Nick Kyrgios and Yoshihito Nishioka will fight against each other in the final of the Citi Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nick Kyrgios who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Nick Kyrgios is the pick to win this match.
Nick Kyrgios -> 1.24
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 4.25

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Prediction and head to head Nick Kyrgios vs. Yoshihito Nishioka

This will be the 5th time that Nick Kyrgios and Yoshihito Nishioka square off. The head to head is 4-0 for Kyrgios (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Kyrgios won 6-2 7-5 in the 3rd round in Washington back in 2019.

Highlights Nick Kyrgios vs Yoshihito Nishioka – Washington 01-August-2019

Nick Kyrgios

Nick Kyrgios

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
659
High
13
LWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 1-4 1-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 37-10 23-6 2-1 0-0 12-3 0-0
2021 7-8 5-6 0-0 0-1 2-1 0-0

Ranked no. 63, Kyrgios reached the final after beating Marcos Giron 6-3 6-2, Tommy Paul 6-3 6-4, Reilly Opelka 7-61 6-2, Frances Tiafoe 6-75 7-612 6-2 and Mikael Ymer 7-64 6-3.

In the semifinal, Nick had a good straight sets win against Ymer (7-64 6-3). During the match, Kyrgios scored 72 points vs Ymer’s 59. The Australian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kyrgios recorded 10 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Nick Kyrgios was very efficient on serve to win 77% (36/47) of his 1st serve and 79% (15/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kyrgios broke Ymer once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nick has lost 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.

Kyrgios has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 66% of his matches (242-123). 12-3 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kyrgios has an overall 144-67 match record in the last years on hard.

Nick’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Wimbledon .

Kyrgios has a composed 26-7 win-loss record in 2022, 12-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Washington

Washington
Kyrgios's Record

Yoshihito Nishioka

Yoshihito Nishioka

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
111
High
24
WWWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-22 16-14 0-2 10-2 0-4 0-0
2024 29-24 17-15 6-7 1-0 5-2 0-0
2023 23-22 14-15 5-5 4-1 0-1 0-0
2022 44-25 25-13 2-5 17-6 0-1 0-0
2021 19-26 5-11 8-7 5-5 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 96, Yoshihito reached the final after beating Jenson Brooksby 6-4 6-3, Alex De Minaur 3-6 7-66 6-2, Karen Khachanov 7-62 7-61, Daniel Evans 7-65 4-6 7-5 and Andrey Rublev 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Rublev (6-3 6-4). During the match Nishioka scored 62 points vs Rublev’s 51. The Japanese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Nishioka scored 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Yoshihito Nishioka lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Nishioka put 63% of his first serves in, winning 69% (27/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the 2nd serve. Yoshihito broke Rublev 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Yoshihito has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Nishioka’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Columbus Challenger and the Cleveland Challenger.

The Japanese has an aggregate 33-17 win-loss record in 2022, 19-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Washington

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See his history.

Washington
Nishioka's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

N.Kyrgios
Y.Nishioka
7h:42
7h:42
Time on court​
11h:09
11h:09
1h:34
1h:34
Last match​
1h:20
1h:20
5
5
Match played
5
5
113
113
Games Played​
129
129
11
11
Set played​​
12
12
377
377
Total points​
435
435
75.4
75.4
Avg point​
87
87
195
195
Winners
171
171
39
39
Avg Winners​
34.2
34.2
52%
52%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
84
84
Aces
12
12
!
16.8
16.8
Avg Aces
2.4
2.4
22
22
Double Faults
10
10
4.4
4.4
Avg Double Faults
2
2
195/237
195/237
1st won total​
171/265
171/265
!
82%
82%
1st won %
65%
65%
65/109
65/109
2nd won total​
89/156
89/156
60%
60%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
11/23
11/23
BP won
20/39
20/39
2.2/4.6
2.2/4.6
Avg BP won
4/7.8
4/7.8
48%
48%
Won
!
51%
51%
9
9
Conceded
40
40
1.8
1.8
Avg Conceded
8
8
0
0
Broken
14
14
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2.8
2.8
9
9
Saved
26
26

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kyrgios Nishioka
Match played 5 5
Tot Set 11 12
Tot Games 113 129
Pts 377-305 435-396
Total Points 682 831
Winners 195 171
%Winners 52% 39%

Both Kyrgios and Nishioka played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Nick Kyrgios dropped 1 set, while Yoshihito Nishioka dropped 2 sets. Kyrgios has played 1 set(s) less than Nishioka (11 vs 12). Therefore, Kyrgios played 16 games less than Nishioka. Nick scored 195 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Yoshihito fired 171 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kyrgios Nishioka
Aces 84 12
Avg per match 16.8 2.4
1st in 237/346 265/421
%1st in 68% 63%
1st pts 195/237 171/265
%1st pts 82% 65%
2nd pts 65/109 89/156
%2nd pts 60% 57%

Kyrgios scored 84 aces (16.8 per match). Nishioka blasted 12 aces (2.4 per match). Kyrgios won 82% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Nishioka won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kyrgios Nishioka
Won 11 20
Converted 11/23 20/39
% Converted 48% 51%
Conceded 9 40
Saved 9 26
% Saved 100% 65%
Times Broken 0 14

The Australian broke his opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. Kyrgios pretty effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 9 break points. Nishioka broke his opponents 20 times with a 51% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 14 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Kyrgios
R1
Giron
R2
Paul
R3
Opelka
1/4
Tiafoe
1/2
Ymer
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-3 6-4 7-61 6-2 6-75 7-612 6-2 7-64 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 2 11
Tot Games 17 19 21 34 22 113
pts 56-37 69-55 64-49 116-105 72-59 377-305
Total points 93 124 113 221 131 682
Winners 28 37 37 57 36 195
%Winners 50% 54% 58% 49% 50% 52%
SERVE
Aces 12 15 12 35 10 84
Double Faults 3 6 4 9 0 22
1st in 34/50 44/63 42/61 70/106 47/66 237/346
% 1st in 68% 70% 69% 66% 71% 68%
1st pts 28/34 37/44 37/42 57/70 36/47 195/237
% 1st pts 82% 84% 88% 81% 77% 82%
2nd pts 10/16 7/19 10/19 23/36 15/19 65/109
% 2nd pts 63% 37% 53% 64% 79% 60%
Breaks
Won 3 3 2 2 1 11
Converted 3/6 3/4 2/3 2/7 1/3 11/23
Converted % 50% 75% 67% 29% 33% 48%
Conceded 1 4 1 3 0 9
Saved 1/1 4/4 1/1 3/3 0/0 9
Saved % 100% 100% 100% 100% 80%
Times Broken 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nishioka
R1
Brooksby
R2
De Minaur
R3
Khachanov
1/4
Evans
1/2
Rublev
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 3-6 7-66 6-2 7-62 7-61 7-65 4-6 7-5 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 2 3 2 12
Tot Games 19 30 26 35 19 129
pts 61-45 96-97 102-86 114-117 62-51 435-396
Total points 106 193 188 231 113 831
Winners 16 33 43 52 27 171
%Winners 26% 34% 42% 46% 44% 39%
SERVE
Aces 1 3 3 2 3 12
Double Faults 2 2 1 3 2 10
1st in 25/51 56/96 62/94 83/118 39/62 265/421
% 1st in 49% 58% 66% 70% 63% 63%
1st pts 16/25 33/56 43/62 52/83 27/39 171/265
% 1st pts 64% 59% 69% 63% 69% 65%
2nd pts 17/26 23/40 21/32 16/35 12/23 89/156
% 2nd pts 65% 58% 66% 46% 52% 57%
Breaks
Won 5 5 1 5 4 20
Converted 5/7 5/9 1/7 5/11 4/5 20/39
Converted % 71% 56% 14% 45% 80% 51%
Conceded 6 11 4 14 5 40
Saved 4/6 7/11 3/4 9/14 3/5 26
Saved % 67% 64% 75% 64% 60% 66%
Times Broken 2 4 1 5 2 14

Upcoming matches in the draw