Roman Safiullin and Denis Yevseyev will face off in the final of the Nur-Sultan Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Roman Safiullin who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Roman Safiullin is the pick to win this match.
Roman Safiullin -> 1.132
Denis Yevseyev -> 5.9

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Prediction and head to head Roman Safiullin vs. Denis Yevseyev

This will be the 2^nd time that Roman Safiullin and Denis Yevseyev square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Yevseyev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Yevseyev won 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the 1^st round in the Astana Challenger back in 2018.

Roman Safiullin

Ranked no. 151, Roman got to the final after beating Seong Chan Hong 6-2 3-6 6-3, Alafia Ayeni 6-2 6-4, Benjamin Lock 6-2 6-3 and Dmitry Popko 6-3 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Popko (6-3 6-2). During the match, Safiullin scored 59 points vs Popko’s 37. Safiullin was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Safiullin recorded 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Roman Safiullin was quite efficient on serve to win 84% (26/31) of his 1st serve and 64% (7/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Safiullin broke Popko 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Roman has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Safiullin has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 68% of his matches (319-152). 8-4 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Safiullin has an overall 192-64 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Safiullin’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Marseille,the Pau Challenger,the Troisdorf Challenger and the Sultan Challenger.

Safiullin has a composed 24-13 win-loss record in 2022, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the The Nur-Sultan Challenger

Denis Yevseyev

Ranked no. 341, Denis reached the final after beating Alibek Kachmazov 6-3 3-6 6-4, Evgeny Karlovskiy 3-6 6-2 6-4, Gabriel Decamps 6-4 2-6 6-4 and Beibit Zhukayev 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal, Denis had a good straight sets win against Zhukayev (6-4 6-4). During the match Yevseyev scored 67 points vs Zhukayev’s 55. Denis was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Yevseyev managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Denis Yevseyev was pretty efficient on serve to win 87% (27/31) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Kazakhstani broke Zhukayev twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Denis has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Yevseyev’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Vilnius.

The Kazakhstani has a composed 28-17 win-loss record in 2022, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Safiullin	Yevseyev
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	11
Tot Games	78	103
Pts	278-212	334-299
Total Points	490	633
Winners	118	128
%Winners	42%	38%

Both Safiullin and Yevseyev played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Roman Safiullin dropped 1 set, while Denis Yevseyev surrendered 3 sets. Safiullin has played 2 set(s) less than Yevseyev (9 vs 11). Therefore, Safiullin played 25 games less than Yevseyev. The Russian scored 118 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani recorded 128 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Safiullin	Yevseyev
Aces	20	30
Avg per match	5	7.5
1st in	154/246	168/320
%1st in	63%	53%
1st pts	118/154	128/168
%1st pts	77%	76%
2nd pts	50/92	72/152
%2nd pts	54%	47%

Safiullin fired 20 aces (5 per match). Yevseyev made 30 aces (7.5 per match). Safiullin won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Yevseyev won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Safiullin	Yevseyev
Won	16	17
Converted	16/29	17/36
% Converted	55%	47%
Conceded	23	20
Saved	19	7
% Saved	83%	35%
Times Broken	4	13

Safiullin broke his opponents 16 times with a 55% conversion rate. Roman conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 17 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 35% of the break points that he conceded.

Safiullin
	R1 Chan Hong	R2 Ayeni	1/4 Lock	1/2 Popko	Total
Score	6-2 3-6 6-3	6-2 6-4	6-2 6-3	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	2	2	9
Tot Games	26	18	17	17	78
pts	85-71	68-54	66-50	59-37	278-212
Total points	156	122	116	96	490
Winners	32	33	27	26	118
%Winners	38%	49%	41%	44%	42%
SERVE
Aces	6	3	6	5	20
Double Faults	4	9	4	1	18
1st in	49/78	44/70	30/56	31/42	154/246
% 1st in	63%	63%	54%	74%	63%
1st pts	32/49	33/44	27/30	26/31	118/154
% 1st pts	65%	75%	90%	84%	77%
2nd pts	18/29	11/26	14/26	7/11	50/92
% 2nd pts	62%	42%	54%	64%	54%
Breaks
Won	5	4	3	4	16
Converted	5/9	4/6	3/8	4/6	16/29
Converted %	56%	67%	38%	67%	55%
Conceded	11	10	2	0	23
Saved	8/11	9/10	2/2	0/0	19
Saved %	73%	90%	100%	–	66%
Times Broken	3	1	0	0	4

Yevseyev
	R1 Kachmazov	R2 Karlovskiy	1/4 Decamps	1/2 Zhukayev	Total
Score	6-3 3-6 6-4	3-6 6-2 6-4	6-4 2-6 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	3	2	11
Tot Games	28	27	28	20	103
pts	96-84	88-79	83-81	67-55	334-299
Total points	180	167	164	122	633
Winners	30	36	35	27	128
%Winners	31%	41%	42%	40%	38%
SERVE
Aces	3	11	12	4	30
Double Faults	6	4	8	1	19
1st in	47/88	45/85	45/86	31/61	168/320
% 1st in	53%	53%	52%	51%	53%
1st pts	30/47	36/45	35/45	27/31	128/168
% 1st pts	64%	80%	78%	87%	76%
2nd pts	17/41	17/40	20/41	18/30	72/152
% 2nd pts	41%	43%	49%	60%	47%
Breaks
Won	8	4	3	2	17
Converted	8/13	4/11	3/5	2/7	17/36
Converted %	62%	36%	60%	29%	47%
Conceded	9	6	4	1	20
Saved	2/9	3/6	1/4	1/1	7
Saved %	22%	50%	25%	100%	49%
Times Broken	7	3	3	0	13

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (0-1) – H2H and prediction