Carlos Alcaraz and Karen Khachanov will fight against each other in the quarter of the Hamburg European Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.196
Karen Khachanov -> 5.15
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Karen Khachanov
This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Karen Khachanov play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Alcaraz won 6-1 6-4 6-4 in the 4th round in at the French Open back in May 2022.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov – French Open 29-May-2022
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 71-9 | 28-4 | 22-1 | 10-3 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), the Spaniard reached the quarter after defeating Nicola Kuhn 3-6 6-1 7-63 and Filip Krajinovic 7-64 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Krajinovic (7-64 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 78 points vs Krajinovic’s 71. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz bagged 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 70% of his first serves in, winning 65% (28/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Krajinovic 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos has lost 1 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 5 years having won 77% of his matches (148-43). 22-2 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has an overall94-26 record in the last 5 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Rio de Janeiro where he overcame Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Miami where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 7-5 6-4 and in in Barcelona where he overcame Pablo Carreno-Busta in the final 6-3 6-2 and in in Madrid where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 6-1.
Alcaraz has a composed 37-5 win-loss record in 2022, 22-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hamburg
Alcaraz has never competed in this tournament before.
Karen Khachanov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-24 | 13-11 | 9-6 | 2-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-22 | 14-12 | 8-4 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, the Russian got to the quarter after beating Jan-Lennard Struff 3-6 6-3 7-62 and Fabio Fognini 6-3 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Karen had a good straight sets win against Fognini (6-3 7-5). During the match Khachanov scored 72 points vs Fognini’s 64. Khachanov was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Khachanov recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Karen Khachanov lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Khachanov put 66% of his first serves in, winning 63% (31/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the 2nd serve. Khachanov broke Fognini 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
The Russian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Adelaide.
Khachanov has a compiled 24-16 win-loss record in 2022, 9-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 52 |
| Pts | 178-157 | 174-166 |
| Total Points | 335 | 340 |
| Winners | 75 | 83 |
| %Winners | 42% | 48% |
Both Alcaraz and Khachanov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz conceded 1 set, while Karen Khachanov surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Khachanov have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Alcaraz played 1 game less than Khachanov. Alcaraz scored 75 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Khachanov recorded 83 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 7 |
| 1st in | 106/150 | 122/184 |
| %1st in | 71% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 75/106 | 83/122 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 27/44 | 33/62 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 53% |
Alcaraz managed to score 4 aces (2 per match). Khachanov managed to score 14 aces (7 per match). Alcaraz won 71% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/22 | 6/9 |
| % Converted | 27% | 67% |
| Conceded | 5 | 23 |
| Saved | 2 | 19 |
| % Saved | 40% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Carlos broke his opponents 6 times with a 27% conversion rate. Carlos dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. Karen broke his opponents 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||
| R1 Kuhn | R2 Krajinovic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 7-63 | 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 22 | 51 | |
| pts | 100-86 | 78-71 | 178-157 | |
| Total points | 186 | 149 | 335 | |
| Winners | 47 | 28 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 36% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 63/89 | 43/61 | 106/150 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 70% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 47/63 | 28/43 | 75/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 65% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 11/18 | 27/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/10 | 4/12 | 6/22 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 33% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Khachanov | ||||
| R1 Struff | R2 Fognini | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 7-62 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 21 | 52 | |
| pts | 102-102 | 72-64 | 174-166 | |
| Total points | 204 | 136 | 340 | |
| Winners | 52 | 31 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 43% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 3 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 73/110 | 49/74 | 122/184 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 52/73 | 31/49 | 83/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 63% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/37 | 16/25 | 33/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 64% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/4 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 75% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 8 | 23 | |
| Saved | 12/15 | 7/8 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 88% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores in Hamburg
- Tim Puetz/Michael VenusPuetz/Michael Venus – Daniel Altmaier/Jan-Lennard StruffAltmaier/Jan-Lennard Struff (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara – Kevin Krawietz/Andreas MiesKrawietz/Andreas Mies (6-1 7-60) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Borna CoricCoric (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (1-0) – H2H and prediction