Daniil Medvedev and Cameron Norrie will face off in the final of the Abierto de Tenis Mifel for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 8:00 pm on STADIUM CSC. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.41
Cameron Norrie -> 3
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Cameron Norrie
This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Cameron Norrie square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Medvedev won 6-3 6-1 in the 2nd round in Shanghai back in 2019.
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-9 | 9-5 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Russian reached the final after defeating Rinky Hijikata 6-4 6-3, Ricardas Berankis 6-2 6-2 and Miomir Kecmanovic 7-60 6-1.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (7-60 6-1). During the match, Medvedev scored 68 points vs Kecmanovic’s 45. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev fired 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 83% (25/30) of his 1st serve and 61% (17/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Medvedev broke Kecmanovic 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a tremendous match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (409-171). 19-5 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has a composed 174-59 match record in the last years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the year was getting to the final at the Australian Open ,Hertogenbosch and Halle.
The Russian has a compiled 30-10 win-loss record in 2022, 19-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Los Cabos
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Cameron Norrie
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-13 | 6-8 | 5-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-21 | 7-4 | 8-8 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-25 | 14-12 | 18-7 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 26-11 | 11-5 | 6-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-25 | 25-11 | 16-5 | 9-7 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, the Brit got to the final after defeating Chun Hsin Tseng 6-3 6-0, Radu Albot 6-3 7-64 and Felix Auger Aliassime 6-4 3-6 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Brit defeated Auger-Aliassime (6-4 3-6 6-3).During the match Norrie scored less points (2) than Auger-Aliassime. In fact, the world no. 1 won 86 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s. That means that Norrie was more focused during the important points. Norrie was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Norrie struck 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Cameron Norrie lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Norrie put 68% of his first serves in, winning 70% (44/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Norrie broke Auger-Aliassime 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Norrie has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in in Delray Beach where he defeated Reilly Opelka in the final 7-6(1) 7-6(4) and in in Lyon where he defeated Alex Molcan in the final 6-3 6-7(3) 6-1.
Cameron has a compiled 35-16 win-loss record in 2022, 16-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Los Cabos
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 65 |
| Pts | 197-140 | 221-187 |
| Total Points | 337 | 408 |
| Winners | 77 | 102 |
| %Winners | 39% | 46% |
Both Medvedev and Norrie played 3 matches. At the moment, Cameron Norrie conceded 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t conceded a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Norrie (6 vs 7). Therefore, Medvedev played 10 games less than Norrie. Medvedev scored 77 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit bagged 102 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 8.3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 91/165 | 145/218 |
| %1st in | 55% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 77/91 | 102/145 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 43/74 | 38/73 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 52% |
Medvedev recorded 25 aces (8.3 per match). Norrie recorded 9 aces (3 per match). Medvedev won 85% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Norrie won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 11 |
| Converted | 9/21 | 11/19 |
| % Converted | 43% | 58% |
| Conceded | 4 | 21 |
| Saved | 3 | 16 |
| % Saved | 75% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
The Russian broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Medvedev lost his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Brit broke his opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||||
| R2 Hijikata |
1/4 Berankis |
1/2 Kecmanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 6-2 | 7-60 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 16 | 20 | 55 | |
| pts | 66-50 | 63-45 | 68-45 | 197-140 | |
| Total points | 116 | 108 | 113 | 337 | |
| Winners | 31 | 21 | 25 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 33% | 37% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 37/55 | 24/52 | 30/58 | 91/165 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 46% | 52% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 21/24 | 25/30 | 77/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 88% | 83% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 15/28 | 17/28 | 43/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 54% | 61% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 4/8 | 3/6 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 50% | 50% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 0% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Norrie | |||||
| R2 Hsin |
1/4 Albot |
1/2 Auger-Aliassime |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-3 7-64 | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 22 | 28 | 65 | |
| pts | 60-35 | 75-64 | 86-88 | 221-187 | |
| Total points | 95 | 139 | 174 | 408 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | 44 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 39% | 51% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 38/54 | 44/71 | 63/93 | 145/218 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 62% | 68% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 29/44 | 44/63 | 102/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 66% | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 15/27 | 15/30 | 38/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 56% | 50% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 3/7 | 3/5 | 11/19 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 43% | 60% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 4 | 8 | 21 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 2/4 | 6/8 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 50% | 75% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-0) – H2H and prediction
