Francisco Cerundolo and Lorenzo Musetti will face off in the semifinal of the Hamburg European Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francisco Cerundolo who should win in 3 sets.
Francisco Cerundolo -> 1.87
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.02
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Prediction and head to head Francisco Cerundolo vs. Lorenzo Musetti
This will be the 2nd time that Francisco Cerundolo and Lorenzo Musetti play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Musetti won 6-3 6-0 in the 2nd round in the Cordenons Challenger back in 2020.
Francisco Cerundolo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-24 | 12-8 | 21-11 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-31 | 5-10 | 21-13 | 9-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-26 | 10-10 | 19-12 | 4-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 7-8 | 25-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-24 | 3-2 | 39-21 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30 (career-high), the Argentine got to the semifinal after beating Daniel Altmaier 2-6 6-4 6-2, Andrey Rublev 6-4 6-2 and Aslan Karatsev 6-3 4-6 7-64.
In the quarter, Francisco defeated Karatsev (6-3 4-6 7-64). During the match, Cerundolo and Karatsev scored the same amount of points (97). However, the world no. 30 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Francisco was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Cerundolo made 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Francisco Cerundolo lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Cerundolo put 52% of his first serves in, winning 65% (35/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (24/49) on the 2nd serve. Cerundolo broke Karatsev 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cerundolo has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Cerundolo has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 70% of his matches (236-99). 25-9 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Cerundolo has a composed215-84 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Bastad where he beat Sebastian Baez in the final 7-6(4) 6-2.
The Argentine has a composed 33-17 win-loss record in 2022, 25-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hamburg
Cerundolo has never competed in this tournament before.
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45-22 | 18-11 | 19-4 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 62, the Italian reached the semifinal after beating Dusan Lajovic 6-74 7-64 6-3, Emil Ruusuvuori 6-4 7-5 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, Musetti had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-4 6-3). During the match Musetti scored 66 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 50. Lorenzo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Musetti struck 2 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 74% of his first serves in, winning 60% (24/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 79% (11/14) on the 2nd serve. Lorenzo broke Davidovich Fokina 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Musetti has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Musetti’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Forli 6 Challenger.
Musetti has a composed 24-17 win-loss record in 2022, 18-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cerundolo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 76 |
| Pts | 263-243 | 257-217 |
| Total Points | 506 | 474 |
| Winners | 96 | 118 |
| %Winners | 37% | 46% |
Both Cerundolo and Musetti played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Francisco Cerundolo lost 2 sets, while Lorenzo Musetti conceded 1 set. Cerundolo has played 1 set more than Musetti (8 vs 7). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (76). Cerundolo scored 96 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo bagged 118 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cerundolo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 147/258 | 166/236 |
| %1st in | 57% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 96/147 | 118/166 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 58/111 | 40/70 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 57% |
Cerundolo made 8 aces (2.7 per match). Musetti scored 5 aces (1.7 per match). Cerundolo won 65% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cerundolo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 12 |
| Converted | 13/26 | 12/21 |
| % Converted | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded | 25 | 18 |
| Saved | 17 | 12 |
| % Saved | 68% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 6 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Cerundolo dropped his serve 8 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. Musetti broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Cerundolo | |||||
| R1 Altmaier | R2 Rublev | 1/4 Karatsev | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 4-6 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 18 | 32 | 76 | |
| pts | 95-89 | 71-57 | 97-97 | 263-243 | |
| Total points | 184 | 128 | 194 | 506 | |
| Winners | 37 | 24 | 35 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 34% | 36% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 55/92 | 38/63 | 54/103 | 147/258 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | 52% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 37/55 | 24/38 | 35/54 | 96/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 63% | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/37 | 14/25 | 24/49 | 58/111 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 56% | 49% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 5/12 | 5/6 | 13/26 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 42% | 83% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 7 | 8 | 25 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 5/7 | 4/8 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 71% | 50% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | |
| Musetti | |||||
| R1 Lajovic | R2 Ruusuvuori | 1/4 Davidovich Fokina | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 7-64 6-3 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 22 | 19 | 76 | |
| pts | 116-104 | 75-63 | 66-50 | 257-217 | |
| Total points | 220 | 138 | 116 | 474 | |
| Winners | 63 | 31 | 24 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 41% | 36% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 82/112 | 44/70 | 40/54 | 166/236 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 63% | 74% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 63/82 | 31/44 | 24/40 | 118/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 70% | 60% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 12/26 | 11/14 | 40/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 46% | 79% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 5/10 | 5/7 | 12/21 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 71% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | 4 | 18 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 4/7 | 2/4 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 57% | 50% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores in Hamburg
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (6-3 4-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Borna CoricCoric (7-67 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev (w/o) – See score progression
- Tim Puetz/Michael VenusPuetz/Michael Venus – Daniel Altmaier/Jan-Lennard StruffAltmaier/Jan-Lennard Struff (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara – Kevin Krawietz/Andreas MiesKrawietz/Andreas Mies (6-1 7-60) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alex MolcanMolcan (0-0) – H2H and prediction