
Iga Swiatek and Caroline Garcia will square off in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Poland Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on Center Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.157
Caroline Garcia -> 6
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Caroline Garcia
This will be the 2nd time that Iga Swiatek and Caroline Garcia clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Swiatek won 7-6(1) 6-1 in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in 2019.
Iga Swiatek
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 14-4 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Pole got to the quarter after defeating Magdalena Frech 6-1 6-2 and Gabriela Lee 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Talaba (6-3 6-2). During the match, Swiatek scored 63 points vs Talaba’s 37. Swiatek was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek scored just 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault. Iga Swiatek was very efficient on serve to win 82% (28/34) of her 1st serve and 77% (10/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Swiatek broke Talaba 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Iga hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 62% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 80% of her matches (198-51). 18-0 on clay in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a composed92-13 record in the last 7 years on clay.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Doha where she overcame Anett Kontaveit in the final 6-2 6-0 and in in Indian Wells where she beat Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-1 and in in Miami where she beat Naomi Osaka in the final 6-4 6-0 and in in Stuttgart where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-2 and in in Rome where she overcame Ons Jabeur in the final 6-2 6-2 and in at the French Open where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-1 6-3.
Swiatek has an aggregate 48-4 win-loss record in 2022, 18-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Warsaw
The Pole has never competed in this tournament before.
Caroline Garcia
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 17-17 | 10-10 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 40-27 | 23-17 | 4-4 | 7-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 46-21 | 21-13 | 11-4 | 4-1 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 27-26 | 15-14 | 8-6 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 45, the French player got to the quarter after beating Misaki Doi 7-5 6-4 and Elisabetta Cocciaretto 6-3 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Garcia had a good straight sets win against Cocciaretto (6-3 7-5). During the match Garcia scored 72 points vs Cocciaretto’s 60. Garcia was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Garcia fired 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Caroline Garcia was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 74% (25/34) of her 1st serve and 68% (25/37) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Cocciaretto twice after converting 50% of her break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Caroline hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Bad Homburg where she overcame Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4.
Caroline has an overall 24-15 win-loss record in 2022, 8-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Swiatek | Garcia |
---|---|---|
Match played | 2 | 2 |
Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
Tot Games | 32 | 43 |
Pts | 118-71 | 154-134 |
Total Points | 189 | 288 |
Winners | 47 | 59 |
%Winners | 40% | 38% |
Both Swiatek and Garcia played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Swiatek and Garcia have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Swiatek played 11 games less than Garcia. Iga scored 47 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Caroline made 59 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Swiatek | Garcia |
---|---|---|
Aces | 3 | 9 |
Avg per match | 1.5 | 4.5 |
1st in | 56/89 | 80/155 |
%1st in | 63% | 52% |
1st pts | 47/56 | 59/80 |
%1st pts | 84% | 74% |
2nd pts | 23/33 | 42/75 |
%2nd pts | 70% | 56% |
Swiatek managed to score 3 aces (1.5 per match). Garcia made 9 aces (4.5 per match). Swiatek won 84% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Garcia won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Swiatek | Garcia |
---|---|---|
Won | 7 | 6 |
Converted | 7/11 | 6/13 |
% Converted | 64% | 46% |
Conceded | 1 | 13 |
Saved | 1 | 11 |
% Saved | 100% | 85% |
Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Swiatek broke her opponents 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Pole had a solid display on her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. Garcia broke her opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Caroline conceded her serve twice and she saved 85% of the break points that she conceded.
Swiatek | ||||
R1 Frech |
R2 Talaba |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 32 | |
pts | 55-34 | 63-37 | 118-71 | |
Total points | 89 | 100 | 189 | |
Winners | 19 | 28 | 47 | |
%Winners | 35% | 44% | 40% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
1st in | 22/42 | 34/47 | 56/89 | |
% 1st in | 52% | 72% | 63% | |
1st pts | 19/22 | 28/34 | 47/56 | |
% 1st pts | 86% | 82% | 84% | |
2nd pts | 13/20 | 10/13 | 23/33 | |
% 2nd pts | 65% | 77% | 70% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
Converted | 4/7 | 3/4 | 7/11 | |
Converted % | 57% | 75% | 64% | |
Conceded | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Saved | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1 | |
Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Garcia | |||||
R1 Doi |
R2 Cocciaretto |
R2 Cocciaretto |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | 0-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
Tot Games | 22 | 21 | 25 | 68 | |
pts | 82-74 | 72-60 | 60-72 | 214-206 | |
Total points | 156 | 132 | 132 | 420 | |
Winners | 34 | 25 | 28 | 87 | |
%Winners | 41% | 35% | 47% | 41% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9 | |
Double Faults | 8 | 3 | 5 | 16 | |
1st in | 46/84 | 34/71 | 39/61 | 119/216 | |
% 1st in | 55% | 48% | 64% | 55% | |
1st pts | 34/46 | 25/34 | 28/39 | 87/119 | |
% 1st pts | 74% | 74% | 72% | 73% | |
2nd pts | 17/38 | 25/37 | 11/22 | 53/97 | |
% 2nd pts | 45% | 68% | 50% | 55% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
Converted | 4/9 | 2/4 | 0/5 | 6/18 | |
Converted % | 44% | 50% | 0% | 33% | |
Conceded | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17 | |
Saved | 6/8 | 5/5 | 2/4 | 13 | |
Saved % | 75% | 100% | 50% | 113% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
Head 2 Head



Tennis Scores in Warsaw
- Natela Dzalamidze/Viktorija GolubicDzalamidze/Viktorija Golubic – Paula Kania/Renata VoracovaKania/Renata Voracova (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Takuto NikiNiki – Renta TokudaTokuda (6-2 6-75 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Seong Chan HongChan Hong – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kaito UesugiUesugi – Tung-Lin WuWu (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi – Ryota TanumaTanuma (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Caroline GarciaGarcia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Kateryna KozlovaKozlova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ana BogdanBogdan – Laura PigossiPigossi (0-0) – H2H and prediction