73%
2nd pts	25/44	15/26	13/27	22/46	75/143
% 2nd pts	57%	58%	48%	48%	52%
Breaks
Won	2	3	5	5	15
Converted	2/9	3/9	5/10	5/16	15/44
Converted %	22%	33%	50%	31%	34%
Conceded	5	5	4	14	28
Saved	4/5	4/5	1/4	9/14	18
Saved %	80%	80%	25%	64%	62%
Times Broken	1	1	3	5	10

Shang
	R1 Dostanic	R2 Kukushkin	1/4 Safiullin	1/2 Kovacevic	Total
Score	6-0 4-6 6-3	7-65 6-3	0-6 6-4 7-5	3-6 7-65 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	3	3	11
Tot Games	25	22	28	32	107
pts	96-79	71-56	77-87	95-99	339-321
Total points	175	127	164	194	660
Winners	38	38	31	45	152
%Winners	40%	54%	40%	47%	45%
SERVE
Aces	3	2	0	2	7
Double Faults	6	2	4	4	16
1st in	63/98	45/64	42/84	61/93	211/339
% 1st in	64%	70%	50%	66%	62%
1st pts	38/63	38/45	31/42	45/61	152/211
% 1st pts	60%	84%	74%	74%	72%
2nd pts	19/35	12/19	21/42	15/32	67/128
% 2nd pts	54%	63%	50%	47%	52%
Breaks
Won	6	1	3	3	13
Converted	6/9	1/3	3/5	3/7	13/24
Converted %	67%	33%	60%	43%	54%
Conceded	15	1	7	6	29
Saved	12/15	1/1	3/7	3/6	19
Saved %	80%	100%	43%	50%	68%
Times Broken	3	0	4	3	10

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