Francisco Cerundolo and Aslan Karatsev will fight against each other in the quarter of the Hamburg European Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on M1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francisco Cerundolo who should win in 3 sets.
Francisco Cerundolo -> 1.53
Aslan Karatsev -> 2.65
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Prediction and head to head Francisco Cerundolo vs. Aslan Karatsev
This will be the 2nd time that Francisco Cerundolo and Aslan Karatsev face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Cerundolo (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Cerundolo won 7-5 6-1 in the quarter in Bastad back in July 2022.
Highlights Francisco Cerundolo vs Aslan Karatsev – Bastad 15-July-2022
Francisco Cerundolo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-24 | 12-8 | 21-11 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-31 | 5-10 | 21-13 | 9-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-26 | 10-10 | 19-12 | 4-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 7-8 | 25-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-24 | 3-2 | 39-21 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30 (career-high), Cerundolo got to the quarter after beating Daniel Altmaier 2-6 6-4 6-2 and Andrey Rublev 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Cerundolo had a good straight sets win against Rublev (6-4 6-2). During the match, Cerundolo scored 71 points vs Rublev’s 57. Cerundolo was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Cerundolo blasted 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Francisco Cerundolo lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Cerundolo put 60% of his first serves in, winning 63% (24/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Rublev 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.
Cerundolo has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 70% of his matches (235-99). 24-9 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Cerundolo has an aggregate214-84 record in the last 7 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in in Bastad where he defeated Sebastian Baez in the final 7-6(4) 6-2.
The Argentine has an overall 32-17 win-loss record in 2022, 24-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hamburg
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
Aslan Karatsev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-11 | 14-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-18 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-22 | 13-10 | 14-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-31 | 8-9 | 5-9 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 23-9 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 37, Karatsev reached the quarter after beating Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-4 6-0
and Daniel Elahi Galan 3-6 6-3 6-4.In the 2nd round against Elahi Galan Riveros, Karatsev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Karatsev scored 78 points vs Elahi Galan Riveros’s 71. Aslan was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Karatsev fired 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Aslan Karatsev lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Karatsev put 52% of his first serves in, winning 89% (33/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Elahi Galan Riveros 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karatsev has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in in Sydney where he beat Andy Murray in the final 6-3 6-3.
Aslan has an overall 14-17 win-loss record in 2022, 5-7 on clay (See FULL STATS)
.H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cerundolo | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 44 |
| Pts | 166-146 | 134-100 |
| Total Points | 312 | 234 |
| Winners | 61 | 51 |
| %Winners | 37% | 38% |
Both Cerundolo and Karatsev played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Francisco Cerundolo conceded 1 set, while Aslan Karatsev lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Cerundolo and Karatsev have played the same amount of sets 5. They also played the same amount of games (44). Francisco scored 61 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian managed to score 51 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cerundolo | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 93/155 | 58/109 |
| %1st in | 60% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 61/93 | 51/58 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 88% |
| 2nd pts | 34/62 | 28/51 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 55% |
Cerundolo fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Karatsev made 10 aces (5 per match). Cerundolo won 66% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Karatsev won 88% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cerundolo | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 8 |
| Converted | 8/20 | 8/13 |
| % Converted | 40% | 62% |
| Conceded | 17 | 4 |
| Saved | 13 | 1 |
| % Saved | 76% | 25% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
Cerundolo broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Francisco dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Aslan broke his opponents 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded.
| Cerundolo | ||||
| R1 Altmaier | R2 Rublev | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 18 | 44 | |
| pts | 95-89 | 71-57 | 166-146 | |
| Total points | 184 | 128 | 312 | |
| Winners | 37 | 24 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 34% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 55/92 | 38/63 | 93/155 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 37/55 | 24/38 | 61/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 63% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/37 | 14/25 | 34/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 56% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 5/12 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 42% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 7 | 17 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 5/7 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 71% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Karatsev | ||||
| R1 Basilashvili | R2 Elahi Galan Riveros | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 28 | 44 | |
| pts | 56-29 | 78-71 | 134-100 | |
| Total points | 85 | 149 | 234 | |
| Winners | 18 | 33 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 42% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 21/38 | 37/71 | 58/109 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 52% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 18/21 | 33/37 | 51/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 89% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 17/34 | 28/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 50% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/5 | 8/13 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 60% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 33% | 17% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Hamburg
- Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara – Kevin Krawietz/Andreas MiesKrawietz/Andreas Mies (6-1 7-60) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tim Puetz/Michael VenusPuetz/Michael Venus – Daniel Altmaier/Jan-Lennard StruffAltmaier/Jan-Lennard Struff (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Borna CoricCoric (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (1-0) – H2H and prediction