Alexander Shevchenko and Jozef Kovalik will square off in the qualifications of the Hamburg European Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:30 pm on M1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Shevchenko who should win in 3 sets.
Alexander Shevchenko -> 1.76
Jozef Kovalik -> 2.06
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Shevchenko vs. Jozef Kovalik
There is no head to head record between Alexander Shevchenko and Jozef Kovalik since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Alexander Shevchenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-34 | 11-12 | 19-16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-35 | 8-13 | 6-12 | 7-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-34 | 16-15 | 19-13 | 10-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-33 | 2-4 | 41-23 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-27 | 8-4 | 33-17 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 155 (career-high), the Russian got to the qualifications after beating Eduard Esteve Lobato 6-0 6-3.
In the qualifications, Shevchenko had a good straight sets win against Esteve Lobato (6-0 6-3). During the match, Shevchenko scored 64 points vs Esteve Lobato’s 41. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shevchenko scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Alexander Shevchenko lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Shevchenko put 69% of his first serves in, winning 74% (23/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (6/14) on the 2nd serve. Alexander broke Esteve Lobato 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Shevchenko has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 67% of his matches (171-86). 34-15 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Shevchenko has an aggregate138-68 record in the last 5 years on clay.
Shevchenko’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Antalya and the Bratislava Challenger.
Alexander has an overall 36-17 win-loss record in 2022, 34-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hamburg
Alexander has never competed in this tournament before.
Jozef Kovalik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-23 | 2-5 | 11-14 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-25 | 3-5 | 30-15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-34 | 1-3 | 21-28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 3-6 | 29-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-27 | 0-1 | 26-20 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 190, the Slovakian reached the qualifications after defeating Henri Laaksonen 6-4 6-1.
In the qualifications, Kovalik had a good straight sets win against Laaksonen (6-4 6-1). During the match Kovalik scored 70 points vs Laaksonen’s 50. The Slovakian was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Kovalik scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jozef Kovalik lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kovalik put 63% of his first serves in, winning 74% (28/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Kovalik broke Laaksonen 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Jozef’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 2 Challenger and the Luedenscheid Challenger.
The Slovakian has a compiled 20-16 win-loss record in 2022, 18-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hamburg
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shevchenko | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 |
| Pts | 64-41 | 70-50 |
| Total Points | 105 | 120 |
| Winners | 23 | 28 |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% |
Both Shevchenko and Kovalik played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shevchenko and Kovalik have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Shevchenko played 2 games less than Kovalik. Shevchenko scored 23 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Slovakian scored 28 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shevchenko | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 1 |
| 1st in | 31/45 | 38/60 |
| %1st in | 69% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 23/31 | 28/38 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 11/22 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 50% |
Shevchenko scored 1 ace . Kovalik also fired 1 ace . Shevchenko won 74% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Kovalik won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shevchenko | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/12 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 |
| Saved | 1 | 2 |
| % Saved | 33% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Shevchenko broke his opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Shevchenko lost his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Kovalik broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Jozef conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shevchenko | |||
| Q1 Esteve Lobato | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 64-41 | 64-41 | |
| Total points | 105 | 105 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 31/45 | 31/45 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 23/31 | 23/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 6/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Kovalik | |||
| Q1 Laaksonen | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 70-50 | 70-50 | |
| Total points | 120 | 120 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 38/60 | 38/60 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 28/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/22 | 11/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Richard BerankisBerankis – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aljaz BedeneBedene – Fabio FogniniFognini (1-9) – H2H and prediction
- Jozef KovalikKovalik – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Borna CoricCoric (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Andrey RublevRublev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Riccardo BonadioBonadio (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Dusan LajovicLajovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Nicola KuhnKuhn (0-0) – H2H and prediction