Carlos Alcaraz and Alex Molcan will play each other in the semifinal of the Hamburg European Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.166
Alex Molcan -> 5.75
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex Molcan
There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Alex Molcan since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 71-9 | 28-4 | 22-1 | 10-3 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Carlos reached the semifinal after defeating Nicola Kuhn 3-6 6-1 7-63, Filip Krajinovic 7-64 6-3 and Karen Khachanov 6-0 6-2.
In the quarter, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Khachanov (6-0 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 57 points vs Khachanov’s 34. Alcaraz was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz was unable to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (22/31) of his 1st serve and 73% (8/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Khachanov 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 5 years having won 78% of his matches (149-43). 23-2 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has an aggregate95-26 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Rio de Janeiro where he overcame Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Miami where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-5 6-4 and in in Barcelona where he beat Pablo Carreno-Busta in the final 6-3 6-2 and in in Madrid where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 6-1.
Alcaraz has an overall 38-5 win-loss record in 2022, 23-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hamburg
The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex Molcan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-15 | 7-3 | 38-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 13-17 | 3-5 | 10-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-27 | 10-8 | 13-13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-24 | 7-8 | 18-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 65-24 | 8-3 | 42-14 | 13-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 48, Molcan got to the semifinal after defeating Marko Topo 7-5 6-3, Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-3 1-6 7-65 and Borna Coric 7-67 2-0 ret..
In the quarter, The Slovakian had a good straight sets win against Coric (7-67 2-0 ret.). During the match Molcan scored 52 points vs Coric’s 47. The Slovakian was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Molcan scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alex Molcan was quite effective on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alex was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Coric once.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Slovakian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.
The Slovakian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Marrakech and Lyon.
The Slovakian has an overall 24-16 win-loss record in 2022, 15-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hamburg
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd
round in 2021. See his history.H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 65 | 65 |
| Pts | 235-191 | 212-204 |
| Total Points | 426 | 416 |
| Winners | 97 | 98 |
| %Winners | 41% | 46% |
Both Alcaraz and Molcan played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz dropped 1 set, while Alex Molcan lost 1 set. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Molcan (7 vs 8). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (65). Alcaraz scored 97 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Alex recorded 98 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 137/192 | 134/209 |
| %1st in | 71% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 97/137 | 98/134 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 35/55 | 45/75 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 60% |
Alcaraz blasted 4 aces (1.3 per match). Molcan bagged 4 aces (1.3 per match). Alcaraz won 71% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Molcan won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 6 |
| Converted | 11/33 | 6/17 |
| % Converted | 33% | 35% |
| Conceded | 6 | 20 |
| Saved | 3 | 17 |
| % Saved | 50% | 85% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Carlos broke his opponents 11 times with a 33% conversion rate. Carlos dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Slovakian broke his opponents 6 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Slovakian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||
| R1 Kuhn | R2 Krajinovic | 1/4 Khachanov | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 7-63 | 7-64 6-3 | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 22 | 14 | 65 | |
| pts | 100-86 | 78-71 | 57-34 | 235-191 | |
| Total points | 186 | 149 | 91 | 426 | |
| Winners | 47 | 28 | 22 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 36% | 39% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 63/89 | 43/61 | 31/42 | 137/192 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 70% | 74% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 47/63 | 28/43 | 22/31 | 97/137 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 65% | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 11/18 | 8/11 | 35/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 61% | 73% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 2/10 | 4/12 | 5/11 | 11/33 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 33% | 45% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 100% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Molcan | |||||
| R1 Topo | R2 Carreno-Busta | 1/4 Coric | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 1-6 7-65 | 7-67 2-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 29 | 15 | 65 | |
| pts | 68-54 | 92-103 | 52-47 | 212-204 | |
| Total points | 122 | 195 | 99 | 416 | |
| Winners | 32 | 42 | 24 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 46% | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 38/53 | 65/109 | 31/47 | 134/209 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 60% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 32/38 | 42/65 | 24/31 | 98/134 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 65% | 77% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 24/44 | 11/16 | 45/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 55% | 69% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 2/8 | 1/1 | 6/17 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 25% | 100% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 16 | 2 | 20 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 13/16 | 2/2 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 81% | 100% | 94% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Hamburg
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (6-3 4-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Borna CoricCoric (7-67 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara – Kevin Krawietz/Andreas MiesKrawietz/Andreas Mies (6-1 7-60) – See score progression
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev (w/o) – See score progression
- Tim Puetz/Michael VenusPuetz/Michael Venus – Daniel Altmaier/Jan-Lennard StruffAltmaier/Jan-Lennard Struff (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alex MolcanMolcan (0-0) – H2H and prediction