Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner will face off in the final of the Plava Laguna Croatia Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 8:00 pm on GORAN IVANISEVIC STADION. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.39
Jannik Sinner -> 3.2
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner
This will be the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Sinner won 6-1 6-4 6-7(8) 6-3 in the 4th round in at the Wimbledon back in July 2022.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz – Wimbledon 03-July-2022
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 71-9 | 28-4 | 22-1 | 10-3 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5 (career-high), Carlos reached the final after beating Norbert Gombos 6-2 6-3, Facundo Bagnis 6-0 6-4 and Giulio Zeppieri 7-5 4-6 6-3.
In the semifinal, Alcaraz defeated Zeppieri (7-5 4-6 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 118 points vs Zeppieri’s 104. Carlos was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz scored 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 59% of his first serves in, winning 67% (41/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (22/43) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Zeppieri 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 78% of his matches (153-44). 27-3 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has a composed99-27 match record in the last 5 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Rio de Janeiro where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Miami where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 7-5 6-4 and in in Barcelona where he overcame Pablo Carreno-Busta in the final 6-3 6-2 and in in Madrid where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 6-1.
Carlos has an aggregate 42-6 win-loss record in 2022, 27-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Umag
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58-6 | 24-3 | 11-2 | 15-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Sinner reached the final after defeating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 6-4, Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 7-65 and Franco Agamenone 6-1 6-3.
In the semifinal, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Agamenone (6-1 6-3). During the match Sinner scored 62 points vs Agamenone’s 42. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Sinner was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Jannik Sinner was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (21/27) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Agamenone 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Sinner’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Umag.
The Italian has an aggregate 34-9 win-loss record in 2022, 14-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Umag
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 64 | 59 |
| Pts | 251-202 | 215-167 |
| Total Points | 453 | 382 |
| Winners | 94 | 76 |
| %Winners | 37% | 35% |
Both Alcaraz and Sinner played 3 matches. At the moment, Carlos Alcaraz dropped 1 set while Jannik Sinner hasn’t lost a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set more than Sinner (7 vs 6). Therefore, Alcaraz played 5 games more than Sinner. The Spaniard scored 94 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Jannik bagged 76 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st in | 131/217 | 98/179 |
| %1st in | 60% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 94/131 | 76/98 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 45/86 | 45/81 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 56% |
Alcaraz scored 7 aces (2.3 per match). Sinner made 7 aces (2.3 per match). Alcaraz won 72% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Sinner won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 11 |
| Converted | 14/37 | 11/26 |
| % Converted | 38% | 42% |
| Conceded | 21 | 12 |
| Saved | 17 | 8 |
| % Saved | 81% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Carlos broke his opponents 14 times with a 38% conversion rate. Alcaraz dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. Jannik broke his opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. Sinner conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||
| R2 Gombos | 1/4 Bagnis | 1/2 Zeppieri | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-0 6-4 | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 16 | 31 | 64 | |
| pts | 69-54 | 64-44 | 118-104 | 251-202 | |
| Total points | 123 | 108 | 222 | 453 | |
| Winners | 27 | 26 | 41 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% | 35% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 38/61 | 32/52 | 61/104 | 131/217 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | 59% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 26/32 | 41/61 | 94/131 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 81% | 67% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/23 | 9/20 | 22/43 | 45/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 45% | 51% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/10 | 6/15 | 14/37 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 40% | 40% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 1 | 13 | 21 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 1/1 | 9/13 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 69% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Sinner | |||||
| R2 Munar Clar | 1/4 Carballes Baena | 1/2 Agamenone | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 7-65 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 23 | 16 | 59 | |
| pts | 72-59 | 81-66 | 62-42 | 215-167 | |
| Total points | 131 | 147 | 104 | 382 | |
| Winners | 26 | 29 | 21 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | 34% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 6 | 0 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 36/68 | 35/68 | 27/43 | 98/179 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 51% | 63% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 26/36 | 29/35 | 21/27 | 76/98 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 83% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 20/33 | 9/16 | 45/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 61% | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 2/9 | 5/9 | 11/26 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 22% | 56% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 1 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 0% | 67% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores in Umag
- Simone Bolelli/Fabio FogniniBolelli/Fabio Fognini – Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara (5-7 7-66 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-1) – H2H and prediction