Caroline Garcia and Ana Bogdan will play each other in the final of the BNP Paribas Poland Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Center Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Caroline Garcia who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Caroline Garcia is the pick to win this match.
Caroline Garcia -> 1.51
Ana Bogdan -> 2.71
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Prediction and head to head Caroline Garcia vs. Ana Bogdan
This will be the 2nd time that Caroline Garcia and Ana Bogdan clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Garcia (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Garcia won 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in London back in 2017.
Caroline Garcia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-17 | 10-10 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-27 | 23-17 | 4-4 | 7-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 21-13 | 11-4 | 4-1 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-26 | 15-14 | 8-6 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 45, Garcia reached the final after beating Misaki Doi 7-5 6-4, Elisabetta Cocciaretto 6-3 7-5, Iga Swiatek 6-1 1-6 6-4 and Jasmine Paolini 6-1 6-2.
In the semifinal, The French player had a good straight sets win against Paolini (6-1 6-2). During the match, Garcia scored 60 points vs Paolini’s 36. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Garcia recorded 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Caroline Garcia conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Garcia put 66% of her first serves in, winning 80% (28/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. Garcia broke Paolini 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Garcia has a favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (308-229). 10-4 on clay in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Garcia has an overall 89-56 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Bad Homburg where she beat Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4.
The French player has an overall 26-15 win-loss record in 2022, 10-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Warsaw
Caroline has never competed in this tournament before.
Ana Bogdan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-24 | 11-12 | 5-9 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-21 | 5-9 | 17-7 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-17 | 4-3 | 20-8 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-19 | 7-7 | 7-6 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 108, Ana reached the final after defeating Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 6-4 7-63, Katerina Siniakova 6-0 6-4, Laura Pigossi 6-1 6-1 and Kateryna Baindl 7-5 7-5.
In the semifinal, The Romanian had a good straight sets win against Kozlova (7-5 7-5). During the match Bogdan scored 81 points vs Kozlova’s 66. Bogdan was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Bogdan scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Ana Bogdan lost the serve 6 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Bogdan put 71% of her first serves in, winning 52% (28/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Ana broke Kozlova 8 times after converting 57% of her break points (8/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Romanian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Bogdan has a composed 22-11 win-loss record in 2022, 12-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Garcia | Bogdan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 82 | 77 |
| Pts | 308-258 | 272-204 |
| Total Points | 566 | 476 |
| Winners | 125 | 106 |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% |
Both Garcia and Bogdan played 4 matches. At the moment, Caroline Garcia conceded 1 set while Ana Bogdan hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Garcia has played 1 set more than Bogdan (9 vs 8). Therefore, Garcia played 5 games more than Bogdan. Garcia scored 125 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Bogdan made 106 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Garcia | Bogdan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 1 |
| 1st in | 175/294 | 165/249 |
| %1st in | 60% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 125/175 | 106/165 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 60/119 | 44/84 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 52% |
Garcia made 16 aces (4 per match). Bogdan struck 4 aces (1 per match). Garcia won 71% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Bogdan won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Garcia | Bogdan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 22 |
| Converted | 15/32 | 22/34 |
| % Converted | 47% | 65% |
| Conceded | 24 | 28 |
| Saved | 18 | 18 |
| % Saved | 75% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 10 |
The French player broke her opponents 15 times with a 47% conversion rate. Garcia dropped her serve 6 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. The Romanian broke her opponents 22 times with a 65% conversion rate. Bogdan conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Garcia | |||||||
| R1 Doi |
R2 Cocciaretto |
R2 Cocciaretto |
1/4 Swiatek |
1/2 Paolini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | 0-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 1-6 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 15 | 107 | |
| pts | 82-74 | 72-60 | 60-72 | 94-88 | 60-36 | 368-330 | |
| Total points | 156 | 132 | 132 | 182 | 96 | 698 | |
| Winners | 34 | 25 | 28 | 38 | 28 | 153 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 35% | 47% | 40% | 47% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 25 | |
| 1st in | 46/84 | 34/71 | 39/61 | 60/86 | 35/53 | 214/355 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 48% | 64% | 70% | 66% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 34/46 | 25/34 | 28/39 | 38/60 | 28/35 | 153/214 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | 72% | 63% | 80% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 25/37 | 11/22 | 10/26 | 8/18 | 71/141 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 68% | 50% | 38% | 44% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 2/4 | 0/5 | 5/11 | 4/8 | 15/37 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 50% | 0% | 45% | 50% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 28 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 5/5 | 2/4 | 6/10 | 1/1 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 50% | 60% | 100% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | |
| Bogdan | |||||||
| R1 Parrizas-Diaz |
R2 Siniakova |
1/4 Pigossi |
1/2 Kozlova |
Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-63 | 6-0 6-4 | 6-1 6-1 | 7-5 7-5 | |||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | ||
| Tot Games | 23 | 16 | 14 | 24 | 77 | ||
| pts | 72-62 | 67-49 | 52-27 | 81-66 | 272-204 | ||
| Total points | 134 | 116 | 79 | 147 | 476 | ||
| Winners | 31 | 29 | 18 | 28 | 106 | ||
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | 35% | 35% | 39% | ||
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | ||
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 1st in | 44/66 | 43/64 | 24/43 | 54/76 | 165/249 | ||
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 56% | 71% | 66% | ||
| 1st pts | 31/44 | 29/43 | 18/24 | 28/54 | 106/165 | ||
| % 1st pts | 70% | 67% | 75% | 52% | 64% | ||
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 10/21 | 10/19 | 11/22 | 44/84 | ||
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 48% | 53% | 50% | 52% | ||
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22 | ||
| Converted | 3/3 | 5/9 | 6/8 | 8/14 | 22/34 | ||
| Converted % | 100% | 56% | 75% | 57% | 65% | ||
| Conceded | 4 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 28 | ||
| Saved | 2/4 | 7/8 | 4/5 | 5/11 | 18 | ||
| Saved % | 50% | 88% | 80% | 45% | 53% | ||
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | ||
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWLWLL
LLWLLWLLLW Tennis Scores in Warsaw
- Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi – Takuto NikiNiki (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Ana BogdanBogdan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
