Alex De Minaur and Jenson Brooksby will clash against each other in the final of the Truist Atlanta Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jenson Brooksby who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jenson Brooksby is the pick to win this match.
Jenson Brooksby -> 1.84
Alex De Minaur -> 2.05

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Jenson Brooksby

There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Jenson Brooksby since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-24 30-11 10-5 13-6 3-2 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 30, the Australian reached the final after beating James Duckworth 6-4 6-4, Adrian Mannarino 4-6 6-3 6-0 and Ilya Ivashka 5-7 6-2 6-2.

In the semifinal against Ivashka, De Minaur recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-2 6-2). During the match, De Minaur scored 96 points vs Ivashka’s 79. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, De Minaur scored 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alex De Minaur lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 67% of his first serves in, winning 67% (40/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Ivashka 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alex has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

De Minaur has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (256-152). 13-5 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has a composed120-63 record in the last 8 years on hard.

De Minaur’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Barcelona, Lyon, Eastbourne and Atlanta.

The Australian has a compiled 31-16 win-loss record in 2022, 13-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Atlanta

Atlanta
De Minaur's Record

Jenson Brooksby

Jenson Brooksby

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
53
High
33
LLWLWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-23 10-10 9-4 1-4 7-5 0-0
2024 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 5-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 27-23 16-10 2-4 6-5 3-4 0-0
2021 49-12 26-8 8-1 11-2 4-1 0-0

Ranked no. 43, the American got to the final after defeating Benoit Paire 6-3 6-1, Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-3 6-4, John Isner 3-6 6-1 6-4 and Frances Tiafoe 6-1 6-4.

In the semifinal, Brooksby had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (6-1 6-4). During the match Brooksby scored 72 points vs Tiafoe’s 50. Jenson was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Brooksby scored 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jenson Brooksby was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (34/44) of his 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jenson broke Tiafoe 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Brooksby has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Jenson’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Dallas.

Brooksby has an overall 21-13 win-loss record in 2022, 10-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Atlanta
Brooksby's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.De Minaur
J.Brooksby
5h:54
5h:54
Time on court​
5h:56
5h:56
!
2h:21
2h:21
Last match​
1h:35
1h:35
3
3
Match played
!
4
4
73
73
Games Played​
78
78
8
8
Set played​​
9
9
247
247
Total points​
285
285
82.3
82.3
Avg point​
71.3
71.3
111
111
Winners
130
130
37
37
Avg Winners​
32.5
32.5
45%
45%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
16
16
Aces
14
14
5.3
5.3
Avg Aces
3.5
3.5
11
11
Double Faults
6
6
3.7
3.7
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
111/153
111/153
1st won total​
130/166
130/166
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
50/93
50/93
2nd won total​
42/71
42/71
54%
54%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
12/18
12/18
BP won
13/28
13/28
4/6
4/6
Avg BP won
3.3/7
3.3/7
!
67%
67%
Won
46%
46%
18
18
Conceded
6
6
6
6
Avg Conceded
1.5
1.5
4
4
Broken
2
2
1.3
1.3
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
14
14
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points De Minaur Brooksby
Match played 3 4
Tot Set 8 9
Tot Games 73 78
Pts 247-205 285-209
Total Points 452 494
Winners 111 130
%Winners 45% 46%

De Minaur played 3 matches while Brooksby competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur surrendered 2 sets, while Jenson Brooksby conceded 1 set. De Minaur has played 1 set(s) less than Brooksby (8 vs 9). Therefore, De Minaur played 5 games less than Brooksby. De Minaur scored 111 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 130 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve De Minaur Brooksby
Aces 16 14
Avg per match 5.3 3.5
1st in 153/246 166/237
%1st in 62% 70%
1st pts 111/153 130/166
%1st pts 73% 78%
2nd pts 50/93 42/71
%2nd pts 54% 59%

De Minaur recorded 16 aces (5.3 per match). Brooksby scored 14 aces (3.5 per match). De Minaur won 73% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Brooksby won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks De Minaur Brooksby
Won 12 13
Converted 12/18 13/28
% Converted 67% 46%
Conceded 18 6
Saved 14 4
% Saved 78% 67%
Times Broken 4 2

Alex broke his opponents 12 times with a 67% conversion rate. De Minaur dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Jenson broke his opponents 13 times with a 46% conversion rate. Brooksby conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
R2
Duckworth
1/4
Mannarino
1/2
Ivashka
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 4-6 6-3 6-0 5-7 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 3 8
Tot Games 20 25 28 73
pts 59-51 92-75 96-79 247-205
Total points 110 167 175 452
Winners 26 45 40 111
%Winners 44% 49% 42% 45%
SERVE
Aces 4 6 6 16
Double Faults 4 3 4 11
1st in 31/59 62/97 60/90 153/246
% 1st in 53% 64% 67% 62%
1st pts 26/31 45/62 40/60 111/153
% 1st pts 84% 73% 67% 73%
2nd pts 14/28 18/35 18/30 50/93
% 2nd pts 50% 51% 60% 54%
Breaks
Won 3 4 5 12
Converted 3/5 4/6 5/7 12/18
Converted % 60% 67% 71% 67%
Conceded 2 9 7 18
Saved 1/2 8/9 5/7 14
Saved % 50% 89% 71% 70%
Times Broken 1 1 2 4
Brooksby
R1
Paire
R2
Mcdonald
1/4
Isner
1/2
Tiafoe
Total
Score 6-3 6-1 6-3 6-4 3-6 6-1 6-4 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 9
Tot Games 16 19 26 17 78
pts 60-37 69-54 84-68 72-50 285-209
Total points 97 123 152 122 494
Winners 29 30 37 34 130
%Winners 48% 43% 44% 47% 46%
SERVE
Aces 3 0 4 7 14
Double Faults 1 3 1 1 6
1st in 36/48 42/65 44/67 44/57 166/237
% 1st in 75% 65% 66% 77% 70%
1st pts 29/36 30/42 37/44 34/44 130/166
% 1st pts 81% 71% 84% 77% 78%
2nd pts 6/12 14/23 14/23 8/13 42/71
% 2nd pts 50% 61% 61% 62% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 3 3 3 13
Converted 4/8 3/4 3/8 3/8 13/28
Converted % 50% 75% 38% 38% 46%
Conceded 1 3 1 1 6
Saved 1/1 2/3 0/1 1/1 4
Saved % 100% 67% 0% 100% 89%
Times Broken 0 1 1 0 2

Upcoming matches in the draw