Matteo Berrettini and Dominic Thiem will square off in the semifinal of the Swiss Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on ROY EMERSON ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.64
Dominic Thiem -> 2.375

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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Dominic Thiem

This will be the 6th time that Matteo Berrettini and Dominic Thiem play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but Thiem leads 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Berrettini won 6-2 6-4 in the R in Atp cup back in 2021.

Highlights Matteo Berrettini vs Dominic Thiem – Atp cup 02-February-2021

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
56
High
6
WLWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-17 10-9 4-3 6-4 0-1 0-0
2024 36-13 7-6 15-1 8-3 6-3 0-0
2023 14-12 9-10 2-0 0-0 3-2 0-0
2022 32-12 15-9 4-2 4-1 9-0 0-0
2021 41-12 14-5 13-4 3-2 11-1 0-0

Ranked no. 15, the Italian got to the semifinal after beating Richard Gasquet 6-4 6-4 and Pedro Martinez Portero 3-6 7-65 6-1.

In the quarter against Martinez Portero, Matteo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-65 6-1). During the match, Berrettini scored 96 points vs Martinez Portero’s 91. Berrettini was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about the service games, Berrettini scored 15 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was pretty efficient on serve to win 83% (38/46) of his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Berrettini broke Martinez Portero 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Berrettini has conceded 1 set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.

Berrettini has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 67% of his matches (268-130). 3-1 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Berrettini has an overall80-39 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in in Stuttgart where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-4 5-7 6-3 and in in London where he overcame Filip Krajinovic in the final 7-5 6-4.

The Italian has a composed 20-6 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Gstaad

Gstaad
Berrettini's Record

Dominic Thiem

Dominic Thiem

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
524
High
3
LLLLLLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 7-14 2-3 4-9 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 27-30 1-5 18-15 8-8 0-2 0-0
2022 23-19 2-2 8-11 13-6 0-0 0-0
2021 9-9 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-1 0-0
2020 25-9 14-4 6-2 5-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 274, the Austrian reached the semifinal after beating Hugo Gaston 1-6 6-1 7-67, Federico Delbonis 7-66 6-3 and Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 6-3.

In the quarter, The Austrian had a good straight sets win against Pablo Patino-Samudio (6-4 6-3). During the match Thiem scored 68 points vs Pablo Patino-Samudio’s 63. Dominic was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

About the serving games, Thiem managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Dominic Thiem lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Thiem put 62% of his first serves in, winning 78% (25/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 30% (6/20) on the 2nd serve. The Austrian broke Pablo Patino-Samudio 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dominic has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Dominic has a composed 6-9 win-loss record in 2022, 6-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Gstaad
Thiem's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Berrettini
D.Thiem
3h:45
3h:45
Time on court​
!
5h:41
5h:41
!
2h:16
2h:16
Last match​
1h:46
1h:46
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
49
49
Games Played​
68
68
5
5
Set played​​
7
7
162
162
Total points​
228
228
81
81
Avg point​
76
76
69
69
Winners
85
85
34.5
34.5
Avg Winners​
28.3
28.3
43%
43%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
22
22
Aces
14
14
!
11
11
Avg Aces
4.7
4.7
8
8
Double Faults
9
9
4
4
Avg Double Faults
3
3
69/85
69/85
1st won total​
85/111
85/111
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
35/60
35/60
2nd won total​
45/85
45/85
58%
58%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
5/16
5/16
BP won
10/23
10/23
2.5/8
2.5/8
Avg BP won
3.3/7.7
3.3/7.7
31%
31%
Won
43%
43%
5
5
Conceded
11
11
2.5
2.5
Avg Conceded
3.7
3.7
1
1
Broken
5
5
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
1.7
1.7
4
4
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Berrettini Thiem
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 5 7
Tot Games 49 68
Pts 162-149 228-209
Total Points 311 437
Winners 69 85
%Winners 43% 37%

Berrettini played 2 matches while Thiem competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Berrettini dropped 1 set, while Dominic Thiem dropped 1 set. Berrettini has played 2 set(s) less than Thiem (5 vs 7). Therefore, Berrettini played 19 games less than Thiem. Matteo scored 69 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Dominic fired 85 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Berrettini Thiem
Aces 22 14
Avg per match 11 4.7
1st in 85/145 111/196
%1st in 59% 57%
1st pts 69/85 85/111
%1st pts 81% 77%
2nd pts 35/60 45/85
%2nd pts 58% 53%

Berrettini blasted 22 aces (11 per match). Thiem bagged 14 aces (4.7 per match). Berrettini won 81% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Thiem won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Berrettini Thiem
Won 5 10
Converted 5/16 10/23
% Converted 31% 43%
Conceded 5 11
Saved 4 6
% Saved 80% 55%
Times Broken 1 5

Berrettini broke his opponents 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. Berrettini surrendered his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Thiem broke his opponents 10 times with a 43% conversion rate. Thiem conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.

Berrettini
R2
Gasquet
1/4
Martinez Portero
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 3-6 7-65 6-1
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 20 29 49
pts 66-58 96-91 162-149
Total points 124 187 311
Winners 31 38 69
%Winners 47% 40% 43%
SERVE
Aces 7 15 22
Double Faults 3 5 8
1st in 39/64 46/81 85/145
% 1st in 61% 57% 59%
1st pts 31/39 38/46 69/85
% 1st pts 79% 83% 81%
2nd pts 15/25 20/35 35/60
% 2nd pts 60% 57% 58%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/7 3/9 5/16
Converted % 29% 33% 31%
Conceded 2 3 5
Saved 2/2 2/3 4
Saved % 100% 67% 84%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Thiem
R1
Gaston
R2
Delbonis
1/4
Pablo Patino-Samudio
Total
Score 1-6 6-1 7-67 7-66 6-3 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 2 7
Tot Games 27 22 19 68
pts 86-82 74-64 68-63 228-209
Total points 168 138 131 437
Winners 31 29 25 85
%Winners 36% 39% 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 7 3 4 14
Double Faults 5 0 4 9
1st in 43/78 36/66 32/52 111/196
% 1st in 55% 55% 62% 57%
1st pts 31/43 29/36 25/32 85/111
% 1st pts 72% 81% 78% 77%
2nd pts 22/35 17/30 6/20 45/85
% 2nd pts 63% 57% 30% 53%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5 10
Converted 2/6 3/5 5/12 10/23
Converted % 33% 60% 42% 43%
Conceded 3 4 4 11
Saved 1/3 3/4 2/4 6
Saved % 33% 75% 50% 79%
Times Broken 2 1 2 5

Tennis Scores in Gstaad

  • Matteo BerrettiniBerrettiniPedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (3-6 7-65 6-1) – See score progression
  • Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-VinolasNicolas JarryJarry (7-64 4-6 7-68) – See score progression
  • Dominic ThiemThiemJuan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
  • Casper RuudRuudJaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-63 7-64) – See score progression
  • Tomislav Brkic/Francisco CabralBrkic/Francisco CabralAndre Goransson/Ben McLachlanGoransson/Ben McLachlan (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
  • Lorenzo Sonego/Andrea VavassoriSonego/Andrea VavassoriRoman Jebavy/Jonny O’MaraJebavy/Jonny O’Mara (6-2 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw