Matteo Berrettini and Dominic Thiem will square off in the semifinal of the Swiss Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on ROY EMERSON ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.64
Dominic Thiem -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Dominic Thiem
This will be the 6th time that Matteo Berrettini and Dominic Thiem play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but Thiem leads 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Berrettini won 6-2 6-4 in the R in Atp cup back in 2021.
Highlights Matteo Berrettini vs Dominic Thiem – Atp cup 02-February-2021
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-17 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 6-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, the Italian got to the semifinal after beating Richard Gasquet 6-4 6-4 and Pedro Martinez Portero 3-6 7-65 6-1.
In the quarter against Martinez Portero, Matteo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-65 6-1). During the match, Berrettini scored 96 points vs Martinez Portero’s 91. Berrettini was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Berrettini scored 15 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was pretty efficient on serve to win 83% (38/46) of his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Berrettini broke Martinez Portero 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Berrettini has conceded 1 set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.
Berrettini has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 67% of his matches (268-130). 3-1 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Berrettini has an overall80-39 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in in Stuttgart where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-4 5-7 6-3 and in in London where he overcame Filip Krajinovic in the final 7-5 6-4.
The Italian has a composed 20-6 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Gstaad
Dominic Thiem
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-30 | 1-5 | 18-15 | 8-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-19 | 2-2 | 8-11 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-9 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-9 | 14-4 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 274, the Austrian reached the semifinal after beating Hugo Gaston 1-6 6-1 7-67, Federico Delbonis 7-66 6-3 and Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, The Austrian had a good straight sets win against Pablo Patino-Samudio (6-4 6-3). During the match Thiem scored 68 points vs Pablo Patino-Samudio’s 63. Dominic was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Thiem managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Dominic Thiem lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Thiem put 62% of his first serves in, winning 78% (25/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 30% (6/20) on the 2nd serve. The Austrian broke Pablo Patino-Samudio 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Dominic has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Dominic has a composed 6-9 win-loss record in 2022, 6-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 68 |
| Pts | 162-149 | 228-209 |
| Total Points | 311 | 437 |
| Winners | 69 | 85 |
| %Winners | 43% | 37% |
Berrettini played 2 matches while Thiem competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Berrettini dropped 1 set, while Dominic Thiem dropped 1 set. Berrettini has played 2 set(s) less than Thiem (5 vs 7). Therefore, Berrettini played 19 games less than Thiem. Matteo scored 69 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Dominic fired 85 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 4.7 |
| 1st in | 85/145 | 111/196 |
| %1st in | 59% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 69/85 | 85/111 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 35/60 | 45/85 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 53% |
Berrettini blasted 22 aces (11 per match). Thiem bagged 14 aces (4.7 per match). Berrettini won 81% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Thiem won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 10 |
| Converted | 5/16 | 10/23 |
| % Converted | 31% | 43% |
| Conceded | 5 | 11 |
| Saved | 4 | 6 |
| % Saved | 80% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Berrettini broke his opponents 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. Berrettini surrendered his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Thiem broke his opponents 10 times with a 43% conversion rate. Thiem conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Berrettini | ||||
| R2 Gasquet | 1/4 Martinez Portero | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 3-6 7-65 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 29 | 49 | |
| pts | 66-58 | 96-91 | 162-149 | |
| Total points | 124 | 187 | 311 | |
| Winners | 31 | 38 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 40% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 15 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 39/64 | 46/81 | 85/145 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 57% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 31/39 | 38/46 | 69/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 83% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 20/35 | 35/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 57% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 3/9 | 5/16 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 33% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Thiem | |||||
| R1 Gaston | R2 Delbonis | 1/4 Pablo Patino-Samudio | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-1 7-67 | 7-66 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 22 | 19 | 68 | |
| pts | 86-82 | 74-64 | 68-63 | 228-209 | |
| Total points | 168 | 138 | 131 | 437 | |
| Winners | 31 | 29 | 25 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 39% | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 3 | 4 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 0 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 43/78 | 36/66 | 32/52 | 111/196 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | 62% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 31/43 | 29/36 | 25/32 | 85/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 81% | 78% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/35 | 17/30 | 6/20 | 45/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 57% | 30% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/5 | 5/12 | 10/23 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 60% | 42% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 3/4 | 2/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 75% | 50% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores in Gstaad
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (3-6 7-65 6-1) – See score progression
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-64 4-6 7-68) – See score progression
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-63 7-64) – See score progression
- Tomislav Brkic/Francisco CabralBrkic/Francisco Cabral – Andre Goransson/Ben McLachlanGoransson/Ben McLachlan (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo Sonego/Andrea VavassoriSonego/Andrea Vavassori – Roman Jebavy/Jonny O’MaraJebavy/Jonny O’Mara (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (2-4) – H2H and prediction