Rafael Nadal and Nick Kyrgios will face off in the semifinal of Wimbledon for the 10^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4.30 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nick Kyrgios who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Nick Kyrgios is the pick to win this match.
Nick Kyrgios -> 1.96
Rafael Nadal -> 1.96

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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Nick Kyrgios

This will be the 10^th time that Rafael Nadal and Nick Kyrgios clash against each other. The head to head is 6-3 for Nadal (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on grass.

The last time that they squared off, Nadal won 7-6(0) 5-7 6-4 in the quarter in Indian wells back in March 2022.

Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Nick Kyrgios – Indian wells 17-March-2022

Rafael Nadal

Ranked no. 4, Rafael reached the semifinal after defeating Francisco Cerundolo 6-4 6-3 3-6 6-4, Richard Berankis 6-4 6-4 4-6 6-3, Lorenzo Sonego 6-1 6-2 6-4, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-4 6-2 7-6⁶ and Taylor Harry Fritz 3-6 7-5 3-6 7-5 7-6⁴.

In the quarter, Nadal had a tough win against Fritz to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (3-6 7-5 3-6 7-5 7-6⁴). During the match, Nadal and Fritz scored the same amount of points (168). However, the world no. 4 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Nadal was very aggressive to blast 75 winners.

Regarding the service games, Nadal scored 5 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Rafael Nadal lost the serve 8 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Nadal put 65% of his first serves in, winning 70% (75/107) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (27/57) on the 2nd serve. Rafael broke Fritz 7 times after converting 50% of his break points (7/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rafael has conceded 4 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.

Nadal has a remarkable record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (480-90). 5-0 on grass in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nadal has a composed 26-8 match record in the last years on grass.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in in Melbourne where he overcame Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3 and in at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5 and in in Acapulco where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4 and in at the French Open where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 6-3 6-3 6-0.

Nadal has a composed 35-3 win-loss record in 2022, 5-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Nick Kyrgios

Ranked no. 40, Kyrgios got to the semifinal after defeating Paul Jubb 3-6 6-1 7-5 6-7³ 7-5, Filip Krajinovic 6-2 6-3 6-1, Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-7² 6-4 6-3 7-6⁷, Brandon Nakashima 4-6 6-4 7-6² 3-6 6-2 and Cristian Garin 6-4 6-3 7-6⁵.

In the quarter, Kyrgios had a good straight sets win against Garin (6-4 6-3 7-6⁵). During the match Kyrgios scored 105 points vs Garin’s 97. Kyrgios was extremely aggressive to blast 58 winners.

About the serving games, Kyrgios managed to score 17 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Nick Kyrgios lost the serve once and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Kyrgios put 69% of his first serves in, winning 73% (58/79) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. Kyrgios broke Garin 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nick has conceded 5 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Kyrgios’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Houston, Stuttgart and Halle.

Nick has a composed 21-6 win-loss record in 2022, 12-2 on grass (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2014. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Nadal	Kyrgios
Match played	5	5
Tot Set	19	20
Tot Games	188	204
Pts	617-545	664-588
Total Points	1162	1252
Winners	269	337
%Winners	44%	51%

Both Nadal and Kyrgios played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Rafael Nadal conceded 4 sets, while Nick Kyrgios surrendered 5 sets. Nadal has played 1 set(s) less than Kyrgios (19 vs 20). Therefore, Nadal played 16 games less than Kyrgios. Rafael scored 269 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Nick scored 337 winners (51%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Nadal	Kyrgios
Aces	34	120
Avg per match	6.8	24
1st in	374/565	430/614
%1st in	66%	70%
1st pts	269/374	337/430
%1st pts	72%	78%
2nd pts	104/191	97/184
%2nd pts	54%	53%

Nadal bagged 34 aces (6.8 per match). Kyrgios fired 120 aces (24 per match). Nadal won 72% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Kyrgios won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Nadal	Kyrgios
Won	28	19
Converted	28/63	19/48
% Converted	44%	40%
Conceded	42	34
Saved	25	28
% Saved	60%	82%
Times Broken	17	6

Rafael broke his opponents 28 times with a 44% conversion rate. Nadal lost his serve 17 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Kyrgios broke his opponents 19 times with a 40% conversion rate. Kyrgios conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.

Nadal
	R1 Cerundolo	R2 Berankis	R3 Sonego	R4 Van De Zandschulp	1/4 Fritz	Total
Score	6-4 6-3 3-6 6-4	6-4 6-4 4-6 6-3	6-1 6-2 6-4	6-4 6-2 7-66	3-6 7-5 3-6 7-5 7-64
Tot Set	4	4	3	3	5	19
Tot Games	38	39	25	31	55	188
pts	134-123	131-115	80-54	104-85	168-168	617-545
Total points	257	246	134	189	336	1162
Winners	62	56	35	41	75	269
%Winners	46%	43%	44%	39%	45%	44%
SERVE
Aces	5	13	2	9	5	34
Double Faults	3	4	4	2	7	20
1st in	88/127	78/119	45/67	56/88	107/164	374/565
% 1st in	69%	66%	67%	64%	65%	66%
1st pts	62/88	56/78	35/45	41/56	75/107	269/374
% 1st pts	70%	72%	78%	73%	70%	72%
2nd pts	17/39	25/41	14/22	21/32	27/57	104/191
% 2nd pts	44%	61%	64%	66%	47%	54%
Breaks
Won	6	4	6	5	7	28
Converted	6/14	4/16	6/8	5/11	7/14	28/63
Converted %	43%	25%	75%	45%	50%	44%
Conceded	18	5	1	4	14	42
Saved	14/18	3/5	0/1	2/4	6/14	25
Saved %	78%	60%	0%	50%	43%	46%
Times Broken	4	2	1	2	8	17

Kyrgios
	R1 Jubb	R2 Krajinovic	R3 Tsitsipas	R4 Nakashima	1/4 Garin	Total
Score	3-6 6-1 7-5 6-73 7-5	6-2 6-3 6-1	6-72 6-4 6-3 7-67	4-6 6-4 7-62 3-6 6-2	6-4 6-3 7-65
Tot Set	5	3	4	5	3	20
Tot Games	53	24	45	50	32	204
pts	166-152	91-53	155-144	147-142	105-97	664-588
Total points	318	144	299	289	202	1252
Winners	80	37	81	81	58	337
%Winners	48%	41%	52%	55%	55%	51%
SERVE
Aces	30	24	14	35	17	120
Double Faults	11	1	1	3	4	20
1st in	107/162	40/57	100/140	104/141	79/114	430/614
% 1st in	66%	70%	71%	74%	69%	70%
1st pts	80/107	37/40	81/100	81/104	58/79	337/430
% 1st pts	75%	93%	81%	78%	73%	78%
2nd pts	32/55	11/17	21/40	18/37	15/35	97/184
% 2nd pts	58%	65%	53%	49%	43%	53%
Breaks
Won	5	6	2	3	3	19
Converted	5/6	6/15	2/14	3/7	3/6	19/48
Converted %	83%	40%	14%	43%	50%	40%
Conceded	13	0	5	7	9	34
Saved	11/13	0/0	5/5	4/7	8/9	28
Saved %	85%	–	100%	57%	89%	66%
Times Broken	2	0	0	3	1	6

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

• Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Cristian GarinGarin (6-4 6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Nicolas Mahut/Edouard Roger-VasselinMahut/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (6-3 6-7¹ 6-1 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Matthew Ebden/Max PurcellEbden/Max Purcell – John Peers/Filip PolasekPeers/Filip Polasek (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Rafael NadalNadal – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (3-6 7-5 3-6 7-5 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic – Kevin Krawietz/Andreas MiesKrawietz/Andreas Mies (6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – David GoffinGoffin (3-6 7-5 2-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jannik SinnerSinner (5-7 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Juan-Sebastian Cabal/Robert FarahCabal/Robert Farah – Denis Kudla/Jack SockKudla/Jack Sock (6-3 6-3 6-7³ 1-1 ret.) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Rafael NadalNadal (3-6) – H2H and prediction