Diego Sebastian Schwartzman and Pablo Carreno-Busta will clash against each other in the quarter of the Nordea Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Diego Sebastian Schwartzman who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Diego Sebastian Schwartzman is the pick to win this match.
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman -> 1.78
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 2.13
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Prediction and head to head Diego Sebastian Schwartzman vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
This will be the 5th time that Diego Sebastian Schwartzman and Pablo Carreno-Busta fight against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Carreno-Busta won 6-3 6-4 in the semifinal in Barcelona back in April 2022.
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|
Ranked no. 14, Schwartzman reached the quarter after defeating Elias Ymer 7-5 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Diego had a good straight sets win against Ymer (7-5 6-3). During the match, Schwartzman scored 76 points vs Ymer’s 63. Schwartzman was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Schwartzman scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Diego Sebastian Schwartzman lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Schwartzman put 78% of his first serves in, winning 68% (34/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the 2nd serve. Diego broke Ymer 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Schwartzman has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (374-243). 21-8 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Schwartzman has a compiled 249-128 match record in the last years on clay.
The Argentine’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Buenos Aires and Rio de Janeiro.
Schwartzman has an overall 26-15 win-loss record in 2022, 21-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, the Spaniard got to the quarter after defeating Stan Wawrinka 7-5 6-4 and Albert Ramos-Vinolas 4-6 7-65 7-5.
In the 2nd round against Ramos-Vinolas, Pablo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-65 7-5).During the match Carreno-Busta scored less points (4) than Ramos-Vinolas. In fact, the world no. 14 won 97 points vs Ramos-Vinolas’s. That means that Carreno-Busta was more focused during the important points. Carreno-Busta was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta struck 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve 5 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 73% of his first serves in, winning 69% (50/72) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (11/27) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Ramos-Vinolas 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pablo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.
Pablo’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Barcelona.
Pablo has an overall 20-15 win-loss record in 2022, 9-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Schwartzman | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 57 |
| Pts | 76-63 | 160-157 |
| Total Points | 139 | 317 |
| Winners | 34 | 80 |
| %Winners | 45% | 50% |
Schwartzman played 1 match while Carreno-Busta competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Pablo Carreno-Busta conceded 1 set while Diego Sebastian Schwartzman hasn’t conceded a set so far. Schwartzman has played 3 set(s) less than Carreno-Busta (2 vs 5). Therefore, Schwartzman played 36 games less than Carreno-Busta. Schwartzman scored 34 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Pablo blasted 80 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Schwartzman | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 4 |
| 1st in | 50/64 | 107/155 |
| %1st in | 78% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 34/50 | 80/107 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 25/48 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 52% |
Schwartzman recorded 1 ace . Carreno-Busta also bagged 8 aces (4 per match). Schwartzman won 68% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Schwartzman | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 7 |
| Converted | 4/13 | 7/14 |
| % Converted | 31% | 50% |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Saved | 4 | 2 |
| % Saved | 67% | 29% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Diego broke his opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Diego conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Carreno-Busta broke his opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 29% of the break points that he conceded.
| Schwartzman | |||
| R2 Ymer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 76-63 | 76-63 | |
| Total points | 139 | 139 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 50/64 | 50/64 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 34/50 | 34/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 8/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/13 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Carreno-Busta | ||||
| R1 Wawrinka |
R2 Ramos-Vinolas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 4-6 7-65 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 35 | 57 | |
| pts | 63-56 | 97-101 | 160-157 | |
| Total points | 119 | 198 | 317 | |
| Winners | 30 | 50 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 52% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 72/99 | 107/155 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 73% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 30/35 | 50/72 | 80/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 69% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 11/27 | 25/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 41% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 5/8 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 63% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/7 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 29% | 29% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores in Bastad
- Simone Bolelli/Fabio FogniniBolelli/Fabio Fognini – Pablo Carreno-Busta/Joao SousaCarreno-Busta/Joao Sousa (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rafael Matos/David Vega HernandezMatos/David Vega Hernandez – Andres Molteni/Hugo NysMolteni/Hugo Nys (7-5 5-7 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Andrey RublevRublev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Dominic ThiemThiem (0-0) – H2H and prediction
