Dmitry Popko and Yanki Erel will play each other in the 2nd round of the Nur-Sultan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:30 am on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dmitry Popko who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Dmitry Popko is the pick to win this match.
Dmitry Popko -> 1.36
Yanki Erel -> 3.15
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Prediction and head to head Dmitry Popko vs. Yanki Erel
There is no head to head record between Dmitry Popko and Yanki Erel since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Dmitry Popko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-17 | 5-0 | 46-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-20 | 1-1 | 38-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-30 | 11-11 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-34 | 0-4 | 27-19 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-23 | 13-8 | 15-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 189, Dmitry got to the 2nd round after defeating Jose Statham 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Statham (6-3 6-4). During the match, Popko scored 67 points vs Statham’s 50. The Kazakhstani was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Talking about the service games, Popko scored 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Dmitry Popko was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 90% (19/21) of his 1st serve and 68% (23/34) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Popko broke Statham twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Popko has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (375-226). 6-6 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Popko has an overall 126-77 match record in the last years on hard.
Popko has an overall 10-19 win-loss record in 2022, 6-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the The Nur-Sultan Challenger
Yanki Erel
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-16 | 12-10 | 3-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 48-25 | 44-18 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-21 | 27-14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-19 | 20-7 | 11-11 | 14-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 485, the Turk reached the 2nd round after beating Daniil Glinka 2-6 7-67 6-2 and Prajnesh Gunneswaran 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, Erel had a good straight sets win against Gunneswaran (6-3 6-3). During the match Erel scored 61 points vs Gunneswaran’s 46. The Turk was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Erel recorded 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Yanki Erel lost the serve once. Furthermore, Erel put 64% of his first serves in, winning 81% (26/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. Erel broke Gunneswaran 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
The Turk’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Monastir,M15 Antalya and M25 Chiang Rai.
Erel has an overall 16-11 win-loss record in 2022, 12-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Popko | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 47 |
| Pts | 67-50 | 158-139 |
| Total Points | 117 | 297 |
| Winners | 19 | 58 |
| %Winners | 28% | 37% |
Popko played 1 match while Erel competed in 2 matches. Erel started his run from the qualifications while Popko had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Yanki Erel surrendered 1 set while Dmitry Popko hasn’t dropped a set so far. Popko has played 3 set(s) less than Erel (2 vs 5). Therefore, Popko played 28 games less than Erel. The Kazakhstani scored 19 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Yanki blasted 58 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Popko | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 21/55 | 83/135 |
| %1st in | 38% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 19/21 | 58/83 |
| %1st pts | 90% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 23/34 | 29/52 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 56% |
Popko recorded 4 aces . Erel recorded 6 aces (3 per match). Popko won 90% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Erel won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Popko | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 8 |
| Converted | 2/5 | 8/18 |
| % Converted | 40% | 44% |
| Conceded | 0 | 10 |
| Saved | 0 | 5 |
| % Saved | 0% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Dmitry broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Dmitry pretty solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Erel broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. Yanki conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Popko | |||
| R1 Statham |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 67-50 | 67-50 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 21/55 | 21/55 | |
| % 1st in | 38% | 38% | |
| 1st pts | 19/21 | 19/21 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 90% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/34 | 23/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Erel | ||||
| Q3 Glinka |
R1 Gunneswaran |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-67 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 18 | 47 | |
| pts | 97-93 | 61-46 | 158-139 | |
| Total points | 190 | 107 | 297 | |
| Winners | 32 | 26 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 43% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 51/85 | 32/50 | 83/135 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 64% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 32/51 | 26/32 | 58/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 81% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/34 | 8/18 | 29/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 44% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 1 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 0/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 0% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLWW
LLWWLWLLWW Tennis Scores in Sultan Challenger
- Denis IstominIstomin – Illya MarchenkoMarchenko (6-4 7-69) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy (3-6 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gabriel DecampsDecamps – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-3 6-72 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Daniel CukiermanCukierman (6-4 5-7 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Denis IstominIstomin – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Gabriel DecampsDecamps (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin LockLock – Ji Sung NamSung Nam (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- David PoljakPoljak – Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dmitry PopkoPopko – Yanki ErelErel (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Alafia AyeniAyeni (0-0) – H2H and prediction
