Cameron Norrie and Tommy Paul will square off in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Court 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cameron Norrie who should win in 5 sets.
Cameron Norrie -> 1.56
Tommy Paul -> 2.56
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Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Tommy Paul
This will be the 5th time that Cameron Norrie and Tommy Paul play each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Norrie and Paul (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they played each other, Norrie won 6-3 6-3 in the semifinal in Delray beach back in February 2022.
Highlights Cameron Norrie vs Tommy Paul – Delray beach 19-February-2022
Cameron Norrie
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-29 | 11-15 | 14-7 | 10-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-21 | 7-4 | 8-8 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-25 | 14-12 | 18-7 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 26-11 | 11-5 | 6-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-25 | 25-11 | 16-5 | 9-7 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, the Brit reached the 4th round after defeating Pablo Andujar 6-0 7-63 6-3, Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-0 6-2 and Steve Johnson 6-4 6-1 6-0.
In the 3rd round, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Johnson (6-4 6-1 6-0). During the match, Norrie scored 102 points vs Johnson’s 69. Cameron was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Norrie fired 3 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Cameron Norrie was very efficient on serve to win 74% (37/50) of his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Norrie broke Johnson 6 times after converting 29% of his break points (6/21).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit has surrendered 2 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Norrie has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (293-169). 4-2 on grass in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Norrie has a compiled 18-21 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Delray Beach where he overcame Reilly Opelka in the final 7-6(1) 7-6(4) and in in Lyon where he beat Alex Molcan in the final 6-3 6-7(3) 6-1.
The Brit has a compiled 30-15 win-loss record in 2022, 4-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-13 | 13-6 | 12-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32 (career-high), Paul got to the 4th round after defeating Fernando Verdasco 6-1 6-2 7-64, Adrian Mannarino 6-2 6-4 6-1 and Jiri Vesely 6-3 6-2 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Vesely (6-3 6-2 6-2). During the match Paul scored 87 points vs Vesely’s 63. Paul was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Paul fired 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Tommy Paul was exceptionally effective on serve to win 77% (44/57) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tommy broke Vesely 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tommy hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Delray Beach.
Tommy has a compiled 23-16 win-loss record in 2022, 7-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Norrie | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 96 | 78 |
| Pts | 345-269 | 288-211 |
| Total Points | 614 | 499 |
| Winners | 128 | 121 |
| %Winners | 37% | 42% |
Both Norrie and Paul played 3 matches. At the moment, Cameron Norrie dropped 2 sets while Tommy Paul hasn’t lost a set so far. Norrie has played 2 sets more than Paul (11 vs 9). Therefore, Norrie played 18 games more than Paul. The Brit scored 128 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Tommy scored 121 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Norrie | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 6.7 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 182/284 | 160/239 |
| %1st in | 64% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 128/182 | 121/160 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 66/102 | 49/79 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 62% |
Norrie recorded 20 aces (6.7 per match). Paul recorded 11 aces (3.7 per match). Norrie won 70% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Norrie | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 16 |
| Converted | 21/47 | 16/33 |
| % Converted | 45% | 48% |
| Conceded | 18 | 13 |
| Saved | 12 | 11 |
| % Saved | 67% | 85% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 |
Norrie broke his opponents 21 times with a 45% conversion rate. Norrie conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Tommy broke his opponents 16 times with a 48% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.
| Norrie | |||||
| R1 Andujar | R2 Munar Clar | R3 Johnson | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-63 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-0 6-2 | 6-4 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 45 | 23 | 96 | |
| pts | 103-76 | 140-124 | 102-69 | 345-269 | |
| Total points | 179 | 264 | 171 | 614 | |
| Winners | 37 | 54 | 37 | 128 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 39% | 36% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 7 | 3 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 48/76 | 84/134 | 50/74 | 182/284 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | 68% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 37/48 | 54/84 | 37/50 | 128/182 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 64% | 74% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/28 | 31/50 | 16/24 | 66/102 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 62% | 67% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 9 | 6 | 21 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 9/15 | 6/21 | 21/47 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 60% | 29% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 13 | 3 | 18 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 8/13 | 3/3 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 62% | 100% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 | |
| Paul | |||||
| R1 Verdasco | R2 Mannarino | R3 Vesely | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 7-64 | 6-2 6-4 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 25 | 25 | 78 | |
| pts | 99-70 | 102-78 | 87-63 | 288-211 | |
| Total points | 169 | 180 | 150 | 499 | |
| Winners | 36 | 41 | 44 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% | 51% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 48/79 | 55/81 | 57/79 | 160/239 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 68% | 72% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 36/48 | 41/55 | 44/57 | 121/160 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | 77% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/31 | 15/26 | 13/22 | 49/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 58% | 59% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 5/13 | 5/9 | 16/33 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 38% | 56% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/2 | 7/7 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 100% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-2 6-3 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-4 6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Liam BroadyBroady (6-3 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Jack SockSock (6-2 4-6 5-7 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Richard GasquetGasquet (7-5 2-6 7-67 6-1) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexander BublikBublik (3-6 7-61 7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-4 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-0 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Ugo HumbertHumbert (4-6 7-5 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Steve JohnsonJohnson (6-4 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jiri VeselyVesely (6-3 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Oscar OtteOtte (6-3 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – John IsnerIsner (6-4 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-2 6-3 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Liam BroadyBroady (6-3 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Jack SockSock (6-2 4-6 5-7 7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-4 6-1 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Richard GasquetGasquet (7-5 2-6 7-6(7) 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Rafael NadalNadal (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Tommy PaulPaul (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-1) – H2H and prediction