Claire Liu and Ellen Perez will clash against each other in the qualifications of the National Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Court 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Claire Liu who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Claire Liu is the pick to win this match.
Claire Liu -> 1.186
Ellen Perez -> 4.55

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Prediction and head to head Claire Liu vs. Ellen Perez

This will be the 2nd time that Claire Liu and Ellen Perez face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Liu (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Liu won 2-6 6-4 6-0 in the qualifications in Charleston back in 2021.

Claire Liu

Claire Liu

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
210
High
52
LWWLLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-19 20-13 4-6 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 18-12 11-7 7-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 27-29 19-19 7-8 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 29-22 15-14 12-4 0-1 2-3 0-0
2021 39-17 17-11 17-4 0-0 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 79, the American got to the qualifications after defeating Victoria Mboko 3-6 6-3 6-4.

In the qualifications against Mboko, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Liu scored 109 points vs Mboko’s 103. Liu was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Liu blasted 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Claire Liu lost the serve 5 times and she saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Liu put 65% of her first serves in, winning 56% (45/80) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (24/44) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Mboko 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

Liu has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 61% of her matches (182-118). 9-8 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Liu has an aggregate91-73 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in the Paris where she defeated Beatriz Haddad Maia in the final 6-3 6-4.

The American has an aggregate 23-15 win-loss record in 2022, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Claire has never competed in this tournament before.

Toronto
Liu's Record

Ellen Perez

Ellen Perez

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
892
High
162
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 0-0 - - - - -
2023 12-12 8-7 3-3 1-1 0-1 0-0
2022 17-21 15-12 2-7 0-0 0-2 0-0
2021 25-19 17-11 5-5 0-0 3-3 0-0

Ranked no. 341, Ellen got to the qualifications after defeating Priscilla Hon 6-4 7-62.

In the qualifications, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Hon (6-4 7-62). During the match Perez scored 79 points vs Hon’s 75. Perez was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Perez scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Ellen Perez lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Perez put 64% of her first serves in, winning 59% (30/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Hon 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

The Australian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the W25 Bendigo.

Perez has an aggregate 8-15 win-loss record in 2022, 6-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Toronto
Perez's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

C.Liu
E.Perez
!
2h:28
2h:28
Time on court​
1h:32
1h:32
!
2h:28
2h:28
Last match​
1h:32
1h:32
1
1
Match played
1
1
28
28
Games Played​
23
23
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
109
109
Total points​
79
79
109
109
Avg point​
79
79
45
45
Winners
30
30
45
45
Avg Winners​
30
30
41%
41%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
1
1
3
3
Avg Aces
1
1
4
4
Double Faults
4
4
4
4
Avg Double Faults
4
4
45/80
45/80
1st won total​
30/51
30/51
56%
56%
1st won %
59%
59%
24/44
24/44
2nd won total​
17/29
17/29
55%
55%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
6/10
6/10
BP won
4/7
4/7
6/10
6/10
Avg BP won
4/7
4/7
!
60%
60%
Won
!
57%
57%
18
18
Conceded
10
10
18
18
Avg Conceded
10
10
5
5
Broken
3
3
!
5
5
Avg Broken
3
3
13
13
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Liu Perez
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 28 23
Pts 109-103 79-75
Total Points 212 154
Winners 45 30
%Winners 41% 38%

Both Liu and Perez played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Claire Liu dropped 1 set while Ellen Perez hasn’t dropped a set so far. Liu has played 1 set more than Perez (3 vs 2). Therefore, Liu played 5 games more than Perez. Claire scored 45 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian struck 30 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Liu Perez
Aces 3 1
Avg per match 3 1
1st in 80/124 51/80
%1st in 65% 64%
1st pts 45/80 30/51
%1st pts 56% 59%
2nd pts 24/44 17/29
%2nd pts 55% 59%

Liu blasted 3 aces . Perez recorded 1 ace . Liu won 56% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Perez won 59% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Liu Perez
Won 6 4
Converted 6/10 4/7
% Converted 60% 57%
Conceded 18 10
Saved 13 7
% Saved 72% 70%
Times Broken 5 3

Liu broke her opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Claire dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded. Ellen broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Ellen conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.

Liu
Q1
Mboko
Total
Score 3-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 28 28
pts 109-103 109-103
Total points 212 212
Winners 45 45
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 80/124 80/124
% 1st in 65% 65%
1st pts 45/80 45/80
% 1st pts 56% 56%
2nd pts 24/44 24/44
% 2nd pts 55% 55%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/10 6/10
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 18 18
Saved 13/18 13
Saved % 72% 72%
Times Broken 5 5
Perez
Q1
Hon
Total
Score 6-4 7-62
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 23 23
pts 79-75 79-75
Total points 154 154
Winners 30 30
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 51/80 51/80
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 30/51 30/51
% 1st pts 59% 59%
2nd pts 17/29 17/29
% 2nd pts 59% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/7 4/7
Converted % 57% 57%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 7/10 7
Saved % 70% 70%
Times Broken 3 3

Tennis Scores in Toronto

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