Sebastian Ofner and Francesco Maestrelli will square off in the semifinal of the Verona Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CENTER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Ofner who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Ofner is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Ofner -> 1.63
Francesco Maestrelli -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Ofner vs. Francesco Maestrelli
There is no head to head record between Sebastian Ofner and Francesco Maestrelli since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Sebastian Ofner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-21 | 6-7 | 7-10 | 1-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 60-31 | 12-10 | 37-13 | 7-6 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-18 | 4-4 | 21-12 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-24 | 4-6 | 4-8 | 7-6 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-17 | 3-5 | 7-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 230, Ofner reached the semifinal after defeating Alessandro Giannessi 6-3 6-3, Cedrik-Marcel Stebe 6-4 7-65 and Norbert Gombos 3-6 7-63 6-3.
In the quarter against Gombos, Sebastian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-63 6-3). During the match, Ofner scored 90 points vs Gombos’s 83. Sebastian was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ofner blasted 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Sebastian Ofner was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (38/47) of his 1st serve and 61% (17/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Austrian broke Gombos 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ofner has lost 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Ofner has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (225-172). 13-6 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ofner has a compiled97-79 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
Ofner’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Prague 1 Challenger.
Sebastian has an aggregate 16-8 win-loss record in 2022, 13-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Verona Challenger
Ofner has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Maestrelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-21 | 5-5 | 14-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 337 (career-high), Francesco reached the semifinal after defeating Daniele Capecchi 6-4 6-2, Alexey Vatutin 2-6 6-1 6-4, Gilles Simon 6-3 6-2, Riccardo Bonadio 3-6 7-66 6-2 and Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, Francesco had a good straight sets win against Cobolli (6-3 6-2). During the match Maestrelli scored 62 points vs Cobolli’s 43. Maestrelli was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Maestrelli recorded 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Francesco Maestrelli was extremely effective on serve to win 75% (24/32) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Cobolli 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Maestrelli’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Santa Margherita di Pula and the Francavilla Challenger.
Francesco has an aggregate 34-14 win-loss record in 2022, 29-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ofner | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 72 | 107 |
| Pts | 235-196 | 370-308 |
| Total Points | 431 | 678 |
| Winners | 86 | 141 |
| %Winners | 37% | 38% |
Ofner played 3 matches while Maestrelli competed in 5 matches. Maestrelli started his run from the qualifications while Ofner had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Ofner dropped 1 set, while Francesco Maestrelli conceded 2 sets. Ofner has played 5 set(s) less than Maestrelli (7 vs 12). Therefore, Ofner played 35 games less than Maestrelli. Sebastian scored 86 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Francesco fired 141 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ofner | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 32 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 6.4 |
| 1st in | 109/198 | 203/342 |
| %1st in | 55% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 86/109 | 141/203 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 57/89 | 73/139 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 53% |
Ofner scored 18 aces (6 per match). Maestrelli recorded 32 aces (6.4 per match). Ofner won 79% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ofner | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 23 |
| Converted | 8/17 | 23/42 |
| % Converted | 47% | 55% |
| Conceded | 11 | 23 |
| Saved | 8 | 11 |
| % Saved | 73% | 48% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 12 |
The Austrian broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Ofner dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 23 times with a 55% conversion rate. Francesco conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 48% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ofner | |||||
| R1 Giannessi |
R2 Stebe |
1/4 Gombos |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 7-65 | 3-6 7-63 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 23 | 31 | 72 | |
| pts | 65-44 | 80-69 | 90-83 | 235-196 | |
| Total points | 109 | 149 | 173 | 431 | |
| Winners | 23 | 25 | 38 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 31% | 42% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 9 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 28/50 | 34/73 | 47/75 | 109/198 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 47% | 63% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 25/34 | 38/47 | 86/109 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 74% | 81% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 25/39 | 17/28 | 57/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 64% | 61% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/6 | 3/5 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 33% | 60% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 4/5 | 1/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 33% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Maestrelli | |||||||
| Q1 Capecchi |
Q3 Vatutin |
R1 Simon |
R2 Bonadio |
1/4 Cobolli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 2-6 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | 3-6 7-66 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 25 | 17 | 30 | 17 | 107 | |
| pts | 65-49 | 84-70 | 65-54 | 94-92 | 62-43 | 370-308 | |
| Total points | 114 | 154 | 119 | 186 | 105 | 678 | |
| Winners | 25 | 28 | 28 | 36 | 24 | 141 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 33% | 43% | 38% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 6 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 34/51 | 42/80 | 42/68 | 53/91 | 32/52 | 203/342 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 53% | 62% | 58% | 62% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 28/42 | 28/42 | 36/53 | 24/32 | 141/203 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 67% | 67% | 68% | 75% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 20/38 | 11/26 | 22/38 | 12/20 | 73/139 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 53% | 42% | 58% | 60% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/11 | 5/9 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 23/42 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 45% | 56% | 67% | 67% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 23 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 4/7 | 1/2 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 20% | 60% | 57% | 50% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLLLW
LLLLWLWWLW Tennis Scores in Verona Challenger
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Norbert GombosGombos (3-6 7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Jerome KymKym (5-7 7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Filip HoranskyHoransky (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Jerome KymKym (5-7 7-6(4) 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pedro CachinCachin – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
