Claire Liu and Ellen Perez will clash against each other in the qualifications of the National Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Court 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Claire Liu who should win in 2 sets.
Claire Liu -> 1.186
Ellen Perez -> 4.55
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Prediction and head to head Claire Liu vs. Ellen Perez
This will be the 2nd time that Claire Liu and Ellen Perez face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Liu (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Liu won 2-6 6-4 6-0 in the qualifications in Charleston back in 2021.
Claire Liu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-19 | 20-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 18-12 | 11-7 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-29 | 19-19 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-22 | 15-14 | 12-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-17 | 17-11 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 79, the American got to the qualifications after defeating Victoria Mboko 3-6 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications against Mboko, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Liu scored 109 points vs Mboko’s 103. Liu was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Regarding the service games, Liu blasted 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Claire Liu lost the serve 5 times and she saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Liu put 65% of her first serves in, winning 56% (45/80) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (24/44) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Mboko 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Liu has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 61% of her matches (182-118). 9-8 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Liu has an aggregate91-73 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in the Paris where she defeated Beatriz Haddad Maia in the final 6-3 6-4.
The American has an aggregate 23-15 win-loss record in 2022, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Claire has never competed in this tournament before.
Ellen Perez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 0-0 | - | - | - | - | - |
| 2023 | 12-12 | 8-7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-21 | 15-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-19 | 17-11 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 341, Ellen got to the qualifications after defeating Priscilla Hon 6-4 7-62.
In the qualifications, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Hon (6-4 7-62). During the match Perez scored 79 points vs Hon’s 75. Perez was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Perez scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Ellen Perez lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Perez put 64% of her first serves in, winning 59% (30/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Hon 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
The Australian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the W25 Bendigo.
Perez has an aggregate 8-15 win-loss record in 2022, 6-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Liu | Perez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 23 |
| Pts | 109-103 | 79-75 |
| Total Points | 212 | 154 |
| Winners | 45 | 30 |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% |
Both Liu and Perez played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Claire Liu dropped 1 set while Ellen Perez hasn’t dropped a set so far. Liu has played 1 set more than Perez (3 vs 2). Therefore, Liu played 5 games more than Perez. Claire scored 45 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian struck 30 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Liu | Perez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 1 |
| 1st in | 80/124 | 51/80 |
| %1st in | 65% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 45/80 | 30/51 |
| %1st pts | 56% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 24/44 | 17/29 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 59% |
Liu blasted 3 aces . Perez recorded 1 ace . Liu won 56% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Perez won 59% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Liu | Perez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/10 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 60% | 57% |
| Conceded | 18 | 10 |
| Saved | 13 | 7 |
| % Saved | 72% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 |
Liu broke her opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Claire dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded. Ellen broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Ellen conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.
| Liu | |||
| Q1 Mboko | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 109-103 | 109-103 | |
| Total points | 212 | 212 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 80/124 | 80/124 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 45/80 | 45/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 56% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/44 | 24/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 18 | 18 | |
| Saved | 13/18 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 72% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Perez | |||
| Q1 Hon | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 79-75 | 79-75 | |
| Total points | 154 | 154 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 51/80 | 51/80 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 30/51 | 30/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 17/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Toronto
- Sem VerbeekVerbeek – Julien EonEon (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Omar AlawadhiAlawadhi – Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Tatjana MariaMaria (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz – Cristina BucsaBucsa (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Storm SandersSanders – Lauren DavisDavis (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Christina MchaleMchale (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ellen PerezPerez – Claire LiuLiu (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Asia MuhammadMuhammad – Donna VekicVekic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Harriet DartDart (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tereza MartincovaMartincova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Shelby RogersRogers (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Naomi OsakaOsaka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Sofia KeninKenin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Carol ZhaoZhao (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alize CornetCornet – Caroline GarciaGarcia (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca MarinoMarino – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BondarBondar – Elise MertensMertens (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camila GiorgiGiorgi – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Alison RiskeRiske (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Katherine SebovSebov – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Venus WilliamsWilliams (0-0) – H2H and prediction