Alex De Minaur and Cristian Garin will fight against each other in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on Court 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.177
Cristian Garin -> 5.5
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Cristian Garin
This will be the 4th time that Alex De Minaur and Cristian Garin clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they played, De Minaur won 6-3 6-3 in the 1st round in Eastbourne back in June 2022.
Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Cristian Garin – Eastbourne 20-June-2022
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, De Minaur reached the 4th round after beating Hugo Dellien 6-1 6-3 7-5, Jack Draper 5-7 7-60 6-2 6-3 and Liam Broady 6-3 6-4 7-5.
In the 3rd round, De Minaur had a good straight sets win against Broady (6-3 6-4 7-5). During the match, De Minaur scored 110 points vs Broady’s 86. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about the service games, De Minaur managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 78% (45/58) of his 1st serve and 60% (27/45) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. De Minaur broke Broady 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (253-151). 7-3 on grass in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has a composed38-18 win-loss record in the last 8 years on grass.
De Minaur’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Barcelona, Lyon and Eastbourne.
De Minaur has an overall 28-15 win-loss record in 2022, 7-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Cristian Garin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 49-22 | 6-6 | 39-13 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-24 | 3-6 | 13-14 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 22-12 | 18-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-23 | 4-5 | 9-11 | 1-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-18 | 2-6 | 15-9 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 43, Christian got to the 4th round after defeating Elias Ymer 6-3 7-5 6-4, Hugo Grenier 6-3 6-1 6-1 and Jenson Brooksby 6-2 6-3 1-6 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Christian had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (6-2 6-3 1-6 6-4). During the match Garin scored 114 points vs Brooksby’s 103. Christian was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Garin bagged 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Cristian Garin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 54% of his first serves in, winning 73% (45/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (24/53) on the 2nd serve. Christian broke Brooksby 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Christian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Christian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Houston.
The Chilean has an overall 15-15 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 101 | 88 |
| Pts | 344-272 | 308-234 |
| Total Points | 616 | 542 |
| Winners | 127 | 122 |
| %Winners | 37% | 40% |
Both De Minaur and Garin played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur conceded 1 set, while Cristian Garin dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, De Minaur and Garin have played the same amount of sets 10. However, De Minaur played 13 games more than Garin. The Australian scored 127 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Christian scored 122 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 34 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 11.3 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 162/296 | 156/265 |
| %1st in | 55% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 127/162 | 122/156 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 77/134 | 56/109 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 51% |
De Minaur blasted 34 aces (11.3 per match). Garin blasted 13 aces (4.3 per match). De Minaur won 78% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Garin won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 18 |
| Converted | 17/36 | 18/32 |
| % Converted | 47% | 56% |
| Conceded | 18 | 18 |
| Saved | 12 | 12 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 |
The Australian broke his opponents 17 times with a 47% conversion rate. De Minaur conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Garin broke his opponents 18 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | |||||
| R1 Dellien | R2 Draper | R3 Broady | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 7-5 | 5-7 7-60 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 42 | 31 | 101 | |
| pts | 101-76 | 133-110 | 110-86 | 344-272 | |
| Total points | 177 | 243 | 196 | 616 | |
| Winners | 34 | 48 | 45 | 127 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 36% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 14 | 13 | 34 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 43/81 | 61/112 | 58/103 | 162/296 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 54% | 56% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 34/43 | 48/61 | 45/58 | 127/162 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/38 | 31/51 | 27/45 | 77/134 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 61% | 60% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 6/14 | 4/12 | 17/36 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 43% | 33% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 8 | 18 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 5/8 | 7/8 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 63% | 88% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Garin | |||||
| R1 Ymer | R2 Grenier | R3 Brooksby | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 1-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 23 | 34 | 88 | |
| pts | 107-79 | 87-52 | 114-103 | 308-234 | |
| Total points | 186 | 139 | 217 | 542 | |
| Winners | 41 | 36 | 45 | 122 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 52/82 | 42/68 | 62/115 | 156/265 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 62% | 54% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 41/52 | 36/42 | 45/62 | 122/156 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 86% | 73% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/30 | 14/26 | 24/53 | 56/109 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 54% | 45% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 6/7 | 6/9 | 18/32 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 86% | 67% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 12 | 18 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 1/1 | 8/12 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 67% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- David GoffinGoffin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-63 5-7 5-7 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Tommy PaulPaul (6-4 7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jannik SinnerJannik – Carlos AlcarazCarlos (6-1 6-4 6-7(8) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Rafael NadalNadal (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (0-0) – H2H and prediction