Rafael Nadal and Lorenzo Sonego will face off in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.148
Lorenzo Sonego -> 6.25
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Lorenzo Sonego
There is no head to head record between Rafael Nadal and Lorenzo Sonego since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Rafael Nadal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11-6 | 2-1 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-8 | 23-3 | 10-2 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-5 | 5-2 | 19-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-7 | 13-3 | 9-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Nadal reached the 3rd round after defeating Francisco Cerundolo 6-4 6-3 3-6 6-4 and Richard Berankis 6-4 6-4 4-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Rafael had a good straight sets win against Berankis (6-4 6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match, Nadal scored 131 points vs Berankis’s 115. Nadal was very aggressive to blast 56 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nadal scored 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Rafael Nadal was pretty effective on serve to win 72% (56/78) of his 1st serve and 61% (25/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Spaniard broke Berankis 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rafael has lost 2 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Nadal has a marvellous match record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (477-90). 2-0 on grass in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Nadal has an aggregate 23-8 record in the last years on grass.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Melbourne where he defeated Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3 and in at the Australian Open where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5 and in in Acapulco where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4 and in at the French Open where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 6-3 6-3 6-0.
Nadal has an overall 32-3 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Lorenzo Sonego
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-22 | 4-8 | 9-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-31 | 10-12 | 9-7 | 9-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-29 | 7-9 | 8-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 9-11 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-15 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 54, Lorenzo got to the 3rd round after defeating Denis Kudla 6-76 6-3 7-5 4-6 6-2 and Hugo Gaston 7-64 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Gaston (7-64 6-4 6-4). During the match Sonego scored 116 points vs Gaston’s 99. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Sonego recorded 6 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Lorenzo Sonego was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (44/57) of his 1st serve and 62% (23/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sonego broke Gaston 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Lorenzo’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Buenos Aires.
Lorenzo has an aggregate 17-17 win-loss record in 2022, 5-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 77 | 85 |
| Pts | 265-238 | 287-256 |
| Total Points | 503 | 543 |
| Winners | 118 | 136 |
| %Winners | 45% | 47% |
Both Nadal and Sonego played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Rafael Nadal conceded 2 sets, while Lorenzo Sonego conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Nadal and Sonego have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Nadal played 8 games less than Sonego. Rafael scored 118 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 136 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 9.5 |
| 1st in | 166/246 | 186/261 |
| %1st in | 67% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 118/166 | 136/186 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 42/80 | 40/75 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 53% |
Nadal recorded 18 aces (9 per match). Sonego managed to score 19 aces (9.5 per match). Nadal won 71% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 11 |
| Converted | 10/30 | 11/30 |
| % Converted | 33% | 37% |
| Conceded | 23 | 18 |
| Saved | 17 | 13 |
| % Saved | 74% | 72% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 5 |
Nadal broke his opponents 10 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve 6 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. Sonego broke his opponents 11 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | ||||
| R1 Cerundolo |
R2 Berankis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 38 | 39 | 77 | |
| pts | 134-123 | 131-115 | 265-238 | |
| Total points | 257 | 246 | 503 | |
| Winners | 62 | 56 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 43% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 13 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 88/127 | 78/119 | 166/246 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 66% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 62/88 | 56/78 | 118/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 72% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/39 | 25/41 | 42/80 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 61% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 4/16 | 10/30 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 25% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 18 | 5 | 23 | |
| Saved | 14/18 | 3/5 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 60% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Sonego | ||||
| R1 Kudla |
R2 Gaston |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-76 6-3 7-5 4-6 6-2 | 7-64 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 52 | 33 | 85 | |
| pts | 171-157 | 116-99 | 287-256 | |
| Total points | 328 | 215 | 543 | |
| Winners | 92 | 44 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 38% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 13 | 6 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 129/167 | 57/94 | 186/261 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 61% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 92/129 | 44/57 | 136/186 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 77% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 23/37 | 40/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 62% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 8/17 | 3/13 | 11/30 | |
| Converted % | 47% | 23% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 3 | 18 | |
| Saved | 11/15 | 2/3 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 67% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLWLW
WLWLWLWLWL Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jiri VeselyVesely (6-3 6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-4 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexander BublikBublik (3-6 7-61 7-63 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicNovak – Miomir KecmanovicMiomir (6-0 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- David GoffinDavid – Ugo HumbertUgo (4-6 7-5 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – John IsnerIsner (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Oscar OtteOtte – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – David GoffinGoffin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Steve JohnsonJohnson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Liam BroadyBroady (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jack SockSock – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Richard GasquetGasquet – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Rafael NadalNadal (0-0) – H2H and prediction
