Cameron Norrie and Tommy Paul will square off in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Court 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cameron Norrie who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cameron Norrie is the pick to win this match.
Cameron Norrie -> 1.56
Tommy Paul -> 2.56

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Tommy Paul

This will be the 5th time that Cameron Norrie and Tommy Paul play each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Norrie and Paul (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.

The last time that they played each other, Norrie won 6-3 6-3 in the semifinal in Delray beach back in February 2022.

Highlights Cameron Norrie vs Tommy Paul – Delray beach 19-February-2022

Cameron Norrie

Cameron Norrie

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
27
High
8
LWWWWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-29 11-15 14-7 10-4 4-3 0-0
2024 24-21 7-4 8-8 6-5 3-4 0-0
2023 36-25 14-12 18-7 1-4 3-2 0-0
2022 49-26 26-11 11-5 6-7 6-3 0-0
2021 56-25 25-11 16-5 9-7 6-2 0-0

Ranked no. 12, the Brit reached the 4th round after defeating Pablo Andujar 6-0 7-63 6-3, Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-0 6-2 and Steve Johnson 6-4 6-1 6-0.

In the 3rd round, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Johnson (6-4 6-1 6-0). During the match, Norrie scored 102 points vs Johnson’s 69. Cameron was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about the service games, Norrie fired 3 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Cameron Norrie was very efficient on serve to win 74% (37/50) of his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Norrie broke Johnson 6 times after converting 29% of his break points (6/21).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brit has surrendered 2 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.

Norrie has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (293-169). 4-2 on grass in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Norrie has a compiled 18-21 win-loss record in the last years on grass.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Delray Beach where he overcame Reilly Opelka in the final 7-6(1) 7-6(4) and in in Lyon where he beat Alex Molcan in the final 6-3 6-7(3) 6-1.

The Brit has a compiled 30-15 win-loss record in 2022, 4-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Wimbledon
Norrie's Record

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
20
High
8
LWWLWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-13 13-6 12-4 3-1 1-2 0-0
2024 45-20 17-12 10-4 8-2 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 32 (career-high), Paul got to the 4th round after defeating Fernando Verdasco 6-1 6-2 7-64, Adrian Mannarino 6-2 6-4 6-1 and Jiri Vesely 6-3 6-2 6-2.

In the 3rd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Vesely (6-3 6-2 6-2). During the match Paul scored 87 points vs Vesely’s 63. Paul was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about serving, Paul fired 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Tommy Paul was exceptionally effective on serve to win 77% (44/57) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tommy broke Vesely 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tommy hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

The American’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Delray Beach.

Tommy has a compiled 23-16 win-loss record in 2022, 7-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2019. See his history.

Wimbledon
Paul's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Norrie
T.Paul
7h:05
7h:05
Time on court​
5h:13
5h:13
1h:50
1h:50
Last match​
1h:32
1h:32
3
3
Match played
3
3
96
96
Games Played​
78
78
11
11
Set played​​
9
9
345
345
Total points​
288
288
115
115
Avg point​
96
96
128
128
Winners
121
121
42.7
42.7
Avg Winners​
40.3
40.3
37%
37%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
20
20
Aces
11
11
6.7
6.7
Avg Aces
3.7
3.7
3
3
Double Faults
5
5
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1.7
1.7
128/182
128/182
1st won total​
121/160
121/160
70%
70%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
66/102
66/102
2nd won total​
49/79
49/79
!
65%
65%
2nd won %
!
62%
62%
-- Break Points --
21/47
21/47
BP won
16/33
16/33
7/15.7
7/15.7
Avg BP won
5.3/11
5.3/11
45%
45%
Won
48%
48%
18
18
Conceded
13
13
6
6
Avg Conceded
4.3
4.3
6
6
Broken
2
2
2
2
Avg Broken
!
0.7
0.7
12
12
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Norrie Paul
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 11 9
Tot Games 96 78
Pts 345-269 288-211
Total Points 614 499
Winners 128 121
%Winners 37% 42%

Both Norrie and Paul played 3 matches. At the moment, Cameron Norrie dropped 2 sets while Tommy Paul hasn’t lost a set so far. Norrie has played 2 sets more than Paul (11 vs 9). Therefore, Norrie played 18 games more than Paul. The Brit scored 128 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Tommy scored 121 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Norrie Paul
Aces 20 11
Avg per match 6.7 3.7
1st in 182/284 160/239
%1st in 64% 67%
1st pts 128/182 121/160
%1st pts 70% 76%
2nd pts 66/102 49/79
%2nd pts 65% 62%

Norrie recorded 20 aces (6.7 per match). Paul recorded 11 aces (3.7 per match). Norrie won 70% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Norrie Paul
Won 21 16
Converted 21/47 16/33
% Converted 45% 48%
Conceded 18 13
Saved 12 11
% Saved 67% 85%
Times Broken 6 2

Norrie broke his opponents 21 times with a 45% conversion rate. Norrie conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Tommy broke his opponents 16 times with a 48% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.

Norrie
R1
Andujar
R2
Munar Clar
R3
Johnson
Total
Score 6-0 7-63 6-3 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-0 6-2 6-4 6-1 6-0
Tot Set 3 5 3 11
Tot Games 28 45 23 96
pts 103-76 140-124 102-69 345-269
Total points 179 264 171 614
Winners 37 54 37 128
%Winners 36% 39% 36% 37%
SERVE
Aces 10 7 3 20
Double Faults 1 2 0 3
1st in 48/76 84/134 50/74 182/284
% 1st in 63% 63% 68% 64%
1st pts 37/48 54/84 37/50 128/182
% 1st pts 77% 64% 74% 70%
2nd pts 19/28 31/50 16/24 66/102
% 2nd pts 68% 62% 67% 65%
Breaks
Won 6 9 6 21
Converted 6/11 9/15 6/21 21/47
Converted % 55% 60% 29% 45%
Conceded 2 13 3 18
Saved 1/2 8/13 3/3 12
Saved % 50% 62% 100% 71%
Times Broken 1 5 0 6
Paul
R1
Verdasco
R2
Mannarino
R3
Vesely
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 7-64 6-2 6-4 6-1 6-3 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 28 25 25 78
pts 99-70 102-78 87-63 288-211
Total points 169 180 150 499
Winners 36 41 44 121
%Winners 36% 40% 51% 42%
SERVE
Aces 0 7 4 11
Double Faults 2 2 1 5
1st in 48/79 55/81 57/79 160/239
% 1st in 61% 68% 72% 67%
1st pts 36/48 41/55 44/57 121/160
% 1st pts 75% 75% 77% 76%
2nd pts 21/31 15/26 13/22 49/79
% 2nd pts 68% 58% 59% 62%
Breaks
Won 6 5 5 16
Converted 6/11 5/13 5/9 16/33
Converted % 55% 38% 56% 48%
Conceded 4 2 7 13
Saved 2/4 2/2 7/7 11
Saved % 50% 100% 100% 83%
Times Broken 2 0 0 2

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

Upcoming matches in the draw