Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner will face off in the final of the Plava Laguna Croatia Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 8:00 pm on GORAN IVANISEVIC STADION. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.39
Jannik Sinner -> 3.2

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner

This will be the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Sinner won 6-1 6-4 6-7(8) 6-3 in the 4th round in at the Wimbledon back in July 2022.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz – Wimbledon 03-July-2022

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 5 (career-high), Carlos reached the final after beating Norbert Gombos 6-2 6-3, Facundo Bagnis 6-0 6-4 and Giulio Zeppieri 7-5 4-6 6-3.

In the semifinal, Alcaraz defeated Zeppieri (7-5 4-6 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 118 points vs Zeppieri’s 104. Carlos was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz scored 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 59% of his first serves in, winning 67% (41/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (22/43) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Zeppieri 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alcaraz has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 78% of his matches (153-44). 27-3 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has a composed99-27 match record in the last 5 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Rio de Janeiro where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Miami where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 7-5 6-4 and in in Barcelona where he overcame Pablo Carreno-Busta in the final 6-3 6-2 and in in Madrid where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 6-1.

Carlos has an aggregate 42-6 win-loss record in 2022, 27-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Umag

Umag
Alcaraz's Record

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 58-6 24-3 11-2 15-0 8-1 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0

Ranked no. 10, Sinner reached the final after defeating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 6-4, Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 7-65 and Franco Agamenone 6-1 6-3.

In the semifinal, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Agamenone (6-1 6-3). During the match Sinner scored 62 points vs Agamenone’s 42. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.

About the serving games, Sinner was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Jannik Sinner was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (21/27) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Agamenone 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Sinner’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Umag.

The Italian has an aggregate 34-9 win-loss record in 2022, 14-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Umag

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019. See his history.

Umag
Sinner's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
J.Sinner
5h:56
5h:56
Time on court​
5h:40
5h:40
!
2h:55
2h:55
Last match​
1h:26
1h:26
3
3
Match played
3
3
64
64
Games Played​
59
59
7
7
Set played​​
6
6
251
251
Total points​
215
215
83.7
83.7
Avg point​
71.7
71.7
94
94
Winners
76
76
31.3
31.3
Avg Winners​
25.3
25.3
37%
37%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
7
7
2.3
2.3
Avg Aces
2.3
2.3
9
9
Double Faults
7
7
3
3
Avg Double Faults
2.3
2.3
94/131
94/131
1st won total​
76/98
76/98
!
72%
72%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
45/86
45/86
2nd won total​
45/81
45/81
52%
52%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
14/37
14/37
BP won
11/26
11/26
4.7/12.3
4.7/12.3
Avg BP won
3.7/8.7
3.7/8.7
38%
38%
Won
42%
42%
21
21
Conceded
12
12
7
7
Avg Conceded
4
4
4
4
Broken
4
4
1.3
1.3
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
17
17
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Sinner
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 6
Tot Games 64 59
Pts 251-202 215-167
Total Points 453 382
Winners 94 76
%Winners 37% 35%

Both Alcaraz and Sinner played 3 matches. At the moment, Carlos Alcaraz dropped 1 set while Jannik Sinner hasn’t lost a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set more than Sinner (7 vs 6). Therefore, Alcaraz played 5 games more than Sinner. The Spaniard scored 94 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Jannik bagged 76 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Sinner
Aces 7 7
Avg per match 2.3 2.3
1st in 131/217 98/179
%1st in 60% 55%
1st pts 94/131 76/98
%1st pts 72% 78%
2nd pts 45/86 45/81
%2nd pts 52% 56%

Alcaraz scored 7 aces (2.3 per match). Sinner made 7 aces (2.3 per match). Alcaraz won 72% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Sinner won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Sinner
Won 14 11
Converted 14/37 11/26
% Converted 38% 42%
Conceded 21 12
Saved 17 8
% Saved 81% 67%
Times Broken 4 4

Carlos broke his opponents 14 times with a 38% conversion rate. Alcaraz dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. Jannik broke his opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. Sinner conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R2
Gombos
1/4
Bagnis
1/2
Zeppieri
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-0 6-4 7-5 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 17 16 31 64
pts 69-54 64-44 118-104 251-202
Total points 123 108 222 453
Winners 27 26 41 94
%Winners 39% 41% 35% 37%
SERVE
Aces 2 2 3 7
Double Faults 1 3 5 9
1st in 38/61 32/52 61/104 131/217
% 1st in 62% 62% 59% 60%
1st pts 27/38 26/32 41/61 94/131
% 1st pts 71% 81% 67% 72%
2nd pts 14/23 9/20 22/43 45/86
% 2nd pts 61% 45% 51% 52%
Breaks
Won 4 4 6 14
Converted 4/12 4/10 6/15 14/37
Converted % 33% 40% 40% 38%
Conceded 7 1 13 21
Saved 7/7 1/1 9/13 17
Saved % 100% 100% 69% 90%
Times Broken 0 0 4 4
Sinner
R2
Munar Clar
1/4
Carballes Baena
1/2
Agamenone
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-4 7-65 6-1 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 20 23 16 59
pts 72-59 81-66 62-42 215-167
Total points 131 147 104 382
Winners 26 29 21 76
%Winners 36% 36% 34% 35%
SERVE
Aces 1 6 0 7
Double Faults 4 2 1 7
1st in 36/68 35/68 27/43 98/179
% 1st in 53% 51% 63% 55%
1st pts 26/36 29/35 21/27 76/98
% 1st pts 72% 83% 78% 78%
2nd pts 16/32 20/33 9/16 45/81
% 2nd pts 50% 61% 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 2 5 11
Converted 4/8 2/9 5/9 11/26
Converted % 50% 22% 56% 42%
Conceded 8 1 3 12
Saved 6/8 0/1 2/3 8
Saved % 75% 0% 67% 47%
Times Broken 2 1 1 4

Tennis Scores in Umag

  • Simone Bolelli/Fabio FogniniBolelli/Fabio FogniniLloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara (5-7 7-66 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz GarfiaJannik SinnerSinner (2-1) – H2H and prediction