Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner will square off in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.52
Jannik Sinner -> 2.68

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner

This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.

The last time that they locked horns, Alcaraz won 7-6(1) 7-5 in the 2nd round in Paris back in 2021.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner – Paris 03-November-2021

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 7, Carlos got to the 4th round after beating Jan-Lennard Struff 4-6 7-5 4-6 7-63 6-4, Tallon Griekspoor 6-4 7-60 6-3 and Oscar Otte 6-3 6-1 6-2.

In the 3rd round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Otte (6-3 6-1 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 96 points vs Otte’s 60. Alcaraz was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz struck 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was pretty effective on serve to win 88% (35/40) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alcaraz broke Otte 6 times after converting 30% of his break points (6/20).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Carlos has lost 2 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 5 years having won 78% of his matches (146-42). 3-0 on grass in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has an aggregate4-1 win-loss record in the last 5 years on grass.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Rio de Janeiro where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Miami where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-5 6-4 and in in Barcelona where he overcame Pablo Carreno-Busta in the final 6-3 6-2 and in in Madrid where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 6-1.

The Spaniard has an overall 35-4 win-loss record in 2022, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Wimbledon
Alcaraz's Record

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 58-6 24-3 11-2 15-0 8-1 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0

Ranked no. 13, Jannik got to the 4th round after beating Stan Wawrinka 7-5 4-6 6-3 6-2, Mikael Ymer 6-4 6-3 5-7 6-2 and John Isner 6-4 7-64 6-3.

In the 3rd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Isner (6-4 7-64 6-3). During the match Sinner scored 106 points vs Isner’s 88. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.

About the serving games, Sinner made 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jannik Sinner was quite efficient on serve to win 81% (43/53) of his 1st serve and 69% (29/42) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Isner twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Sinner has an overall 30-8 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021. See his history.

Wimbledon
Sinner's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
J.Sinner
7h:55
7h:55
Time on court​
8h:04
8h:04
1h:38
1h:38
Last match​
!
2h:20
2h:20
3
3
Match played
3
3
111
111
Games Played​
110
110
11
11
Set played​​
11
11
391
391
Total points​
376
376
130.3
130.3
Avg point​
125.3
125.3
167
167
Winners
150
150
55.7
55.7
Avg Winners​
50
50
43%
43%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
42
42
Aces
15
15
!
14
14
Avg Aces
5
5
14
14
Double Faults
11
11
4.7
4.7
Avg Double Faults
3.7
3.7
167/210
167/210
1st won total​
150/190
150/190
!
80%
80%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
73/124
73/124
2nd won total​
78/127
78/127
59%
59%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
11/43
11/43
BP won
13/38
13/38
3.7/14.3
3.7/14.3
Avg BP won
4.3/12.7
4.3/12.7
!
26%
26%
Won
34%
34%
15
15
Conceded
11
11
5
5
Avg Conceded
3.7
3.7
3
3
Broken
5
5
1
1
Avg Broken
1.7
1.7
12
12
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Sinner
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 11 11
Tot Games 111 110
Pts 391-330 376-312
Total Points 721 688
Winners 167 150
%Winners 43% 40%

Both Alcaraz and Sinner played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz conceded 2 sets, while Jannik Sinner conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Sinner have played the same amount of sets 11. However, Alcaraz played 1 game more than Sinner. Alcaraz scored 167 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 150 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Sinner
Aces 42 15
Avg per match 14 5
1st in 210/334 190/317
%1st in 63% 60%
1st pts 167/210 150/190
%1st pts 80% 79%
2nd pts 73/124 78/127
%2nd pts 59% 61%

Alcaraz managed to score 42 aces (14 per match). Sinner scored 15 aces (5 per match). Alcaraz won 80% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Sinner won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Sinner
Won 11 13
Converted 11/43 13/38
% Converted 26% 34%
Conceded 15 11
Saved 12 6
% Saved 80% 55%
Times Broken 3 5

The Spaniard broke his opponents 11 times with a 26% conversion rate. Alcaraz dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Jannik broke his opponents 13 times with a 34% conversion rate. Sinner conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R1
Struff
R2
Griekspoor
R3
Otte
Total
Score 4-6 7-5 4-6 7-63 6-4 6-4 7-60 6-3 6-3 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 5 3 3 11
Tot Games 55 32 24 111
pts 192-188 103-82 96-60 391-330
Total points 380 185 156 721
Winners 84 48 35 167
%Winners 44% 47% 36% 43%
SERVE
Aces 30 9 3 42
Double Faults 7 4 3 14
1st in 111/170 59/100 40/64 210/334
% 1st in 65% 59% 63% 63%
1st pts 84/111 48/59 35/40 167/210
% 1st pts 76% 81% 88% 80%
2nd pts 33/59 25/41 15/24 73/124
% 2nd pts 56% 61% 63% 59%
Breaks
Won 2 3 6 11
Converted 2/14 3/9 6/20 11/43
Converted % 14% 33% 30% 26%
Conceded 8 6 1 15
Saved 6/8 5/6 1/1 12
Saved % 75% 83% 100% 86%
Times Broken 2 1 0 3
Sinner
R1
Wawrinka
R2
Ymer
R3
Isner
Total
Score 7-5 4-6 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-3 5-7 6-2 6-4 7-64 6-3
Tot Set 4 4 3 11
Tot Games 39 39 32 110
pts 134-114 136-110 106-88 376-312
Total points 248 246 194 688
Winners 57 50 43 150
%Winners 43% 37% 41% 40%
SERVE
Aces 9 4 2 15
Double Faults 3 5 3 11
1st in 74/116 63/106 53/95 190/317
% 1st in 64% 59% 56% 60%
1st pts 57/74 50/63 43/53 150/190
% 1st pts 77% 79% 81% 79%
2nd pts 25/42 24/43 29/42 78/127
% 2nd pts 60% 56% 69% 61%
Breaks
Won 5 6 2 13
Converted 5/15 6/19 2/4 13/38
Converted % 33% 32% 50% 34%
Conceded 5 6 0 11
Saved 3/5 3/6 0/0 6
Saved % 60% 50% 37%
Times Broken 2 3 0 5

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

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