Sara Errani and Kateryna Baindl will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the BNP Paribas Poland Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on Court 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sara Errani who should win in 3 sets.
Sara Errani -> 1.69
Kateryna Baindl -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Sara Errani vs. Kateryna Baindl
This will be the 3rd time that Sara Errani and Kateryna Baindl play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Errani (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Errani won 7-6(4) 6-4 in the quarter in the Gaiba back in June 2022.
Sara Errani
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-22 | 9-11 | 13-7 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-31 | 11-9 | 21-17 | 3-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 8-10 | 21-15 | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-21 | 6-10 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 127, the Italian reached the 2nd round after defeating Andrea Lazaro Garcia 6-72 6-3 6-0, Paula Ormaechea 6-2 6-3 and Arantxa Rus 6-1 5-7 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Italian defeated Rus (6-1 5-7 6-4). During the match, Errani scored 101 points vs Rus’s 83. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Errani was unable to score even 1 ace during the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Sara Errani lost the serve 6 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Errani put 81% of her first serves in, winning 59% (35/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the 2nd serve. Sara broke Rus 9 times after converting 60% of her break points (9/15).
Errani has a positive record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (289-212). 15-8 on clay in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Errani has an aggregate 153-86 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in the Contrexeville where she defeated Dalma Galfi in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(4).
The Italian has a compiled 22-16 win-loss record in 2022, 15-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Warsaw
Kateryna Baindl
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10-13 | 1-3 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-21 | 11-10 | 6-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-27 | 8-4 | 24-17 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-18 | 8-5 | 10-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 190, Kozlova got to the 2nd round after defeating Yuliya Hatouka 6-4 6-3 and Maryna Zanevska 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, Kozlova had a good straight sets win against Zanevska (6-3 6-3). During the match Kozlova scored 66 points vs Zanevska’s 56. The Ukrainian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Kozlova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Kateryna Baindl lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kozlova put 82% of her first serves in, winning 64% (29/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (4/10) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Zanevska 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
The Ukrainian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the W60 Montpellier.
Kateryna has an aggregate 14-15 win-loss record in 2022, 10-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Errani | Kozlova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 74 | 37 |
| Pts | 284-237 | 138-119 |
| Total Points | 521 | 257 |
| Winners | 106 | 56 |
| %Winners | 37% | 41% |
Errani played 3 matches while Kozlova competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Sara Errani dropped 2 sets while Kateryna Baindl hasn’t lost a set so far. Errani has played 4 sets more than Kozlova (8 vs 4). Therefore, Errani played 37 games more than Kozlova. Errani scored 106 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian struck 56 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Errani | Kozlova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 192/240 | 91/119 |
| %1st in | 80% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 106/192 | 56/91 |
| %1st pts | 55% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 25/48 | 10/28 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 36% |
Errani didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kozlova bagged 5 aces (2.5 per match). Errani won 55% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Kozlova won 62% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 36% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Errani | Kozlova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 25 | 12 |
| Converted | 25/52 | 12/19 |
| % Converted | 48% | 63% |
| Conceded | 29 | 10 |
| Saved | 15 | 4 |
| % Saved | 52% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 14 | 6 |
Sara broke her opponents 25 times with a 48% conversion rate. Sara lost her serve 14 times and she saved 52% of the break points that she conceded. Kateryna broke her opponents 12 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded.
| Errani | |||||
| Q1 Lazaro Garcia | Q3 Ormaechea | R1 Rus | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-72 6-3 6-0 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-1 5-7 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 17 | 29 | 74 | |
| pts | 103-90 | 80-64 | 101-83 | 284-237 | |
| Total points | 193 | 144 | 184 | 521 | |
| Winners | 41 | 30 | 35 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% | 35% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 76/97 | 57/70 | 59/73 | 192/240 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 81% | 81% | 80% | |
| 1st pts | 41/76 | 30/57 | 35/59 | 106/192 | |
| % 1st pts | 54% | 53% | 59% | 55% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 6/13 | 9/14 | 25/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 46% | 64% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 9 | 7 | 9 | 25 | |
| Converted | 9/15 | 7/22 | 9/15 | 25/52 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 32% | 60% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 11 | 9 | 29 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 7/11 | 3/9 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 64% | 33% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | |
| Kozlova | |||||
| Q1 Hatouka | Q3 Maleckova | R1 Zanevska | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 5-7 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 30 | 18 | 67 | |
| pts | 72-63 | – | 66-56 | 138-119 | |
| Total points | 135 | 0 | 122 | 257 | |
| Winners | 27 | 29 | 56 | ||
| %Winners | 38% | 0% | 44% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 9 | ||
| 1st in | 46/64 | / | 45/55 | 91/119 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 0% | 82% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 27/46 | / | 29/45 | 56/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 0% | 64% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/18 | / | 4/10 | 10/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 0% | 40% | 36% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 12 | ||
| Converted | 7/10 | / | 5/9 | 12/19 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 0% | 56% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 | 10 | ||
| Saved | 2/6 | 0/ | 2/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 50% | 28% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 6 | ||
Tennis Scores in Warsaw
- Laura PigossiPigossi – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (3-6 6-0 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (0-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ana BogdanBogdan – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-0 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi – Yuichi ItoIto (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ryota TanumaTanuma – Masaki OsafuneOsafune (7-5 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Ken OnishiOnishi (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Takuto NikiNiki – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (6-74 6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Renta TokudaTokuda – Sho KatayamaKatayama (7-62 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Seong Chan HongChan Hong – Gengo KikuchiKikuchi (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tung-Lin WuWu – Shinji HazawaHazawa (6-3 2-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kaito UesugiUesugi – Jumpei YamasakiYamasaki (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Gabriela TalabaTalaba (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Clara BurelBurel (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Kristina MladenovicMladenovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Maja ChwalinskaChwalinska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sara ErraniErrani – Kateryna KozlovaKozlova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ana BogdanBogdan – Laura PigossiPigossi (0-0) – H2H and prediction