Francisco Cerundolo and Aslan Karatsev will clash against each other in the quarter of the Nordea Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francisco Cerundolo who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Francisco Cerundolo is the pick to win this match.
Francisco Cerundolo -> 1.85
Aslan Karatsev -> 2.04

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Prediction and head to head Francisco Cerundolo vs. Aslan Karatsev

There is no head to head record between Francisco Cerundolo and Aslan Karatsev since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Francisco Cerundolo

Francisco Cerundolo

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
21
High
18
LWWLWLWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 38-24 12-8 21-11 5-3 0-2 0-0
2024 35-31 5-10 21-13 9-5 0-3 0-0
2023 39-26 10-10 19-12 4-2 6-2 0-0
2022 36-28 7-8 25-10 3-7 1-3 0-0
2021 44-24 3-2 39-21 0-0 2-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 39 (career-high), the Argentine reached the quarter after beating Pedro Sousa 6-4 6-3 and Casper Ruud 6-4 3-6 7-5.

In the 2nd round, Cerundolo defeated Ruud (6-4 3-6 7-5). During the match, Cerundolo scored 99 points vs Ruud’s 98. Cerundolo was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Cerundolo was unable to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Francisco Cerundolo lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Cerundolo put 55% of his first serves in, winning 65% (37/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 66% (31/47) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Ruud 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cerundolo has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Cerundolo has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 70% of his matches (230-99). 19-9 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Cerundolo has a composed209-84 match record in the last 7 years on clay.

Francisco’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger.

Francisco has an overall 27-17 win-loss record in 2022, 19-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Bastad

Bastad
Cerundolo's Record

Aslan Karatsev

Aslan Karatsev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
372
High
14
LWLLWLWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-11 14-8 2-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 12-18 6-9 1-4 5-3 0-2 0-0
2023 32-22 13-10 14-5 2-3 3-4 0-0
2022 18-31 8-9 5-9 4-10 1-3 0-0
2021 37-20 23-9 9-6 4-3 1-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 40, Aslan reached the quarter after beating Lorenzo Sonego 6-0 2-6 6-4 and Hugo Gaston 6-2 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Aslan had a good straight sets win against Gaston (6-2 6-4). During the match Karatsev scored 72 points vs Gaston’s 56. Aslan was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Karatsev made 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Aslan Karatsev was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Karatsev broke Gaston 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Aslan has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Sydney where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-3 6-3.

Karatsev has an overall 12-16 win-loss record in 2022, 3-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Bastad

Aslan has never competed in this tournament before.

Bastad
Karatsev's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

F.Cerundolo
A.Karatsev
3h:59
3h:59
Time on court​
3h:52
3h:52
!
2h:33
2h:33
Last match​
1h:30
1h:30
2
2
Match played
2
2
50
50
Games Played​
42
42
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
177
177
Total points​
152
152
88.5
88.5
Avg point​
76
76
66
66
Winners
51
51
33
33
Avg Winners​
25.5
25.5
37%
37%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
4
4
0.5
0.5
Avg Aces
2
2
4
4
Double Faults
10
10
2
2
Avg Double Faults
5
5
66/98
66/98
1st won total​
51/81
51/81
67%
67%
1st won %
63%
63%
40/68
40/68
2nd won total​
36/59
36/59
59%
59%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
8/22
8/22
BP won
9/16
9/16
4/11
4/11
Avg BP won
4.5/8
4.5/8
36%
36%
Won
!
56%
56%
20
20
Conceded
13
13
10
10
Avg Conceded
6.5
6.5
4
4
Broken
4
4
2
2
Avg Broken
2
2
16
16
Saved
9
9
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Cerundolo Karatsev
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 50 42
Pts 177-163 152-130
Total Points 340 282
Winners 66 51
%Winners 37% 34%

Both Cerundolo and Karatsev played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Francisco Cerundolo dropped 1 set, while Aslan Karatsev surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Cerundolo and Karatsev have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Cerundolo played 8 games more than Karatsev. The Argentine scored 66 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Karatsev scored 51 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Cerundolo Karatsev
Aces 1 4
Avg per match 0.5 2
1st in 98/166 81/140
%1st in 59% 58%
1st pts 66/98 51/81
%1st pts 67% 63%
2nd pts 40/68 36/59
%2nd pts 59% 61%

Cerundolo blasted 1 ace (0.5 per match). Karatsev also made 4 aces (2 per match). Cerundolo won 67% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Karatsev won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Cerundolo Karatsev
Won 8 9
Converted 8/22 9/16
% Converted 36% 56%
Conceded 20 13
Saved 16 9
% Saved 80% 69%
Times Broken 4 4

The Argentine broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Argentine lost his serve 4 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Cerundolo
R1
Sousa		 R2
Ruud		 Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-5
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 19 31 50
pts 78-65 99-98 177-163
Total points 143 197 340
Winners 29 37 66
%Winners 37% 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 1 0 1
Double Faults 2 2 4
1st in 41/62 57/104 98/166
% 1st in 66% 55% 59%
1st pts 29/41 37/57 66/98
% 1st pts 71% 65% 67%
2nd pts 9/21 31/47 40/68
% 2nd pts 43% 66% 59%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/13 3/9 8/22
Converted % 38% 33% 36%
Conceded 9 11 20
Saved 7/9 9/11 16
Saved % 78% 82% 80%
Times Broken 2 2 4
Karatsev
R1
Sonego		 R2
Gaston		 Total
Score 6-0 2-6 6-4 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 24 18 42
pts 80-74 72-56 152-130
Total points 154 128 282
Winners 26 25 51
%Winners 33% 35% 34%
SERVE
Aces 0 4 4
Double Faults 4 6 10
1st in 47/78 34/62 81/140
% 1st in 60% 55% 58%
1st pts 26/47 25/34 51/81
% 1st pts 55% 74% 63%
2nd pts 20/31 16/28 36/59
% 2nd pts 65% 57% 61%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/7 4/9 9/16
Converted % 71% 44% 56%
Conceded 7 6 13
Saved 4/7 5/6 9
Saved % 57% 83% 70%
Times Broken 3 1 4

Tennis Scores in Bastad

  • Rafael Matos/David Vega HernandezMatos/David Vega Hernandez – Andres Molteni/Hugo NysMolteni/Hugo Nys (7-5 5-7 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Simone Bolelli/Fabio FogniniBolelli/Fabio Fognini – Pablo Carreno-Busta/Joao SousaCarreno-Busta/Joao Sousa (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

Cerundolo
More Stats
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Karatsev

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