Carlos Alcaraz and Karen Khachanov will fight against each other in the quarter of the Hamburg European Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.196
Karen Khachanov -> 5.15

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Karen Khachanov

This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Karen Khachanov play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Alcaraz won 6-1 6-4 6-4 in the 4th round in at the French Open back in May 2022.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov – French Open 29-May-2022

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 6 (career-high), the Spaniard reached the quarter after defeating Nicola Kuhn 3-6 6-1 7-63 and Filip Krajinovic 7-64 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Krajinovic (7-64 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 78 points vs Krajinovic’s 71. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz bagged 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 70% of his first serves in, winning 65% (28/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Krajinovic 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Carlos has lost 1 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 5 years having won 77% of his matches (148-43). 22-2 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has an overall94-26 record in the last 5 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Rio de Janeiro where he overcame Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Miami where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 7-5 6-4 and in in Barcelona where he overcame Pablo Carreno-Busta in the final 6-3 6-2 and in in Madrid where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 6-1.

Alcaraz has a composed 37-5 win-loss record in 2022, 22-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hamburg

Alcaraz has never competed in this tournament before.

Hamburg
Alcaraz's Record

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
18
High
8
LWWLLLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-24 13-11 9-6 2-4 8-3 0-0
2024 37-22 14-12 8-4 14-3 1-3 0-0
2023 34-18 18-10 10-5 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 26, the Russian got to the quarter after beating Jan-Lennard Struff 3-6 6-3 7-62 and Fabio Fognini 6-3 7-5.

In the 2nd round, Karen had a good straight sets win against Fognini (6-3 7-5). During the match Khachanov scored 72 points vs Fognini’s 64. Khachanov was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Khachanov recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Karen Khachanov lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Khachanov put 66% of his first serves in, winning 63% (31/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the 2nd serve. Khachanov broke Fognini 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

The Russian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Adelaide.

Khachanov has a compiled 24-16 win-loss record in 2022, 9-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Hamburg
Khachanov's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
K.Khachanov
4h:18
4h:18
Time on court​
3h:58
3h:58
1h:52
1h:52
Last match​
1h:42
1h:42
2
2
Match played
2
2
51
51
Games Played​
52
52
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
178
178
Total points​
174
174
89
89
Avg point​
87
87
75
75
Winners
83
83
37.5
37.5
Avg Winners​
41.5
41.5
42%
42%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
14
14
2
2
Avg Aces
7
7
5
5
Double Faults
5
5
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
75/106
75/106
1st won total​
83/122
83/122
!
71%
71%
1st won %
68%
68%
27/44
27/44
2nd won total​
33/62
33/62
!
61%
61%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
6/22
6/22
BP won
6/9
6/9
3/11
3/11
Avg BP won
3/4.5
3/4.5
!
27%
27%
Won
!
67%
67%
5
5
Conceded
23
23
2.5
2.5
Avg Conceded
11.5
11.5
3
3
Broken
4
4
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
2
2
2
2
Saved
19
19

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Khachanov
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 51 52
Pts 178-157 174-166
Total Points 335 340
Winners 75 83
%Winners 42% 48%

Both Alcaraz and Khachanov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz conceded 1 set, while Karen Khachanov surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Khachanov have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Alcaraz played 1 game less than Khachanov. Alcaraz scored 75 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Khachanov recorded 83 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Khachanov
Aces 4 14
Avg per match 2 7
1st in 106/150 122/184
%1st in 71% 66%
1st pts 75/106 83/122
%1st pts 71% 68%
2nd pts 27/44 33/62
%2nd pts 61% 53%

Alcaraz managed to score 4 aces (2 per match). Khachanov managed to score 14 aces (7 per match). Alcaraz won 71% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Khachanov
Won 6 6
Converted 6/22 6/9
% Converted 27% 67%
Conceded 5 23
Saved 2 19
% Saved 40% 83%
Times Broken 3 4

Carlos broke his opponents 6 times with a 27% conversion rate. Carlos dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. Karen broke his opponents 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R1
Kuhn
R2
Krajinovic
Total
Score 3-6 6-1 7-63 7-64 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 29 22 51
pts 100-86 78-71 178-157
Total points 186 149 335
Winners 47 28 75
%Winners 47% 36% 42%
SERVE
Aces 1 3 4
Double Faults 1 4 5
1st in 63/89 43/61 106/150
% 1st in 71% 70% 71%
1st pts 47/63 28/43 75/106
% 1st pts 75% 65% 71%
2nd pts 16/26 11/18 27/44
% 2nd pts 62% 61% 61%
Breaks
Won 2 4 6
Converted 2/10 4/12 6/22
Converted % 20% 33% 27%
Conceded 2 3 5
Saved 1/2 1/3 2
Saved % 50% 33% 42%
Times Broken 1 2 3
Khachanov
R1
Struff
R2
Fognini
Total
Score 3-6 6-3 7-62 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 31 21 52
pts 102-102 72-64 174-166
Total points 204 136 340
Winners 52 31 83
%Winners 51% 43% 48%
SERVE
Aces 11 3 14
Double Faults 4 1 5
1st in 73/110 49/74 122/184
% 1st in 66% 66% 66%
1st pts 52/73 31/49 83/122
% 1st pts 71% 63% 68%
2nd pts 17/37 16/25 33/62
% 2nd pts 46% 64% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/5 3/4 6/9
Converted % 60% 75% 67%
Conceded 15 8 23
Saved 12/15 7/8 19
Saved % 80% 88% 84%
Times Broken 3 1 4

Tennis Scores in Hamburg

  • Tim Puetz/Michael VenusPuetz/Michael VenusDaniel Altmaier/Jan-Lennard StruffAltmaier/Jan-Lennard Struff (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri HeliovaaraKevin Krawietz/Andreas MiesKrawietz/Andreas Mies (6-1 7-60) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio ZeballosKaren Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw