Sebastian Baez and Dominic Thiem will clash against each other in the quarter of the Nordea Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.5
Dominic Thiem -> 2.74

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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Dominic Thiem

There is no head to head record between Sebastian Baez and Dominic Thiem since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Sebastian Baez

Sebastian Baez

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
45
High
18
LLLLLWLLLW
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Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-27 3-9 17-14 0-3 0-1 0-0
2024 31-28 5-9 26-11 0-5 0-3 0-0
2023 33-27 9-7 22-13 1-5 1-2 0-0
2022 35-32 6-12 27-12 0-6 2-2 0-0
2021 56-16 2-1 52-12 2-2 0-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 34 (career-high), the Argentine reached the quarter after defeating Fabio Fognini 6-3 6-4 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-2 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Baez had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-2 6-3). During the match, Baez scored 65 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 46. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Baez wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Baez was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (31/41) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Argentine broke Davidovich Fokina 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Baez hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.

Baez has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 70% of his matches (184-80). 25-9 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Baez has an overall162-62 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Estoril where he defeated Frances Tiafoe in the final 6-3 6-2.

Sebastian has a compiled 32-18 win-loss record in 2022, 25-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Bastad

The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.

Bastad
Baez's Record

Dominic Thiem

Dominic Thiem

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
524
High
3
LLLLLLWLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 7-14 2-3 4-9 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 27-30 1-5 18-15 8-8 0-2 0-0
2022 23-19 2-2 8-11 13-6 0-0 0-0
2021 9-9 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-1 0-0
2020 25-9 14-4 6-2 5-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 339, the Austrian got to the quarter after defeating Emil Ruusuvuori 3-6 6-1 7-65 and Roberto Bautista Agut 7-65 3-6 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The Austrian defeated Bautista-Agut (7-65 3-6 6-4).During the match Thiem scored less points (4) than Bautista-Agut. In fact, the world no. 34 won 97 points vs Bautista-Agut’s. That means that Thiem was more focused during the important points. The Austrian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.

About the serving games, Thiem scored 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Dominic Thiem lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Thiem put 66% of his first serves in, winning 71% (46/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (15/33) on the 2nd serve. Dominic broke Bautista-Agut twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dominic has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

The Austrian has a composed 3-8 win-loss record in 2022, 3-8 on clay (See FULL STATS)

.
Bastad
Thiem's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

S.Baez
D.Thiem
2h:39
2h:39
Time on court​
!
5h:17
5h:17
1h:19
1h:19
Last match​
!
2h:40
2h:40
2
2
Match played
2
2
36
36
Games Played​
61
61
4
4
Set played​​
6
6
130
130
Total points​
196
196
65
65
Avg point​
98
98
54
54
Winners
91
91
27
27
Avg Winners​
45.5
45.5
42%
42%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
0
0
Aces
9
9
0
0
Avg Aces
4.5
4.5
3
3
Double Faults
6
6
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
3
3
54/74
54/74
1st won total​
91/134
91/134
!
73%
73%
1st won %
68%
68%
19/32
19/32
2nd won total​
29/62
29/62
59%
59%
2nd won %
47%
47%
-- Break Points --
8/14
8/14
BP won
7/15
7/15
4/7
4/7
Avg BP won
3.5/7.5
3.5/7.5
!
57%
57%
Won
47%
47%
7
7
Conceded
17
17
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
8.5
8.5
2
2
Broken
7
7
1
1
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
5
5
Saved
10
10
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Baez Thiem
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 6
Tot Games 36 61
Pts 130-98 196-189
Total Points 228 385
Winners 54 91
%Winners 42% 46%

Both Baez and Thiem played 2 matches. At the moment, Dominic Thiem dropped 2 sets while Sebastian Baez hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Baez has played 2 set(s) less than Thiem (4 vs 6). Therefore, Baez played 25 games less than Thiem. Sebastian scored 54 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Thiem recorded 91 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve Baez Thiem
Aces 0 9
Avg per match 0 4.5
1st in 74/106 134/196
%1st in 70% 68%
1st pts 54/74 91/134
%1st pts 73% 68%
2nd pts 19/32 29/62
%2nd pts 59% 47%

Baez didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Thiem struck 9 aces (4.5 per match). Baez won 73% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Thiem won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Baez Thiem
Won 8 7
Converted 8/14 7/15
% Converted 57% 47%
Conceded 7 17
Saved 5 10
% Saved 71% 59%
Times Broken 2 7

Baez broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Sebastian lost his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Dominic broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. Thiem conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded.

Baez
R1
Fognini		 R2
Davidovich Fokina		 Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 17 36
pts 65-52 65-46 130-98
Total points 117 111 228
Winners 23 31 54
%Winners 35% 48% 42%
SERVE
Aces 0 0 0
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 33/49 41/57 74/106
% 1st in 67% 72% 70%
1st pts 23/33 31/41 54/74
% 1st pts 70% 76% 73%
2nd pts 9/16 10/16 19/32
% 2nd pts 56% 63% 59%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/7 3/7 8/14
Converted % 71% 43% 57%
Conceded 5 2 7
Saved 3/5 2/2 5
Saved % 60% 100% 80%
Times Broken 2 0 2
Thiem
R1
Ruusuvuori		 R2
Bautista-Agut		 Total
Score 3-6 6-1 7-65 7-65 3-6 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 29 32 61
pts 99-88 97-101 196-189
Total points 187 198 385
Winners 45 46 91
%Winners 45% 47% 46%
SERVE
Aces 6 3 9
Double Faults 3 3 6
1st in 69/98 65/98 134/196
% 1st in 70% 66% 68%
1st pts 45/69 46/65 91/134
% 1st pts 65% 71% 68%
2nd pts 14/29 15/33 29/62
% 2nd pts 48% 45% 47%
Breaks
Won 5 2 7
Converted 5/7 2/8 7/15
Converted % 71% 25% 47%
Conceded 12 5 17
Saved 8/12 2/5 10
Saved % 67% 40% 54%
Times Broken 4 3 7

Tennis Scores in Bastad

  • Rafael Matos/David Vega HernandezMatos/David Vega Hernandez – Andres Molteni/Hugo NysMolteni/Hugo Nys (7-5 5-7 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Simone Bolelli/Fabio FogniniBolelli/Fabio Fognini – Pablo Carreno-Busta/Joao SousaCarreno-Busta/Joao Sousa (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

Baez
More Stats
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Thiem

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