Francesco Passaro and Francesco Maestrelli will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Trieste Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:30 pm on CENTER COURT GIORGI. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Passaro who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Francesco Passaro is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Passaro -> 1.71
Francesco Maestrelli -> 2.14

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Prediction and head to head Francesco Passaro vs. Francesco Maestrelli

This will be the 2nd time that Francesco Passaro and Francesco Maestrelli face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Maestrelli (see full H2H stats

), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Maestrelli won 4-6 6-2 6-2 in the qualifications in the Napoli Challenger back in 2021.

Francesco Passaro

Francesco Passaro

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
128
High
89
WWLLWWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-26 8-5 23-14 10-6 0-1 0-0
2024 39-25 4-5 35-19 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 28-35 8-11 18-20 2-3 0-1 0-0
2022 49-28 12-6 35-18 2-4 0-0 0-0
2021 43-27 4-5 39-22 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 187 (career-high), Francesco got to the semifinal after defeating Nikola Milojevic 7-5 6-1, Mattia Bellucci 7-62 6-1 and Norbert Gombos 6-3 3-6 6-2.

In the quarter, The Italian defeated Gombos (6-3 3-6 6-2). During the match, Passaro scored 80 points vs Gombos’s 68. Passaro was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Passaro fired 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Francesco Passaro lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Passaro put 63% of his first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the 2nd serve. Francesco broke Gombos 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Passaro has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Passaro has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 60% of his matches (93-61). 26-12 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Passaro has an overall80-49 match record in the last 5 years on clay.

The Italian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir,the Sanremo Challenger,the Forli 6 Challenger and the Milan Challenger.

Francesco has an aggregate 35-17 win-loss record in 2022, 26-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Trieste Challenger

Passaro has never competed in this tournament before.

Trieste Challenger
Passaro's Record

Francesco Maestrelli

Francesco Maestrelli

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
157
High
149
WWLWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 43-29 9-7 28-18 6-3 0-1 0-0
2024 37-36 11-7 21-23 5-5 0-1 0-0
2023 27-38 9-10 16-24 2-3 0-1 0-0
2022 44-24 5-4 34-12 5-8 0-0 0-0
2021 32-18 8-3 18-12 6-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 237 (career-high), Maestrelli got to the semifinal after beating Andrey Chepelev 6-2 6-3, Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna 7-5 7-62 and Salvatore Caruso 6-3 6-3.

In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Caruso (6-3 6-3). During the match Maestrelli scored 72 points vs Caruso’s 54. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, Maestrelli scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Francesco Maestrelli was quite efficient on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Francesco broke Caruso 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Francesco hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Maestrelli’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Santa Margherita di Pula,the Francavilla Challenger and the Verona Challenger.

Maestrelli has a compiled 39-14 win-loss record in 2022, 34-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Trieste Challenger
Maestrelli's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

F.Passaro
F.Maestrelli
5h:07
5h:07
Time on court​
5h:06
5h:06
1h:42
1h:42
Last match​
1h:44
1h:44
3
3
Match played
3
3
65
65
Games Played​
60
60
7
7
Set played​​
6
6
234
234
Total points​
215
215
78
78
Avg point​
71.7
71.7
77
77
Winners
72
72
25.7
25.7
Avg Winners​
24
24
33%
33%
Ratio winners
33%
33%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
10
10
1.3
1.3
Avg Aces
3.3
3.3
2
2
Double Faults
7
7
0.7
0.7
Avg Double Faults
2.3
2.3
77/107
77/107
1st won total​
72/96
72/96
!
72%
72%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
47/76
47/76
2nd won total​
48/83
48/83
!
62%
62%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
14/32
14/32
BP won
12/30
12/30
4.7/10.7
4.7/10.7
Avg BP won
4/10
4/10
44%
44%
Won
40%
40%
11
11
Conceded
10
10
3.7
3.7
Avg Conceded
3.3
3.3
6
6
Broken
4
4
2
2
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
5
5
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Passaro Maestrelli
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 6
Tot Games 65 60
Pts 234-174 215-170
Total Points 408 385
Winners 77 72
%Winners 33% 33%

Both Passaro and Maestrelli played 3 matches. At the moment, Francesco Passaro dropped 1 set while Francesco Maestrelli hasn’t dropped a set so far. Passaro has played 1 set more than Maestrelli (7 vs 6). Therefore, Passaro played 5 games more than Maestrelli. Passaro scored 77 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Francesco managed to score 72 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve Passaro Maestrelli
Aces 4 10
Avg per match 1.3 3.3
1st in 107/183 96/179
%1st in 58% 54%
1st pts 77/107 72/96
%1st pts 72% 75%
2nd pts 47/76 48/83
%2nd pts 62% 58%

Passaro scored 4 aces (1.3 per match). Maestrelli blasted 10 aces (3.3 per match). Passaro won 72% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Passaro Maestrelli
Won 14 12
Converted 14/32 12/30
% Converted 44% 40%
Conceded 11 10
Saved 5 6
% Saved 45% 60%
Times Broken 6 4

The Italian broke his opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. Francesco dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 45% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 12 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Passaro
R1
Milojevic
R2
Bellucci
1/4
Gombos
Total
Score 7-5 6-1 7-62 6-1 6-3 3-6 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 19 20 26 65
pts 71-50 83-56 80-68 234-174
Total points 121 139 148 408
Winners 22 26 29 77
%Winners 31% 31% 36% 33%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 2 4
Double Faults 1 0 1 2
1st in 30/56 34/59 43/68 107/183
% 1st in 54% 58% 63% 58%
1st pts 22/30 26/34 29/43 77/107
% 1st pts 73% 76% 67% 72%
2nd pts 16/26 14/25 17/25 47/76
% 2nd pts 62% 56% 68% 62%
Breaks
Won 5 5 4 14
Converted 5/11 5/10 4/11 14/32
Converted % 45% 50% 36% 44%
Conceded 5 4 2 11
Saved 3/5 2/4 0/2 5
Saved % 60% 50% 0% 37%
Times Broken 2 2 2 6
Maestrelli
R1
Chepelev
R2
Fa Rodriguez Taverna
1/4
Caruso
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 7-5 7-62 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 17 25 18 60
pts 62-43 81-73 72-54 215-170
Total points 105 154 126 385
Winners 17 31 24 72
%Winners 27% 38% 33% 33%
SERVE
Aces 5 4 1 10
Double Faults 3 2 2 7
1st in 21/50 44/75 31/54 96/179
% 1st in 42% 59% 57% 54%
1st pts 17/21 31/44 24/31 72/96
% 1st pts 81% 70% 77% 75%
2nd pts 17/29 18/31 13/23 48/83
% 2nd pts 59% 58% 57% 58%
Breaks
Won 5 3 4 12
Converted 5/8 3/8 4/14 12/30
Converted % 63% 38% 29% 40%
Conceded 5 2 3 10
Saved 4/5 0/2 2/3 6
Saved % 80% 0% 67% 49%
Times Broken 1 2 1 4

Tennis Scores in Trieste Challenger

  • Zhizhen ZhangZhangFelipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelliSalvatore CarusoCaruso (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Alexandre MullerMullerFranco AgamenoneAgamenone (6-0 6-74 6-2) – See score progression
  • Francesco PassaroPassaroNorbert GombosGombos (6-3 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
  • Marco Bortolotti/Sergio Martos GornesBortolotti/Sergio Martos GornesMarcelo Demoliner/Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesDemoliner/Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelliSalvatore CarusoCaruso (6-3 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw