Francisco Cerundolo and Aslan Karatsev will fight against each other in the quarter of the Hamburg European Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on M1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francisco Cerundolo who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Francisco Cerundolo is the pick to win this match.
Francisco Cerundolo -> 1.53
Aslan Karatsev -> 2.65

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Prediction and head to head Francisco Cerundolo vs. Aslan Karatsev

This will be the 2nd time that Francisco Cerundolo and Aslan Karatsev face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Cerundolo (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Cerundolo won 7-5 6-1 in the quarter in Bastad back in July 2022.

Highlights Francisco Cerundolo vs Aslan Karatsev – Bastad 15-July-2022

Francisco Cerundolo

Francisco Cerundolo

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
21
High
18
LWWLWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 38-24 12-8 21-11 5-3 0-2 0-0
2024 35-31 5-10 21-13 9-5 0-3 0-0
2023 39-26 10-10 19-12 4-2 6-2 0-0
2022 36-28 7-8 25-10 3-7 1-3 0-0
2021 44-24 3-2 39-21 0-0 2-1 0-0

Ranked no. 30 (career-high), Cerundolo got to the quarter after beating Daniel Altmaier 2-6 6-4 6-2 and Andrey Rublev 6-4 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Cerundolo had a good straight sets win against Rublev (6-4 6-2). During the match, Cerundolo scored 71 points vs Rublev’s 57. Cerundolo was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Cerundolo blasted 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Francisco Cerundolo lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Cerundolo put 60% of his first serves in, winning 63% (24/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Rublev 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.

Cerundolo has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 70% of his matches (235-99). 24-9 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Cerundolo has an aggregate214-84 record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title in in Bastad where he defeated Sebastian Baez in the final 7-6(4) 6-2.

The Argentine has an overall 32-17 win-loss record in 2022, 24-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hamburg

The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.

Hamburg
Cerundolo's Record

Aslan Karatsev

Aslan Karatsev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
372
High
14
LWLLWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-11 14-8 2-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 12-18 6-9 1-4 5-3 0-2 0-0
2023 32-22 13-10 14-5 2-3 3-4 0-0
2022 18-31 8-9 5-9 4-10 1-3 0-0
2021 37-20 23-9 9-6 4-3 1-2 0-0

Ranked no. 37, Karatsev reached the quarter after beating Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-4 6-0

and Daniel Elahi Galan 3-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Elahi Galan Riveros, Karatsev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Karatsev scored 78 points vs Elahi Galan Riveros’s 71. Aslan was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Karatsev fired 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Aslan Karatsev lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Karatsev put 52% of his first serves in, winning 89% (33/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Elahi Galan Riveros 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Karatsev has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title in in Sydney where he beat Andy Murray in the final 6-3 6-3.

Aslan has an overall 14-17 win-loss record in 2022, 5-7 on clay (See FULL STATS)

.
Hamburg
Karatsev's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

F.Cerundolo
A.Karatsev
3h:44
3h:44
Time on court​
2h:56
2h:56
1h:32
1h:32
Last match​
1h:55
1h:55
2
2
Match played
2
2
44
44
Games Played​
44
44
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
166
166
Total points​
134
134
83
83
Avg point​
67
67
61
61
Winners
51
51
30.5
30.5
Avg Winners​
25.5
25.5
37%
37%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
10
10
1.5
1.5
Avg Aces
5
5
3
3
Double Faults
7
7
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
61/93
61/93
1st won total​
51/58
51/58
66%
66%
1st won %
!
88%
88%
34/62
34/62
2nd won total​
28/51
28/51
55%
55%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
8/20
8/20
BP won
8/13
8/13
4/10
4/10
Avg BP won
4/6.5
4/6.5
40%
40%
Won
!
62%
62%
17
17
Conceded
4
4
8.5
8.5
Avg Conceded
2
2
4
4
Broken
3
3
2
2
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
13
13
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Cerundolo Karatsev
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 44 44
Pts 166-146 134-100
Total Points 312 234
Winners 61 51
%Winners 37% 38%

Both Cerundolo and Karatsev played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Francisco Cerundolo conceded 1 set, while Aslan Karatsev lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Cerundolo and Karatsev have played the same amount of sets 5. They also played the same amount of games (44). Francisco scored 61 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian managed to score 51 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Cerundolo Karatsev
Aces 3 10
Avg per match 1.5 5
1st in 93/155 58/109
%1st in 60% 53%
1st pts 61/93 51/58
%1st pts 66% 88%
2nd pts 34/62 28/51
%2nd pts 55% 55%

Cerundolo fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Karatsev made 10 aces (5 per match). Cerundolo won 66% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Karatsev won 88% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Cerundolo Karatsev
Won 8 8
Converted 8/20 8/13
% Converted 40% 62%
Conceded 17 4
Saved 13 1
% Saved 76% 25%
Times Broken 4 3

Cerundolo broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Francisco dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Aslan broke his opponents 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded.

Cerundolo
R1
Altmaier
R2
Rublev
Total
Score 2-6 6-4 6-2 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 26 18 44
pts 95-89 71-57 166-146
Total points 184 128 312
Winners 37 24 61
%Winners 39% 34% 37%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 3
Double Faults 2 1 3
1st in 55/92 38/63 93/155
% 1st in 60% 60% 60%
1st pts 37/55 24/38 61/93
% 1st pts 67% 63% 66%
2nd pts 20/37 14/25 34/62
% 2nd pts 54% 56% 55%
Breaks
Won 3 5 8
Converted 3/8 5/12 8/20
Converted % 38% 42% 40%
Conceded 10 7 17
Saved 8/10 5/7 13
Saved % 80% 71% 76%
Times Broken 2 2 4
Karatsev
R1
Basilashvili
R2
Elahi Galan Riveros
Total
Score 6-4 6-0 3-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 16 28 44
pts 56-29 78-71 134-100
Total points 85 149 234
Winners 18 33 51
%Winners 32% 42% 38%
SERVE
Aces 4 6 10
Double Faults 1 6 7
1st in 21/38 37/71 58/109
% 1st in 55% 52% 53%
1st pts 18/21 33/37 51/58
% 1st pts 86% 89% 88%
2nd pts 11/17 17/34 28/51
% 2nd pts 65% 50% 55%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/8 3/5 8/13
Converted % 63% 60% 62%
Conceded 1 3 4
Saved 0/1 1/3 1
Saved % 0% 33% 17%
Times Broken 1 2 3

Tennis Scores in Hamburg

  • Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri HeliovaaraKevin Krawietz/Andreas MiesKrawietz/Andreas Mies (6-1 7-60) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio ZeballosKaren Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Tim Puetz/Michael VenusPuetz/Michael VenusDaniel Altmaier/Jan-Lennard StruffAltmaier/Jan-Lennard Struff (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw