Francisco Cerundolo and Lorenzo Musetti will face off in the semifinal of the Hamburg European Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francisco Cerundolo who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Francisco Cerundolo is the pick to win this match.
Francisco Cerundolo -> 1.87
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.02

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Prediction and head to head Francisco Cerundolo vs. Lorenzo Musetti

This will be the 2nd time that Francisco Cerundolo and Lorenzo Musetti play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Musetti won 6-3 6-0 in the 2nd round in the Cordenons Challenger back in 2020.

Francisco Cerundolo

Francisco Cerundolo

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
21
High
18
LWWLWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 38-24 12-8 21-11 5-3 0-2 0-0
2024 35-31 5-10 21-13 9-5 0-3 0-0
2023 39-26 10-10 19-12 4-2 6-2 0-0
2022 36-28 7-8 25-10 3-7 1-3 0-0
2021 44-24 3-2 39-21 0-0 2-1 0-0

Ranked no. 30 (career-high), the Argentine got to the semifinal after beating Daniel Altmaier 2-6 6-4 6-2, Andrey Rublev 6-4 6-2 and Aslan Karatsev 6-3 4-6 7-64.

In the quarter, Francisco defeated Karatsev (6-3 4-6 7-64). During the match, Cerundolo and Karatsev scored the same amount of points (97). However, the world no. 30 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Francisco was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Cerundolo made 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Francisco Cerundolo lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Cerundolo put 52% of his first serves in, winning 65% (35/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (24/49) on the 2nd serve. Cerundolo broke Karatsev 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cerundolo has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Cerundolo has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 70% of his matches (236-99). 25-9 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Cerundolo has a composed215-84 match record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Bastad where he beat Sebastian Baez in the final 7-6(4) 6-2.

The Argentine has a composed 33-17 win-loss record in 2022, 25-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hamburg

Cerundolo has never competed in this tournament before.

Hamburg
Cerundolo's Record

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
8
High
6
LWLLWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-22 18-11 19-4 8-6 0-1 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 62, the Italian reached the semifinal after beating Dusan Lajovic 6-74 7-64 6-3, Emil Ruusuvuori 6-4 7-5 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-4 6-3.

In the quarter, Musetti had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-4 6-3). During the match Musetti scored 66 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 50. Lorenzo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Musetti struck 2 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 74% of his first serves in, winning 60% (24/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 79% (11/14) on the 2nd serve. Lorenzo broke Davidovich Fokina 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Musetti has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Musetti’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Forli 6 Challenger.

Musetti has a composed 24-17 win-loss record in 2022, 18-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Hamburg
Musetti's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

F.Cerundolo
L.Musetti
6h:09
6h:09
Time on court​
6h:16
6h:16
!
2h:25
2h:25
Last match​
1h:30
1h:30
3
3
Match played
3
3
76
76
Games Played​
76
76
8
8
Set played​​
7
7
263
263
Total points​
257
257
87.7
87.7
Avg point​
85.7
85.7
96
96
Winners
118
118
32
32
Avg Winners​
39.3
39.3
37%
37%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
5
5
2.7
2.7
Avg Aces
1.7
1.7
6
6
Double Faults
3
3
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1
1
96/147
96/147
1st won total​
118/166
118/166
65%
65%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
58/111
58/111
2nd won total​
40/70
40/70
52%
52%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
13/26
13/26
BP won
12/21
12/21
4.3/8.7
4.3/8.7
Avg BP won
4/7
4/7
50%
50%
Won
!
57%
57%
25
25
Conceded
18
18
8.3
8.3
Avg Conceded
6
6
8
8
Broken
6
6
2.7
2.7
Avg Broken
2
2
17
17
Saved
12
12

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Cerundolo Musetti
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 8 7
Tot Games 76 76
Pts 263-243 257-217
Total Points 506 474
Winners 96 118
%Winners 37% 46%

Both Cerundolo and Musetti played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Francisco Cerundolo lost 2 sets, while Lorenzo Musetti conceded 1 set. Cerundolo has played 1 set more than Musetti (8 vs 7). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (76). Cerundolo scored 96 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo bagged 118 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve Cerundolo Musetti
Aces 8 5
Avg per match 2.7 1.7
1st in 147/258 166/236
%1st in 57% 70%
1st pts 96/147 118/166
%1st pts 65% 71%
2nd pts 58/111 40/70
%2nd pts 52% 57%

Cerundolo made 8 aces (2.7 per match). Musetti scored 5 aces (1.7 per match). Cerundolo won 65% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Cerundolo Musetti
Won 13 12
Converted 13/26 12/21
% Converted 50% 57%
Conceded 25 18
Saved 17 12
% Saved 68% 67%
Times Broken 8 6

The Argentine broke his opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Cerundolo dropped his serve 8 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. Musetti broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Cerundolo
R1
Altmaier
R2
Rublev
1/4
Karatsev
Total
Score 2-6 6-4 6-2 6-4 6-2 6-3 4-6 7-64
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 26 18 32 76
pts 95-89 71-57 97-97 263-243
Total points 184 128 194 506
Winners 37 24 35 96
%Winners 39% 34% 36% 37%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 5 8
Double Faults 2 1 3 6
1st in 55/92 38/63 54/103 147/258
% 1st in 60% 60% 52% 57%
1st pts 37/55 24/38 35/54 96/147
% 1st pts 67% 63% 65% 65%
2nd pts 20/37 14/25 24/49 58/111
% 2nd pts 54% 56% 49% 52%
Breaks
Won 3 5 5 13
Converted 3/8 5/12 5/6 13/26
Converted % 38% 42% 83% 50%
Conceded 10 7 8 25
Saved 8/10 5/7 4/8 17
Saved % 80% 71% 50% 67%
Times Broken 2 2 4 8
Musetti
R1
Lajovic
R2
Ruusuvuori
1/4
Davidovich Fokina
Total
Score 6-74 7-64 6-3 6-4 7-5 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 2 7
Tot Games 35 22 19 76
pts 116-104 75-63 66-50 257-217
Total points 220 138 116 474
Winners 63 31 24 118
%Winners 54% 41% 36% 46%
SERVE
Aces 2 1 2 5
Double Faults 1 2 0 3
1st in 82/112 44/70 40/54 166/236
% 1st in 73% 63% 74% 70%
1st pts 63/82 31/44 24/40 118/166
% 1st pts 77% 70% 60% 71%
2nd pts 17/30 12/26 11/14 40/70
% 2nd pts 57% 46% 79% 57%
Breaks
Won 2 5 5 12
Converted 2/4 5/10 5/7 12/21
Converted % 50% 50% 71% 57%
Conceded 7 7 4 18
Saved 6/7 4/7 2/4 12
Saved % 86% 57% 50% 64%
Times Broken 1 3 2 6

Tennis Scores in Hamburg

  • Carlos AlcarazAlcarazKaren KhachanovKhachanov (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
  • Francisco CerundoloCerundoloAslan KaratsevKaratsev (6-3 4-6 7-64) – See score progression
  • Alex MolcanMolcanBorna CoricCoric (7-67 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
  • Lorenzo MusettiMusettiAlejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
  • Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio ZeballosKaren Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev (w/o) – See score progression
  • Tim Puetz/Michael VenusPuetz/Michael VenusDaniel Altmaier/Jan-Lennard StruffAltmaier/Jan-Lennard Struff (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri HeliovaaraKevin Krawietz/Andreas MiesKrawietz/Andreas Mies (6-1 7-60) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw