Anastasia Tikhonova and Matilde Paoletti will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Palermo Ladies Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 8:00 pm on Center Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Anastasia Tikhonova who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Anastasia Tikhonova is the pick to win this match.
Anastasia Tikhonova -> 1.39
Matilde Paoletti -> 3
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Prediction and head to head Anastasia Tikhonova vs. Matilde Paoletti
There is no head to head record between Anastasia Tikhonova and Matilde Paoletti since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Anastasia Tikhonova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15-14 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 10-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 22-14 | 16-10 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 20-13 | 6-9 | 8-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 27-10 | 4-4 | 17-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-10 | 11-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 182, Anastasia reached the qualifications after beating Federica Di Sarra 2-6 7-5 6-3.
In the qualifications against Di Sarra, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-5 6-3). During the match, Tikhonova and Di Sarra scored the same amount of points (93). However, the world no. 182 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tikhonova struck 3 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Anastasia Tikhonova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Tikhonova put 60% of her first serves in, winning 67% (39/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (18/38) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Di Sarra 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Tikhonova has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 65% of her matches (112-60). 6-8 on clay in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Tikhonova has an aggregate15-19 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.
Tikhonova has an aggregate 24-17 win-loss record in 2022, 6-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Palermo
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Matilde Paoletti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-11 | 0-0 | 20-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 891, the Italian got to the qualifications after beating Gabriela Lee 7-5 6-2.
In the qualifications, Matilde had a good straight sets win against Talaba (7-5 6-2). During the match Paoletti scored 77 points vs Talaba’s 60. Matilde was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Paoletti scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Matilde Paoletti lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Paoletti put 80% of her first serves in, winning 55% (30/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Talaba 7 times after converting 70% of her break points (7/10).
Matilde has an overall 4-4 win-loss record in 2022, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tikhonova | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 20 |
| Pts | 93-93 | 77-60 |
| Total Points | 186 | 137 |
| Winners | 39 | 30 |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% |
Both Tikhonova and Paoletti played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Anastasia Tikhonova lost 1 set while Matilde Paoletti hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Tikhonova has played 1 set more than Paoletti (3 vs 2). Therefore, Tikhonova played 9 games more than Paoletti. Anastasia scored 39 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Paoletti managed to score 30 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tikhonova | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 1 |
| 1st in | 58/96 | 55/69 |
| %1st in | 60% | 80% |
| 1st pts | 39/58 | 30/55 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 55% |
| 2nd pts | 18/38 | 7/14 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 50% |
Tikhonova fired 3 aces . Paoletti scored 1 ace . Tikhonova won 67% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Paoletti won 55% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tikhonova | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 7 |
| Converted | 4/11 | 7/10 |
| % Converted | 36% | 70% |
| Conceded | 12 | 7 |
| Saved | 8 | 3 |
| % Saved | 67% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Tikhonova broke her opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Anastasia lost her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Matilde broke her opponent 7 times with a 70% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded.
| Tikhonova | |||
| Q1 Di Sarra |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 93-93 | 93-93 | |
| Total points | 186 | 186 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 58/96 | 58/96 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 39/58 | 39/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/38 | 18/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Paoletti | |||
| Q1 Talaba |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 77-60 | 77-60 | |
| Total points | 137 | 137 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 55/69 | 55/69 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 80% | |
| 1st pts | 30/55 | 30/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 55% | 55% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 7/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 7/10 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 70% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLLLLWW
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