Sebastian Baez and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will face off in the 2nd round of the Nordea Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who should win in 3 sets.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 1.87
Sebastian Baez -> 1.97
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
There is no head to head record between Sebastian Baez and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-27 | 3-9 | 17-14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34 (career-high), Baez got to the 2nd round after beating Fabio Fognini 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, Baez had a good straight sets win against Fognini (6-3 6-4). During the match, Baez scored 65 points vs Fognini’s 52. Sebastian was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Baez couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Sebastian Baez lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 67% of his first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Fognini 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Baez has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 70% of his matches (183-80). 24-9 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Baez has a compiled161-62 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Estoril where he defeated Frances Tiafoe in the final 6-3 6-2.
Sebastian has a compiled 31-18 win-loss record in 2022, 24-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Baez has never competed in this tournament before.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-26 | 22-14 | 9-6 | 8-4 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36, Davidovich Fokina reached the 2nd round after beating Joao Sousa 6-4 6-2.
In the 1st round, Davidovich Fokina had a good straight sets win against Sousa (6-4 6-2). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 65 points vs Sousa’s 52. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Davidovich Fokina bagged 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 73% (24/33) of his 1st serve and 62% (18/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Davidovich Fokina broke Sousa 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
The Spaniard’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Carlo.
Davidovich Fokina has an aggregate 16-17 win-loss record in 2022, 9-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 |
| Pts | 65-52 | 65-52 |
| Total Points | 117 | 117 |
| Winners | 23 | 24 |
| %Winners | 35% | 37% |
Both Baez and Davidovich Fokina played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Baez and Davidovich Fokina have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Baez played 1 game more than Davidovich Fokina. Baez scored 23 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Davidovich Fokina managed to score 24 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 3 |
| 1st in | 33/49 | 33/62 |
| %1st in | 67% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 23/33 | 24/33 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 18/29 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 62% |
Baez didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Davidovich Fokina scored 3 aces . Baez won 70% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 71% | 43% |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 60% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
Sebastian broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Alejandro broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Alejandro was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.
| Baez | |||
| R1 Fognini | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 65-52 | 65-52 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 33/49 | 33/49 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 23/33 | 23/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 9/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Davidovich Fokina | |||
| R1 Sousa | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 65-52 | 65-52 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 33/62 | 33/62 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 24/33 | 24/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/29 | 18/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Bastad
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Elias YmerYmer (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Hugo GastonGaston (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (4-6 7-65 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Federico CoriaCoria – Andrey RublevRublev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Laslo DjereDjere (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction