Evgeny Karlovskiy and Denis Yevseyev will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Nur-Sultan Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Evgeny Karlovskiy who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Evgeny Karlovskiy is the pick to win this match.
Evgeny Karlovskiy -> 1.6
Denis Yevseyev -> 2.34

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Prediction and head to head Evgeny Karlovskiy vs. Denis Yevseyev

This will be the 4th time that Evgeny Karlovskiy and Denis Yevseyev clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Karlovskiy (see full H2H stats), but Yevseyev has a winning record of 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Karlovskiy won 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in the Shymkent 1 Challenger back in May 2022.

Evgeny Karlovskiy

Evgeny Karlovskiy

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
795
High
211
LWLLLLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-19 7-7 0-3 4-6 0-0 5-3
2024 44-25 20-15 10-6 14-4 0-0 0-0
2023 19-29 6-9 3-11 10-9 0-0 0-0
2022 37-30 6-6 15-10 16-13 0-0 0-1
2021 26-27 12-5 3-8 11-14 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 251, Karlovskiy got to the 2nd round after beating Andrew Paulson 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Paulson (6-4 6-4). During the match, Karlovskiy scored 63 points vs Paulson’s 56. Evgeny was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Karlovskiy recorded 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Evgeny Karlovskiy lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Karlovskiy put 62% of his first serves in, winning 78% (28/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Evgeny broke Paulson 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Karlovskiy has a positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (337-253). 6-4 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Karlovskiy has a composed 158-89 match record in the last years on hard.

Karlovskiy’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Sultan.

Karlovskiy has an aggregate 25-18 win-loss record in 2022, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the The Nur-Sultan Challenger

the Nur-Sultan Challenger
Karlovskiy's Record

Denis Yevseyev

Denis Yevseyev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
401
High
153
WLWWWWLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-40 16-13 9-16 7-10 0-1 0-0
2024 35-37 14-14 12-13 7-8 2-2 0-0
2023 50-36 23-16 16-14 11-5 0-0 0-1
2022 39-31 11-9 12-12 14-9 0-0 2-1
2021 36-30 4-5 22-15 10-10 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 341, the Kazakhstani reached the 2nd round after defeating Alibek Kachmazov 6-3 3-6 6-4.

In the 1st round, Yevseyev defeated Kachmazov (6-3 3-6 6-4). During the match Yevseyev scored 96 points vs Kachmazov’s 84. The Kazakhstani was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Yevseyev recorded 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Denis Yevseyev lost the serve 7 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Yevseyev put 53% of his first serves in, winning 64% (30/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (17/41) on the 2nd serve. Yevseyev broke Kachmazov 8 times after converting 62% of his break points (8/13).

Yevseyev’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Vilnius.

The Kazakhstani has a compiled 25-17 win-loss record in 2022, 4-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

the Nur-Sultan Challenger
Yevseyev's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

E.Karlovskiy
D.Yevseyev
1h:15
1h:15
Time on court​
!
2h:18
2h:18
1h:15
1h:15
Last match​
!
2h:18
2h:18
1
1
Match played
1
1
20
20
Games Played​
28
28
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
63
63
Total points​
96
96
63
63
Avg point​
96
96
28
28
Winners
30
30
28
28
Avg Winners​
30
30
44%
44%
Ratio winners
31%
31%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
3
3
5
5
Avg Aces
3
3
5
5
Double Faults
6
6
5
5
Avg Double Faults
!
6
6
28/36
28/36
1st won total​
30/47
30/47
!
78%
78%
1st won %
64%
64%
11/22
11/22
2nd won total​
17/41
17/41
50%
50%
2nd won %
41%
41%
-- Break Points --
3/4
3/4
BP won
8/13
8/13
3/4
3/4
Avg BP won
8/13
8/13
!
75%
75%
Won
!
62%
62%
3
3
Conceded
9
9
3
3
Avg Conceded
9
9
1
1
Broken
7
7
1
1
Avg Broken
!
7
7
2
2
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Karlovskiy Yevseyev
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 20 28
Pts 63-56 96-84
Total Points 119 180
Winners 28 30
%Winners 44% 31%

Both Karlovskiy and Yevseyev played 1 match. At the moment, Denis Yevseyev surrendered 1 set while Evgeny Karlovskiy hasn’t lost a set so far. Karlovskiy has played 1 set(s) less than Yevseyev (2 vs 3). Therefore, Karlovskiy played 8 games less than Yevseyev. The Russian scored 28 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Denis struck 30 winners (31%).

Serve Performance

Serve Karlovskiy Yevseyev
Aces 5 3
Avg per match 5 3
1st in 36/58 47/88
%1st in 62% 53%
1st pts 28/36 30/47
%1st pts 78% 64%
2nd pts 11/22 17/41
%2nd pts 50% 41%

Karlovskiy blasted 5 aces . Yevseyev struck 3 aces . Karlovskiy won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Yevseyev won 64% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Karlovskiy Yevseyev
Won 3 8
Converted 3/4 8/13
% Converted 75% 62%
Conceded 3 9
Saved 2 2
% Saved 67% 22%
Times Broken 1 7

The Russian broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Evgeny lost his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Denis broke his opponent 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 22% of the break points that he conceded.

Karlovskiy
R1
Paulson
Total
Score 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 63-56 63-56
Total points 119 119
Winners 28 28
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 36/58 36/58
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 28/36 28/36
% 1st pts 78% 78%
2nd pts 11/22 11/22
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/4 3/4
Converted % 75% 75%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 1
Yevseyev
R1
Kachmazov
Total
Score 6-3 3-6 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 28 28
pts 96-84 96-84
Total points 180 180
Winners 30 30
%Winners 31% 31%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 47/88 47/88
% 1st in 53% 53%
1st pts 30/47 30/47
% 1st pts 64% 64%
2nd pts 17/41 17/41
% 2nd pts 41% 41%
Breaks
Won 8 8
Converted 8/13 8/13
Converted % 62% 62%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 2/9 2
Saved % 22% 22%
Times Broken 7 7

Tennis Scores in Sultan Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw