Andrey Rublev and Sebastian Baez will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Nordea Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.63
Sebastian Baez -> 2.4
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Sebastian Baez
There is no head to head record between Andrey Rublev and Sebastian Baez since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-25 | 16-13 | 8-6 | 6-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Rublev got to the semifinal after defeating Federico Coria 7-5 4-6 7-62 and Laslo Djere 7-5 6-4.
In the quarter, Rublev had a good straight sets win against Djere (7-5 6-4). During the match, Rublev scored 71 points vs Djere’s 63. Andrey was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rublev blasted 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Andrey Rublev was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (32/41) of his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Andrey broke Djere 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has dropped 1 set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (359-199). 13-4 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has a compiled 94-58 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in in Marseille where he beat Felix Auger Aliassime in the final 7-5 7-6(4) and in in Dubai where he beat Jiri Vesely in the final 6-3 6-4 and in in Belgrade where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-7(4) 6-0.
The Russian has a composed 31-9 win-loss record in 2022, 13-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-27 | 3-9 | 17-14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34 (career-high), the Argentine reached the semifinal after defeating Fabio Fognini 6-3 6-4, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-2 6-3 and Dominic Thiem 6-2 6-75 6-4.
In the quarter, Baez defeated Thiem (6-2 6-75 6-4). During the match Baez scored 120 points vs Thiem’s 100. Baez was exceptionally aggressive to blast 56 winners.
Talking about serving, Baez wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 73% of his first serves in, winning 78% (56/72) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Thiem 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in in Estoril where he defeated Frances Tiafoe in the final 6-3 6-2.
Sebastian has an aggregate 33-18 win-loss record in 2022, 26-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 57 | 67 |
| Pts | 183-172 | 250-198 |
| Total Points | 355 | 448 |
| Winners | 81 | 110 |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% |
Rublev played 2 matches while Baez competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev conceded 1 set, while Sebastian Baez dropped 1 set. Rublev has played 2 set(s) less than Baez (5 vs 7). Therefore, Rublev played 10 games less than Baez. Rublev scored 81 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine managed to score 110 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 0 |
| 1st in | 115/178 | 146/204 |
| %1st in | 65% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 81/115 | 110/146 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 32/63 | 32/58 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 55% |
Rublev made 7 aces (3.5 per match). Baez didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Rublev won 70% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 12 |
| Converted | 8/16 | 12/27 |
| % Converted | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded | 21 | 13 |
| Saved | 15 | 10 |
| % Saved | 71% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
The Russian broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Baez broke his opponents 12 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||
| R2 Coria |
1/4 Djere |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 4-6 7-62 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 22 | 57 | |
| pts | 112-109 | 71-63 | 183-172 | |
| Total points | 221 | 134 | 355 | |
| Winners | 49 | 32 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 74/111 | 41/67 | 115/178 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 61% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 49/74 | 32/41 | 81/115 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 78% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/37 | 14/26 | 32/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 54% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/5 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 60% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 7 | 21 | |
| Saved | 9/14 | 6/7 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 86% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| Baez | |||||
| R1 Fognini |
R2 Davidovich Fokina |
1/4 Thiem |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-2 6-75 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 31 | 67 | |
| pts | 65-52 | 65-46 | 120-100 | 250-198 | |
| Total points | 117 | 111 | 220 | 448 | |
| Winners | 23 | 31 | 56 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 48% | 47% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 33/49 | 41/57 | 72/98 | 146/204 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 72% | 73% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 23/33 | 31/41 | 56/72 | 110/146 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 76% | 78% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 10/16 | 13/26 | 32/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 63% | 50% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 3/7 | 4/13 | 12/27 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 43% | 31% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 2/2 | 5/6 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 83% | 122% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLLLLWW
LLLLLWLLLW Tennis Scores in Bastad
- Andrey RublevRublev – Laslo DjereDjere (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Dominic ThiemThiem (6-2 6-75 6-4) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Rafael Matos/David Vega HernandezMatos/David Vega Hernandez – Andres Molteni/Hugo NysMolteni/Hugo Nys (7-5 5-7 10-8) – See score progression
- Simone Bolelli/Fabio FogniniBolelli/Fabio Fognini – Pablo Carreno-Busta/Joao SousaCarreno-Busta/Joao Sousa (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Francisco Cerundolo/Tomas Martin EtcheverryCerundolo/Tomas Martin Etcheverry – Fabrice Martin/Franko SkugorMartin/Franko Skugor (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Andrey RublevRublev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
