Francisco Cerundolo and Aslan Karatsev will clash against each other in the quarter of the Nordea Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francisco Cerundolo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Francisco Cerundolo is the pick to win this match.
Francisco Cerundolo -> 1.85
Aslan Karatsev -> 2.04
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Francisco Cerundolo vs. Aslan Karatsev
There is no head to head record between Francisco Cerundolo and Aslan Karatsev since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Francisco Cerundolo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-25 | 12-8 | 21-11 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-31 | 5-10 | 21-13 | 9-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-26 | 10-10 | 19-12 | 4-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 7-8 | 25-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-24 | 3-2 | 39-21 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 39 (career-high), the Argentine reached the quarter after beating Pedro Sousa 6-4 6-3 and Casper Ruud 6-4 3-6 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Cerundolo defeated Ruud (6-4 3-6 7-5). During the match, Cerundolo scored 99 points vs Ruud’s 98. Cerundolo was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Cerundolo was unable to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Francisco Cerundolo lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Cerundolo put 55% of his first serves in, winning 65% (37/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 66% (31/47) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Ruud 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cerundolo has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Cerundolo has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 70% of his matches (230-99). 19-9 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Cerundolo has a composed209-84 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
Francisco’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger.
Francisco has an overall 27-17 win-loss record in 2022, 19-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Aslan Karatsev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-11 | 14-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-18 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-22 | 13-10 | 14-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-31 | 8-9 | 5-9 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 23-9 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 40, Aslan reached the quarter after beating Lorenzo Sonego 6-0 2-6 6-4 and Hugo Gaston 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Aslan had a good straight sets win against Gaston (6-2 6-4). During the match Karatsev scored 72 points vs Gaston’s 56. Aslan was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Karatsev made 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Aslan Karatsev was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Karatsev broke Gaston 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aslan has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Sydney where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-3 6-3.
Karatsev has an overall 12-16 win-loss record in 2022, 3-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Aslan has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cerundolo | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 42 |
| Pts | 177-163 | 152-130 |
| Total Points | 340 | 282 |
| Winners | 66 | 51 |
| %Winners | 37% | 34% |
Both Cerundolo and Karatsev played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Francisco Cerundolo dropped 1 set, while Aslan Karatsev surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Cerundolo and Karatsev have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Cerundolo played 8 games more than Karatsev. The Argentine scored 66 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Karatsev scored 51 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cerundolo | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 98/166 | 81/140 |
| %1st in | 59% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 66/98 | 51/81 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 40/68 | 36/59 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 61% |
Cerundolo blasted 1 ace (0.5 per match). Karatsev also made 4 aces (2 per match). Cerundolo won 67% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Karatsev won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cerundolo | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 9 |
| Converted | 8/22 | 9/16 |
| % Converted | 36% | 56% |
| Conceded | 20 | 13 |
| Saved | 16 | 9 |
| % Saved | 80% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Argentine lost his serve 4 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Cerundolo | ||||
| R1 Sousa |
R2 Ruud |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 31 | 50 | |
| pts | 78-65 | 99-98 | 177-163 | |
| Total points | 143 | 197 | 340 | |
| Winners | 29 | 37 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 41/62 | 57/104 | 98/166 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 55% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 29/41 | 37/57 | 66/98 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 65% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/21 | 31/47 | 40/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 66% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 3/9 | 8/22 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 33% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 11 | 20 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 9/11 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 82% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Karatsev | ||||
| R1 Sonego |
R2 Gaston |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 2-6 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 18 | 42 | |
| pts | 80-74 | 72-56 | 152-130 | |
| Total points | 154 | 128 | 282 | |
| Winners | 26 | 25 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 35% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 47/78 | 34/62 | 81/140 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 55% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 26/47 | 25/34 | 51/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 55% | 74% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/31 | 16/28 | 36/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 57% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/9 | 9/16 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 44% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 5/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 83% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLWLL
LWLLWLWLLW Tennis Scores in Bastad
- Rafael Matos/David Vega HernandezMatos/David Vega Hernandez – Andres Molteni/Hugo NysMolteni/Hugo Nys (7-5 5-7 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Simone Bolelli/Fabio FogniniBolelli/Fabio Fognini – Pablo Carreno-Busta/Joao SousaCarreno-Busta/Joao Sousa (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Andrey RublevRublev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Dominic ThiemThiem (0-0) – H2H and prediction
