Alexander Shevchenko and Jozef Kovalik will square off in the qualifications of the Hamburg European Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:30 pm on M1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Shevchenko who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Shevchenko is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Shevchenko -> 1.76
Jozef Kovalik -> 2.06

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Shevchenko vs. Jozef Kovalik

There is no head to head record between Alexander Shevchenko and Jozef Kovalik since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Alexander Shevchenko

Alexander Shevchenko

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
97
High
45
LLLWLLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-34 11-12 19-16 2-4 0-2 0-0
2024 22-35 8-13 6-12 7-7 1-3 0-0
2023 45-34 16-15 19-13 10-5 0-1 0-0
2022 50-33 2-4 41-23 7-6 0-0 0-0
2021 49-27 8-4 33-17 8-6 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 155 (career-high), the Russian got to the qualifications after beating Eduard Esteve Lobato 6-0 6-3.

In the qualifications, Shevchenko had a good straight sets win against Esteve Lobato (6-0 6-3). During the match, Shevchenko scored 64 points vs Esteve Lobato’s 41. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shevchenko scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Alexander Shevchenko lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Shevchenko put 69% of his first serves in, winning 74% (23/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (6/14) on the 2nd serve. Alexander broke Esteve Lobato 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Shevchenko has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 67% of his matches (171-86). 34-15 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Shevchenko has an aggregate138-68 record in the last 5 years on clay.

Shevchenko’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Antalya and the Bratislava Challenger.

Alexander has an overall 36-17 win-loss record in 2022, 34-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hamburg

Alexander has never competed in this tournament before.

Hamburg
Shevchenko's Record

Jozef Kovalik

Jozef Kovalik

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
587
High
80
LLWWLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-23 2-5 11-14 0-3 1-1 0-0
2024 36-25 3-5 30-15 3-4 0-1 0-0
2023 23-34 1-3 21-28 1-2 0-1 0-0
2022 33-23 3-6 29-13 1-3 0-1 0-0
2021 31-27 0-1 26-20 5-5 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 190, the Slovakian reached the qualifications after defeating Henri Laaksonen 6-4 6-1.

In the qualifications, Kovalik had a good straight sets win against Laaksonen (6-4 6-1). During the match Kovalik scored 70 points vs Laaksonen’s 50. The Slovakian was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Kovalik scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jozef Kovalik lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kovalik put 63% of his first serves in, winning 74% (28/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Kovalik broke Laaksonen 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Jozef’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 2 Challenger and the Luedenscheid Challenger.

The Slovakian has a compiled 20-16 win-loss record in 2022, 18-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hamburg

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See his history.

Hamburg
Kovalik's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Shevchenko
J.Kovalik
1h:16
1h:16
Time on court​
1h:19
1h:19
1h:16
1h:16
Last match​
1h:19
1h:19
1
1
Match played
1
1
15
15
Games Played​
17
17
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
64
64
Total points​
70
70
64
64
Avg point​
70
70
23
23
Winners
28
28
23
23
Avg Winners​
28
28
36%
36%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
1
1
1
1
Avg Aces
1
1
0
0
Double Faults
0
0
0
0
Avg Double Faults
0
0
23/31
23/31
1st won total​
28/38
28/38
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
6/14
6/14
2nd won total​
11/22
11/22
43%
43%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
6/12
6/12
BP won
4/9
4/9
6/12
6/12
Avg BP won
4/9
4/9
50%
50%
Won
44%
44%
3
3
Conceded
3
3
3
3
Avg Conceded
3
3
2
2
Broken
1
1
2
2
Avg Broken
1
1
1
1
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Shevchenko Kovalik
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 15 17
Pts 64-41 70-50
Total Points 105 120
Winners 23 28
%Winners 36% 40%

Both Shevchenko and Kovalik played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shevchenko and Kovalik have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Shevchenko played 2 games less than Kovalik. Shevchenko scored 23 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Slovakian scored 28 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Shevchenko Kovalik
Aces 1 1
Avg per match 1 1
1st in 31/45 38/60
%1st in 69% 63%
1st pts 23/31 28/38
%1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 6/14 11/22
%2nd pts 43% 50%

Shevchenko scored 1 ace . Kovalik also fired 1 ace . Shevchenko won 74% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Kovalik won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Shevchenko Kovalik
Won 6 4
Converted 6/12 4/9
% Converted 50% 44%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 1 2
% Saved 33% 67%
Times Broken 2 1

Shevchenko broke his opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Shevchenko lost his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Kovalik broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Jozef conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Shevchenko
Q1
Esteve Lobato
Total
Score 6-0 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 15 15
pts 64-41 64-41
Total points 105 105
Winners 23 23
%Winners 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 31/45 31/45
% 1st in 69% 69%
1st pts 23/31 23/31
% 1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 6/14 6/14
% 2nd pts 43% 43%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/12 6/12
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 1/3 1
Saved % 33% 33%
Times Broken 2 2
Kovalik
Q1
Laaksonen
Total
Score 6-4 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 70-50 70-50
Total points 120 120
Winners 28 28
%Winners 40% 40%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 38/60 38/60
% 1st in 63% 63%
1st pts 28/38 28/38
% 1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 11/22 11/22
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/9 4/9
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 1

Upcoming matches in the draw