Francesco Maestrelli and Salvatore Caruso will face off in the quarter of the Trieste Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 8:30 pm on GRAND STAND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Maestrelli who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Francesco Maestrelli is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Maestrelli -> 1.33
Salvatore Caruso -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Francesco Maestrelli vs. Salvatore Caruso
There is no head to head record between Francesco Maestrelli and Salvatore Caruso since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Francesco Maestrelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-29 | 9-7 | 28-18 | 9-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-36 | 11-7 | 21-23 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 237 (career-high), the Italian got to the quarter after beating Andrey Chepelev 6-2 6-3 and Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna 7-5 7-62.
In the 2nd round, Maestrelli had a good straight sets win against Fa Rodriguez Taverna (7-5 7-62). During the match, Maestrelli scored 81 points vs Fa Rodriguez Taverna’s 73. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Maestrelli fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 59% of his first serves in, winning 70% (31/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the 2nd serve. Francesco broke Fa Rodriguez Taverna 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maestrelli hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Maestrelli has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 64% of his matches (79-44). 33-10 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Maestrelli has a compiled57-29 match record in the last 5 years on clay.
Maestrelli’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Santa Margherita di Pula,the Francavilla Challenger and the Verona Challenger.
The Italian has an overall 38-14 win-loss record in 2022, 33-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Trieste Challenger
Francesco has never competed in this tournament before.
Salvatore Caruso
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-12 | 8-9 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-36 | 6-6 | 32-30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-24 | 10-6 | 10-13 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-25 | 9-9 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-20 | 7-8 | 8-8 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 263, Caruso got to the quarter after defeating Giovanni Oradini 6-3 6-4 and Nerman Fatic 6-3 2-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Italian defeated Fatic (6-3 2-6 6-3). During the match Caruso scored 86 points vs Fatic’s 83. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Caruso wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Salvatore Caruso lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Caruso put 58% of his first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Caruso broke Fatic 5 times after converting 28% of his break points (5/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Salvatore has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Salvatore’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Bendigo Challenger.
Caruso has an overall 15-16 win-loss record in 2022, 8-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Maestrelli | Caruso |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 45 |
| Pts | 143-116 | 154-138 |
| Total Points | 259 | 292 |
| Winners | 48 | 46 |
| %Winners | 34% | 30% |
Both Maestrelli and Caruso played 2 matches. At the moment, Salvatore Caruso lost 1 set while Francesco Maestrelli hasn’t lost a set so far. Maestrelli has played 1 set(s) less than Caruso (4 vs 5). Therefore, Maestrelli played 3 games less than Caruso. Maestrelli scored 48 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 46 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Maestrelli | Caruso |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 65/125 | 74/135 |
| %1st in | 52% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 48/65 | 46/74 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 35/60 | 31/61 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 51% |
Maestrelli scored 9 aces (4.5 per match). Caruso managed to score 2 aces (1 per match). Maestrelli won 74% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Caruso won 62% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Maestrelli | Caruso |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 12 |
| Converted | 8/16 | 12/28 |
| % Converted | 50% | 43% |
| Conceded | 7 | 18 |
| Saved | 4 | 10 |
| % Saved | 57% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 8 |
Maestrelli broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Caruso broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Maestrelli | ||||
| R1 Chepelev |
R2 Fa Rodriguez Taverna |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 25 | 42 | |
| pts | 62-43 | 81-73 | 143-116 | |
| Total points | 105 | 154 | 259 | |
| Winners | 17 | 31 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 38% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 21/50 | 44/75 | 65/125 | |
| % 1st in | 42% | 59% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 17/21 | 31/44 | 48/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 70% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 18/31 | 35/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/8 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 38% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 0/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 0% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Caruso | ||||
| R1 Oradini |
R2 Fatic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 2-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 26 | 45 | |
| pts | 68-55 | 86-83 | 154-138 | |
| Total points | 123 | 169 | 292 | |
| Winners | 17 | 29 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 25% | 34% | 30% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 31/61 | 43/74 | 74/135 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 58% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 17/31 | 29/43 | 46/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 55% | 67% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 15/31 | 31/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 48% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 5/18 | 12/28 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 28% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 7 | 18 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 3/7 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 43% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWLWLWW
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Salvatore CarusoCaruso – Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Norbert GombosGombos – Francesco PassaroPassaro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Franco AgamenoneAgamenone (0-1) – H2H and prediction
