Kaia Kanepi and Liudmila Samsonova will play each other in the final of the Citi Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:30 pm on Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Liudmila Samsonova is the pick to win this match.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.86
Kaia Kanepi -> 1.99
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Prediction and head to head Kaia Kanepi vs. Liudmila Samsonova
This will be the 2nd time that Kaia Kanepi and Liudmila Samsonova square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Samsonova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Samsonova won 6-4 6-2 in the 1st round in at the Wimbledon back in 2021.
Highlights Liudmila Samsonova vs Kaia Kanepi – Wimbledon 29-June-2021
Kaia Kanepi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-22 | 6-10 | 11-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-19 | 15-11 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-14 | 16-8 | 6-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-5 | 1-3 | 6-1 | 10-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 37, Kanepi reached the final after defeating Greetje Minnen 6-3 6-3, Lin Zhu 4-6 6-4 6-4, Anna Kalinskaya 6-74 6-4 6-3 and Daria Saville 6-3 6-1.
In the semifinal, The Estonian had a good straight sets win against Gavrilova (6-3 6-1). During the match, Kanepi scored 54 points vs Gavrilova’s 30. Kaia was extremely aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kanepi scored just 1 ace and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Kaia Kanepi was quite efficient on serve to win 80% (16/20) of her 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Kanepi broke Gavrilova 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kaia has lost 2 set in this event to win 55% of the points she played.
Kanepi has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (228-119). 13-4 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kanepi has a composed 94-53 match record in the last years on hard.
Kanepi’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Paris and Washington.
Kaia has a compiled 24-11 win-loss record in 2022, 13-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
Kanepi has never competed in this tournament before.
Liudmila Samsonova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 60, Samsonova got to the final after beating Elise Mertens 7-64 6-4, Ajla Tomljanovic 4-6 6-3 6-2, Emma Raducanu 7-66 6-1 and Xiyu Wang 6-1 6-1.
In the semifinal, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-1 6-1). During the match Samsonova scored 59 points vs Wang’s 30. Samsonova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Talking about serving, Samsonova managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Liudmila Samsonova was very efficient on serve to win 84% (16/19) of her 1st serve and 78% (14/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Samsonova broke Wang 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Samsonova has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Ludmilla’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Stuttgart and Washington.
Ludmilla has a composed 14-14 win-loss record in 2022, 10-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kanepi | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 96 | 84 |
| Pts | 343-282 | 322-255 |
| Total Points | 625 | 577 |
| Winners | 111 | 115 |
| %Winners | 32% | 36% |
Both Kanepi and Samsonova played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Kaia Kanepi dropped 2 sets, while Liudmila Samsonova lost 1 set. Kanepi has played 1 set more than Samsonova (10 vs 9). Therefore, Kanepi played 12 games more than Samsonova. The Estonian scored 111 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Samsonova fired 115 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kanepi | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 30 |
| Avg per match | 7.8 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 150/290 | 157/277 |
| %1st in | 52% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 111/150 | 115/157 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 70/140 | 62/120 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 52% |
Kanepi blasted 31 aces (7.8 per match). Samsonova blasted 30 aces (7.5 per match). Kanepi won 74% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kanepi | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 18 |
| Converted | 21/48 | 18/39 |
| % Converted | 44% | 46% |
| Conceded | 23 | 28 |
| Saved | 13 | 20 |
| % Saved | 57% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 8 |
Kanepi broke her opponents 21 times with a 44% conversion rate. Kaia dropped her serve 10 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Ludmilla broke her opponents 18 times with a 46% conversion rate. Ludmilla conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kanepi | ||||||
| R1 Minnen |
R2 Zhu |
1/4 Kalinskaya |
1/2 Gavrilova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | 6-74 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 96 | |
| pts | 68-52 | 107-101 | 114-99 | 54-30 | 343-282 | |
| Total points | 120 | 208 | 213 | 84 | 625 | |
| Winners | 17 | 39 | 39 | 16 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 25% | 36% | 34% | 30% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 27/57 | 53/92 | 50/100 | 20/41 | 150/290 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 58% | 50% | 49% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 17/27 | 39/53 | 39/50 | 16/20 | 111/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 74% | 78% | 80% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 16/39 | 24/50 | 13/21 | 70/140 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 41% | 48% | 62% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/15 | 6/13 | 5/9 | 21/48 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 33% | 46% | 56% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 23 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 3/7 | 6/9 | 0/1 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 43% | 67% | 0% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | |
| Samsonova | ||||||
| R1 Mertens |
R2 Tomljanovic |
1/4 Raducanu |
1/2 Wang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-4 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 7-66 6-1 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 27 | 20 | 14 | 84 | |
| pts | 90-78 | 95-80 | 78-67 | 59-30 | 322-255 | |
| Total points | 168 | 175 | 145 | 89 | 577 | |
| Winners | 41 | 30 | 28 | 16 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 32% | 36% | 27% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 59/89 | 40/82 | 39/69 | 19/37 | 157/277 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 49% | 57% | 51% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 41/59 | 30/40 | 28/39 | 16/19 | 115/157 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 75% | 72% | 84% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/30 | 23/42 | 11/30 | 14/18 | 62/120 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 55% | 37% | 78% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 5/15 | 5/7 | 5/8 | 18/39 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | 71% | 63% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 28 | |
| Saved | 12/14 | 4/7 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 57% | 50% | 100% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LLL
LLLLWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Washington
- Danilo PetrovicPetrovic – Zdenek KolarKolar (7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
