Francesco Passaro and Francesco Maestrelli will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Trieste Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:30 pm on CENTER COURT GIORGI. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Passaro who should win in 3 sets.
Francesco Passaro -> 1.71
Francesco Maestrelli -> 2.14
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Prediction and head to head Francesco Passaro vs. Francesco Maestrelli
This will be the 2nd time that Francesco Passaro and Francesco Maestrelli face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Maestrelli (see full H2H stats
), 1-0 on clay.The last time that they squared off, Maestrelli won 4-6 6-2 6-2 in the qualifications in the Napoli Challenger back in 2021.
Francesco Passaro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-26 | 8-5 | 23-14 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-25 | 4-5 | 35-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-35 | 8-11 | 18-20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-28 | 12-6 | 35-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-27 | 4-5 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 187 (career-high), Francesco got to the semifinal after defeating Nikola Milojevic 7-5 6-1, Mattia Bellucci 7-62 6-1 and Norbert Gombos 6-3 3-6 6-2.
In the quarter, The Italian defeated Gombos (6-3 3-6 6-2). During the match, Passaro scored 80 points vs Gombos’s 68. Passaro was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Passaro fired 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Francesco Passaro lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Passaro put 63% of his first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the 2nd serve. Francesco broke Gombos 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Passaro has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Passaro has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 60% of his matches (93-61). 26-12 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Passaro has an overall80-49 match record in the last 5 years on clay.
The Italian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir,the Sanremo Challenger,the Forli 6 Challenger and the Milan Challenger.
Francesco has an aggregate 35-17 win-loss record in 2022, 26-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Trieste Challenger
Passaro has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Maestrelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43-29 | 9-7 | 28-18 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-36 | 11-7 | 21-23 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 237 (career-high), Maestrelli got to the semifinal after beating Andrey Chepelev 6-2 6-3, Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna 7-5 7-62 and Salvatore Caruso 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Caruso (6-3 6-3). During the match Maestrelli scored 72 points vs Caruso’s 54. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Maestrelli scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Francesco Maestrelli was quite efficient on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Francesco broke Caruso 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Francesco hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Maestrelli’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Santa Margherita di Pula,the Francavilla Challenger and the Verona Challenger.
Maestrelli has a compiled 39-14 win-loss record in 2022, 34-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Passaro | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 65 | 60 |
| Pts | 234-174 | 215-170 |
| Total Points | 408 | 385 |
| Winners | 77 | 72 |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% |
Both Passaro and Maestrelli played 3 matches. At the moment, Francesco Passaro dropped 1 set while Francesco Maestrelli hasn’t dropped a set so far. Passaro has played 1 set more than Maestrelli (7 vs 6). Therefore, Passaro played 5 games more than Maestrelli. Passaro scored 77 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Francesco managed to score 72 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Passaro | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 107/183 | 96/179 |
| %1st in | 58% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 77/107 | 72/96 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 47/76 | 48/83 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 58% |
Passaro scored 4 aces (1.3 per match). Maestrelli blasted 10 aces (3.3 per match). Passaro won 72% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Passaro | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 12 |
| Converted | 14/32 | 12/30 |
| % Converted | 44% | 40% |
| Conceded | 11 | 10 |
| Saved | 5 | 6 |
| % Saved | 45% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 4 |
The Italian broke his opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. Francesco dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 45% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 12 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Passaro | |||||
| R1 Milojevic | R2 Bellucci | 1/4 Gombos | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 7-62 6-1 | 6-3 3-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 26 | 65 | |
| pts | 71-50 | 83-56 | 80-68 | 234-174 | |
| Total points | 121 | 139 | 148 | 408 | |
| Winners | 22 | 26 | 29 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | 36% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 30/56 | 34/59 | 43/68 | 107/183 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 58% | 63% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 22/30 | 26/34 | 29/43 | 77/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 76% | 67% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 14/25 | 17/25 | 47/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 56% | 68% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/10 | 4/11 | 14/32 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 50% | 36% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 2/4 | 0/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 50% | 0% | 37% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Maestrelli | |||||
| R1 Chepelev | R2 Fa Rodriguez Taverna | 1/4 Caruso | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 7-62 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 25 | 18 | 60 | |
| pts | 62-43 | 81-73 | 72-54 | 215-170 | |
| Total points | 105 | 154 | 126 | 385 | |
| Winners | 17 | 31 | 24 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 38% | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 21/50 | 44/75 | 31/54 | 96/179 | |
| % 1st in | 42% | 59% | 57% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 17/21 | 31/44 | 24/31 | 72/96 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 70% | 77% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 18/31 | 13/23 | 48/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 58% | 57% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/8 | 4/14 | 12/30 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 38% | 29% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 0/2 | 2/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 0% | 67% | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores in Trieste Challenger
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Salvatore CarusoCaruso (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Franco AgamenoneAgamenone (6-0 6-74 6-2) – See score progression
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Norbert GombosGombos (6-3 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Marco Bortolotti/Sergio Martos GornesBortolotti/Sergio Martos Gornes – Marcelo Demoliner/Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesDemoliner/Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Salvatore CarusoCaruso (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli (0-1) – H2H and prediction