Roberto Carballes Baena and Luca Van Assche will play each other in the quarter of the Amersfoort Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on VAN MOSSEL KIA COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Roberto Carballes Baena who should win in 2 sets.
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 1.30
Luca Van Assche -> 3.40
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Prediction and head to head Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Luca Van Assche
This will be the 2nd time that Roberto Carballes Baena and Luca Van Assche clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Carballes Baena (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Carballes Baena won 6-2 7-6(3) in the qualifications in Paris back in 2021.
Roberto Carballes Baena
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-24 | 7-10 | 11-12 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-31 | 10-12 | 24-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-29 | 3-8 | 19-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 3-8 | 41-23 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-30 | 3-5 | 33-20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 81, the Spaniard reached the quarter after beating Jelle Sels 6-4 6-3 and Adrian Andreev 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Andreev (6-4 6-4). During the match, Carballes Baena scored 68 points vs Andreev’s 55. Roberto was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Carballes Baena couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Roberto Carballes Baena lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Carballes Baena put 59% of his first serves in, winning 69% (29/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the 2nd serve. Roberto was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Andreev 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Carballes Baena has a positive match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (402-289). 25-16 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Carballes Baena has a compiled 354-226 match record in the last years on clay.
Roberto’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Gran Canaria Challenger and the Tunis Challenger.
The Spaniard has an overall 26-23 win-loss record in 2022, 25-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Amersfoort Challenger
The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.
Luca Van Assche
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-26 | 7-4 | 15-12 | 9-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-38 | 15-15 | 8-10 | 10-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-30 | 1-7 | 15-11 | 15-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 55-31 | 0-1 | 40-20 | 15-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-22 | 3-2 | 8-7 | 15-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 314 (career-high), the French player got to the quarter after defeating Naoki Nakagawa 3-6 6-2 6-4, Oscar Jose Gutierrez 7-5 6-3, Zizou Bergs 6-3 4-6 6-4 and Sander Jong 6-0 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Jong (6-0 6-2). During the match Van Assche scored 54 points vs Jong’s 25. Van Assche was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Van Assche couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Luca Van Assche lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Van Assche put 83% of his first serves in, winning 80% (24/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (2/6) on the 2nd serve. Van Assche broke Jong 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Van Assche started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The French player best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15+H Bagnoles de l’Orne.
Van Assche has a composed 27-17 win-loss record in 2022, 20-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carballes Baena | Van Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 91 |
| Pts | 132-105 | 316-249 |
| Total Points | 237 | 565 |
| Winners | 55 | 134 |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% |
Carballes Baena played 2 matches while Van Assche competed in 4 matches. Van Assche started his run from the qualifications while Carballes Baena had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Luca Van Assche surrendered 2 sets while Roberto Carballes Baena hasn’t lost a set so far. Carballes Baena has played 6 set(s) less than Van Assche (4 vs 10). Therefore, Carballes Baena played 52 games less than Van Assche. Carballes Baena scored 55 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Luca bagged 134 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carballes Baena | Van Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 77/122 | 194/273 |
| %1st in | 63% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 55/77 | 134/194 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 27/45 | 47/79 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 59% |
Carballes Baena managed to score 2 aces (1 per match). Van Assche recorded 10 aces (2.5 per match). Carballes Baena won 71% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Van Assche won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carballes Baena | Van Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 19 |
| Converted | 8/12 | 19/43 |
| % Converted | 67% | 44% |
| Conceded | 8 | 27 |
| Saved | 5 | 19 |
| % Saved | 63% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 8 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 8 times with a 67% conversion rate. Roberto dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 19 times with a 44% conversion rate. Van Assche conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carballes Baena | ||||
| R1 Sels | R2 Andreev | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 39 | |
| pts | 64-50 | 68-55 | 132-105 | |
| Total points | 114 | 123 | 237 | |
| Winners | 26 | 29 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 43% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 35/51 | 42/71 | 77/122 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 59% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 29/42 | 55/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 69% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 17/29 | 27/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 59% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/4 | 8/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 100% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 7 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 71% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Van Assche | ||||||
| Q1 Nakagawa | Q3 Jose Gutierrez | R1 Bergs | R2 Jong | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-4 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 21 | 29 | 14 | 91 | |
| pts | 91-81 | 72-53 | 99-90 | 54-25 | 316-249 | |
| Total points | 172 | 125 | 189 | 79 | 565 | |
| Winners | 38 | 35 | 37 | 24 | 134 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 49% | 37% | 44% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 55/80 | 46/60 | 63/97 | 30/36 | 194/273 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 77% | 65% | 83% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 38/55 | 35/46 | 37/63 | 24/30 | 134/194 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 76% | 59% | 80% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 7/14 | 25/34 | 2/6 | 47/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 50% | 74% | 33% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 4/7 | 4/12 | 6/10 | 19/43 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 57% | 33% | 60% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 27 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4/5 | 8/11 | 3/4 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 80% | 73% | 75% | 143% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
Tennis Scores in Amersfoort Challenger
- Sander Arends/David PelArends/David Pel – Adrian Andreev/Georgii KravchenkoAndreev/Georgii Kravchenko (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Taro DanielDaniel – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Vitaliy SachkoSachko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Max HoukesHoukes – Ivan GakhovGakhov (1-0) – H2H and prediction