Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini will play each other in the final of the Swiss Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:30 am on ROY EMERSON ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.88
Matteo Berrettini -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 5th time that Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they played, Berrettini won 6-4 6-4 in the semifinal in Madrid back in 2021.
Highlights Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud – Madrid 08-May-2021
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5 (career-high), Ruud got to the final after defeating Jiri Lehecka 6-3 6-4, Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 7-63 7-64 and Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-2 6-0.
In the semifinal, The Norwegian had a good straight sets win against Ramos-Vinolas (6-2 6-0). During the match, Ruud scored 52 points vs Ramos-Vinolas’s 29. The Norwegian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ruud scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Casper Ruud was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (21/26) of his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Norwegian broke Ramos-Vinolas 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Casper hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Ruud has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (299-161). 24-7 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ruud has an aggregate189-87 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title in in Buenos Aires where he beat Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3 and in in Geneva where he defeated Joao Sousa in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(1).
Casper has a composed 34-13 win-loss record in 2022, 24-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Gstaad
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, Berrettini got to the final after beating Richard Gasquet 6-4 6-4, Pedro Martinez Portero 3-6 7-65 6-1 and Dominic Thiem 6-1 6-4.
In the semifinal, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Thiem (6-1 6-4). During the match Berrettini scored 61 points vs Thiem’s 41. Berrettini was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Berrettini struck 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Matteo Berrettini lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 67% of his first serves in, winning 85% (29/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (7/17) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Thiem 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Berrettini has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Stuttgart where he defeated Andy Murray in the final 6-4 5-7 6-3 and in in London where he defeated Filip Krajinovic in the final 7-5 6-4.
Matteo has an aggregate 21-6 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Gstaad
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 59 | 66 |
| Pts | 228-174 | 223-190 |
| Total Points | 402 | 413 |
| Winners | 84 | 98 |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% |
Both Ruud and Berrettini played 3 matches. At the moment, Matteo Berrettini lost 1 set while Casper Ruud hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Ruud has played 1 set(s) less than Berrettini (6 vs 7). Therefore, Ruud played 7 games less than Berrettini. Ruud scored 84 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo fired 98 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 2.7 | 8.7 |
| 1st in | 103/184 | 119/196 |
| %1st in | 56% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 84/103 | 98/119 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 48/81 | 42/77 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 55% |
Ruud bagged 8 aces (2.7 per match). Berrettini blasted 26 aces (8.7 per match). Ruud won 82% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 9 |
| Converted | 9/29 | 9/22 |
| % Converted | 31% | 41% |
| Conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Saved | 9 | 7 |
| % Saved | 82% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Ruud broke his opponents 9 times with a 31% conversion rate. Ruud dropped his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Berrettini broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | |||||
| R2 Lehecka |
1/4 Munar Clar |
1/2 Ramos-Vinolas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-63 7-64 | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 26 | 14 | 59 | |
| pts | 81-62 | 95-83 | 52-29 | 228-174 | |
| Total points | 143 | 178 | 81 | 402 | |
| Winners | 25 | 38 | 21 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 40% | 40% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 28/57 | 49/84 | 26/43 | 103/184 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 58% | 60% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 25/28 | 38/49 | 21/26 | 84/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 78% | 81% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/29 | 20/35 | 9/17 | 48/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 57% | 53% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/15 | 2/7 | 5/7 | 9/29 | |
| Converted % | 13% | 29% | 71% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 0 | 11 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | – | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Berrettini | |||||
| R2 Gasquet |
1/4 Martinez Portero |
1/2 Thiem |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 3-6 7-65 6-1 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 29 | 17 | 66 | |
| pts | 66-58 | 96-91 | 61-41 | 223-190 | |
| Total points | 124 | 187 | 102 | 413 | |
| Winners | 31 | 38 | 29 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 40% | 48% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 15 | 4 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 39/64 | 46/81 | 34/51 | 119/196 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 57% | 67% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 31/39 | 38/46 | 29/34 | 98/119 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 83% | 85% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 20/35 | 7/17 | 42/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 57% | 41% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 3/9 | 4/6 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 33% | 67% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/3 | 3/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 75% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Casper RuudRuud – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-2) – H2H and prediction
