Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner will square off in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 5 sets.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.52
Jannik Sinner -> 2.68
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner
This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they locked horns, Alcaraz won 7-6(1) 7-5 in the 2nd round in Paris back in 2021.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner – Paris 03-November-2021
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 71-9 | 28-4 | 22-1 | 10-3 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Carlos got to the 4th round after beating Jan-Lennard Struff 4-6 7-5 4-6 7-63 6-4, Tallon Griekspoor 6-4 7-60 6-3 and Oscar Otte 6-3 6-1 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Otte (6-3 6-1 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 96 points vs Otte’s 60. Alcaraz was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz struck 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was pretty effective on serve to win 88% (35/40) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alcaraz broke Otte 6 times after converting 30% of his break points (6/20).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos has lost 2 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 5 years having won 78% of his matches (146-42). 3-0 on grass in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has an aggregate4-1 win-loss record in the last 5 years on grass.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Rio de Janeiro where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Miami where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-5 6-4 and in in Barcelona where he overcame Pablo Carreno-Busta in the final 6-3 6-2 and in in Madrid where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 6-1.
The Spaniard has an overall 35-4 win-loss record in 2022, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58-6 | 24-3 | 11-2 | 15-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Jannik got to the 4th round after beating Stan Wawrinka 7-5 4-6 6-3 6-2, Mikael Ymer 6-4 6-3 5-7 6-2 and John Isner 6-4 7-64 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Isner (6-4 7-64 6-3). During the match Sinner scored 106 points vs Isner’s 88. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Sinner made 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jannik Sinner was quite efficient on serve to win 81% (43/53) of his 1st serve and 69% (29/42) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Isner twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Sinner has an overall 30-8 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 111 | 110 |
| Pts | 391-330 | 376-312 |
| Total Points | 721 | 688 |
| Winners | 167 | 150 |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% |
Both Alcaraz and Sinner played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz conceded 2 sets, while Jannik Sinner conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Sinner have played the same amount of sets 11. However, Alcaraz played 1 game more than Sinner. Alcaraz scored 167 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 150 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 42 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 14 | 5 |
| 1st in | 210/334 | 190/317 |
| %1st in | 63% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 167/210 | 150/190 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 73/124 | 78/127 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 61% |
Alcaraz managed to score 42 aces (14 per match). Sinner scored 15 aces (5 per match). Alcaraz won 80% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Sinner won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 13 |
| Converted | 11/43 | 13/38 |
| % Converted | 26% | 34% |
| Conceded | 15 | 11 |
| Saved | 12 | 6 |
| % Saved | 80% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 11 times with a 26% conversion rate. Alcaraz dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Jannik broke his opponents 13 times with a 34% conversion rate. Sinner conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||
| R1 Struff | R2 Griekspoor | R3 Otte | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-5 4-6 7-63 6-4 | 6-4 7-60 6-3 | 6-3 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 55 | 32 | 24 | 111 | |
| pts | 192-188 | 103-82 | 96-60 | 391-330 | |
| Total points | 380 | 185 | 156 | 721 | |
| Winners | 84 | 48 | 35 | 167 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 47% | 36% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 30 | 9 | 3 | 42 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 4 | 3 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 111/170 | 59/100 | 40/64 | 210/334 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 59% | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 84/111 | 48/59 | 35/40 | 167/210 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 81% | 88% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 33/59 | 25/41 | 15/24 | 73/124 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 61% | 63% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 2/14 | 3/9 | 6/20 | 11/43 | |
| Converted % | 14% | 33% | 30% | 26% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 1 | 15 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 5/6 | 1/1 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 83% | 100% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Sinner | |||||
| R1 Wawrinka | R2 Ymer | R3 Isner | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 5-7 6-2 | 6-4 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 39 | 39 | 32 | 110 | |
| pts | 134-114 | 136-110 | 106-88 | 376-312 | |
| Total points | 248 | 246 | 194 | 688 | |
| Winners | 57 | 50 | 43 | 150 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 37% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 4 | 2 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 74/116 | 63/106 | 53/95 | 190/317 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 59% | 56% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 57/74 | 50/63 | 43/53 | 150/190 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 79% | 81% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/42 | 24/43 | 29/42 | 78/127 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 56% | 69% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 2 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 6/19 | 2/4 | 13/38 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 32% | 50% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 0 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 50% | – | 37% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Liam BroadyBroady (6-3 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Jack SockSock (6-2 4-6 5-7 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Richard GasquetGasquet (7-5 2-6 7-67 6-1) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-2 6-3 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-4 6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – John IsnerIsner (6-4 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexander BublikBublik (3-6 7-61 7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-4 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-0 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Ugo HumbertHumbert (4-6 7-5 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Steve JohnsonJohnson (6-4 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jiri VeselyVesely (6-3 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Oscar OtteOtte (6-3 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-2 6-3 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Liam BroadyBroady (6-3 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Jack SockSock (6-2 4-6 5-7 7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-4 6-1 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Richard GasquetGasquet (7-5 2-6 7-6(7) 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Rafael NadalNadal (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Tommy PaulPaul (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-1) – H2H and prediction