Pablo Carreno-Busta and Francisco Cerundolo will face off in the semifinal of the Nordea Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.56
Francisco Cerundolo -> 2.56

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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Francisco Cerundolo

There is no head to head record between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Francisco Cerundolo since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Ranked no. 18, Carreno-Busta got to the semifinal after defeating Stan Wawrinka 7-5 6-4, Albert Ramos-Vinolas 4-6 7-6⁵ 7-5 and Diego Sebastian Schwartzman 6-1 6-0.

In the quarter, Pablo had a good straight sets win against Schwartzman (6-1 6-0). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 58 points vs Schwartzman’s 33. Pablo was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about the service games, Carreno-Busta blasted 2 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta was quite efficient on serve to win 78% (21/27) of his 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Schwartzman 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pablo has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Carreno-Busta has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (390-218). 10-7 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Carreno-Busta has an overall 220-101 match record in the last years on clay.

Pablo’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Barcelona.

Pablo has an overall 21-15 win-loss record in 2022, 10-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Bastad

Francisco Cerundolo

Ranked no. 39 (career-high), Francisco got to the semifinal after beating Pedro Sousa 6-4 6-3, Casper Ruud 6-4 3-6 7-5 and Aslan Karatsev 7-5 6-1.

In the quarter, Francisco had a good straight sets win against Karatsev (7-5 6-1). During the match Cerundolo scored 69 points vs Karatsev’s 56. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Cerundolo made 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Francisco Cerundolo lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Cerundolo put 61% of his first serves in, winning 74% (32/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 30% (8/27) on the 2nd serve. Cerundolo broke Karatsev 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cerundolo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Argentine’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger.

Francisco has a compiled 28-17 win-loss record in 2022, 20-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Bastad

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2021. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Carreno-Busta	Cerundolo
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	7
Tot Games	70	69
Pts	218-190	246-219
Total Points	408	465
Winners	101	98
%Winners	46%	40%

Both Carreno-Busta and Cerundolo played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Pablo Carreno-Busta conceded 1 set, while Francisco Cerundolo surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Carreno-Busta and Cerundolo have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Carreno-Busta played 1 game more than Cerundolo. The Spaniard scored 101 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine managed to score 98 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Carreno-Busta	Cerundolo
Aces	10	4
Avg per match	3.3	1.3
1st in	134/197	141/236
%1st in	68%	60%
1st pts	101/134	98/141
%1st pts	75%	70%
2nd pts	33/63	48/95
%2nd pts	52%	51%

Carreno-Busta recorded 10 aces (3.3 per match). Cerundolo recorded 4 aces (1.3 per match). Carreno-Busta won 75% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Cerundolo won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Carreno-Busta	Cerundolo
Won	12	13
Converted	12/28	13/30
% Converted	43%	43%
Conceded	9	27
Saved	4	21
% Saved	44%	78%
Times Broken	5	6

Pablo broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 13 times with a 43% conversion rate. Cerundolo conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

Carreno-Busta
	R1 Wawrinka	R2 Ramos-Vinolas	1/4 Schwartzman	Total
Score	7-5 6-4	4-6 7-65 7-5	6-1 6-0
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	22	35	13	70
pts	63-56	97-101	58-33	218-190
Total points	119	198	91	408
Winners	30	50	21	101
%Winners	48%	52%	36%	46%
SERVE
Aces	2	6	2	10
Double Faults	2	4	0	6
1st in	35/56	72/99	27/42	134/197
% 1st in	63%	73%	64%	68%
1st pts	30/35	50/72	21/27	101/134
% 1st pts	86%	69%	78%	75%
2nd pts	14/21	11/27	8/15	33/63
% 2nd pts	67%	41%	53%	52%
Breaks
Won	2	5	5	12
Converted	2/6	5/8	5/14	12/28
Converted %	33%	63%	36%	43%
Conceded	0	7	2	9
Saved	0/0	2/7	2/2	4
Saved %	–	29%	100%	43%
Times Broken	0	5	0	5

Cerundolo
	R1 Sousa	R2 Ruud	1/4 Karatsev	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	6-4 3-6 7-5	7-5 6-1
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	19	31	19	69
pts	78-65	99-98	69-56	246-219
Total points	143	197	125	465
Winners	29	37	32	98
%Winners	37%	37%	46%	40%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	3	4
Double Faults	2	2	4	8
1st in	41/62	57/104	43/70	141/236
% 1st in	66%	55%	61%	60%
1st pts	29/41	37/57	32/43	98/141
% 1st pts	71%	65%	74%	70%
2nd pts	9/21	31/47	8/27	48/95
% 2nd pts	43%	66%	30%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	3	5	13
Converted	5/13	3/9	5/8	13/30
Converted %	38%	33%	63%	43%
Conceded	9	11	7	27
Saved	7/9	9/11	5/7	21
Saved %	78%	82%	71%	77%
Times Broken	2	2	2	6

Tennis Scores in Bastad

• Andrey RublevRublev – Laslo DjereDjere (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Dominic ThiemThiem (6-2 6-7⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
• Rafael Matos/David Vega HernandezMatos/David Vega Hernandez – Andres Molteni/Hugo NysMolteni/Hugo Nys (7-5 5-7 10-8) – See score progression
• Simone Bolelli/Fabio FogniniBolelli/Fabio Fognini – Pablo Carreno-Busta/Joao SousaCarreno-Busta/Joao Sousa (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Francisco Cerundolo/Tomas Martin EtcheverryCerundolo/Tomas Martin Etcheverry – Fabrice Martin/Franko SkugorMartin/Franko Skugor (6-4 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Andrey RublevRublev (0-0) – H2H and prediction