Frances Tiafoe and Alexander Bublik will clash against each other in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on Court 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Bublik is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.89
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.99

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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Alexander Bublik

This will be the 3rd time that Frances Tiafoe and Alexander Bublik fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.

The last time that they locked horns, Bublik won 5-7 7-6(4) 6-0 in the 1st round in Eastbourne back in June 2022.

Highlights Alexander Bublik vs Frances Tiafoe – Eastbourne 20-June-2022

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
30
High
10
LLLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-23 13-13 11-7 1-1 1-2 0-0
2024 33-27 21-13 5-6 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 40-21 21-10 8-4 4-5 7-2 0-0
2022 35-25 19-11 8-6 5-5 3-3 0-0
2021 42-27 19-13 4-7 10-4 9-3 0-0

Ranked no. 28, Francis reached the 3rd round after defeating Andrea Vavassori 6-4 6-4 6-4 and Maximilian Marterer 6-2 6-2 7-63.

In the 2nd round, Tiafoe had a good straight sets win against Marterer (6-2 6-2 7-63). During the match, Tiafoe scored 95 points vs Marterer’s 64. Francis was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about the service games, Tiafoe bagged 15 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Frances Tiafoe was extremely effective on serve to win 90% (43/48) of his 1st serve and 77% (17/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Francis broke Marterer 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

Tiafoe has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 58% of his matches (280-200). 2-2 on grass in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Tiafoe has an overall20-16 record in the last 9 years on grass.

Francis’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Estoril.

Tiafoe has a composed 14-13 win-loss record in 2022, 2-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Wimbledon
Tiafoe's Record

Alexander Bublik

Alexander Bublik

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
11
High
11
LLWWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-24 12-11 23-6 8-6 5-1 0-0
2024 25-25 10-11 5-6 6-4 4-4 0-0
2023 28-30 3-12 7-9 9-7 9-2 0-0
2022 33-27 5-8 2-6 17-8 9-5 0-0
2021 35-30 14-12 4-6 10-8 7-4 0-0

Ranked no. 38, Bublik got to the 3rd round after defeating Marton Fucsovics 6-1 6-2 6-4 and Dusan Lajovic 7-67 6-2 7-5.

In the 2nd round, Bublik had a good straight sets win against Lajovic (7-67 6-2 7-5). During the match Bublik scored 107 points vs Lajovic’s 89. The Kazakhstani was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about serving, Bublik scored 17 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Alexander Bublik was extremely efficient on serve to win 86% (44/51) of his 1st serve and 65% (28/43) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bublik broke Lajovic 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Montpellier where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-4 6-3.

Bublik has an aggregate 19-16 win-loss record in 2022, 6-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See his history.

Wimbledon
Bublik's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

F.Tiafoe
A.Bublik
3h:23
3h:23
Time on court​
3h:23
3h:23
1h:36
1h:36
Last match​
!
2h:01
2h:01
2
2
Match played
2
2
59
59
Games Played​
58
58
6
6
Set played​​
6
6
195
195
Total points​
198
198
97.5
97.5
Avg point​
99
99
89
89
Winners
86
86
44.5
44.5
Avg Winners​
43
43
46%
46%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
19
19
Aces
33
33
9.5
9.5
Avg Aces
!
16.5
16.5
1
1
Double Faults
10
10
0.5
0.5
Avg Double Faults
5
5
89/101
89/101
1st won total​
86/101
86/101
!
88%
88%
1st won %
!
85%
85%
32/44
32/44
2nd won total​
41/72
41/72
!
73%
73%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
8/16
8/16
BP won
8/16
8/16
4/8
4/8
Avg BP won
4/8
4/8
50%
50%
Won
50%
50%
4
4
Conceded
6
6
2
2
Avg Conceded
3
3
1
1
Broken
0
0
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
!
0
0
3
3
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tiafoe Bublik
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 6
Tot Games 59 58
Pts 195-138 198-153
Total Points 333 351
Winners 89 86
%Winners 46% 43%

Both Tiafoe and Bublik played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Tiafoe and Bublik have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Tiafoe played 1 game more than Bublik. Francis scored 89 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Alexander made 86 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tiafoe Bublik
Aces 19 33
Avg per match 9.5 16.5
1st in 101/145 101/173
%1st in 70% 58%
1st pts 89/101 86/101
%1st pts 88% 85%
2nd pts 32/44 41/72
%2nd pts 73% 57%

Tiafoe recorded 19 aces (9.5 per match). Bublik fired 33 aces (16.5 per match). Tiafoe won 88% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 73% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tiafoe Bublik
Won 8 8
Converted 8/16 8/16
% Converted 50% 50%
Conceded 4 6
Saved 3 6
% Saved 75% 100%
Times Broken 1 0

Francis broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Francis dropped his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Bublik broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 6 break points.

Tiafoe
R1
Vavassori
R2
Marterer
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-4 6-2 6-2 7-63
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 30 29 59
pts 100-74 95-64 195-138
Total points 174 159 333
Winners 46 43 89
%Winners 46% 45% 46%
SERVE
Aces 4 15 19
Double Faults 1 0 1
1st in 53/75 48/70 101/145
% 1st in 71% 69% 70%
1st pts 46/53 43/48 89/101
% 1st pts 87% 90% 88%
2nd pts 15/22 17/22 32/44
% 2nd pts 68% 77% 73%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/10 4/6 8/16
Converted % 40% 67% 50%
Conceded 4 0 4
Saved 3/4 0/0 3
Saved % 75% 38%
Times Broken 1 0 1
Bublik
R1
Fucsovics
R2
Lajovic
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-4 7-67 6-2 7-5
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 25 33 58
pts 91-64 107-89 198-153
Total points 155 196 351
Winners 42 44 86
%Winners 46% 41% 43%
SERVE
Aces 16 17 33
Double Faults 5 5 10
1st in 50/79 51/94 101/173
% 1st in 63% 54% 58%
1st pts 42/50 44/51 86/101
% 1st pts 84% 86% 85%
2nd pts 13/29 28/43 41/72
% 2nd pts 45% 65% 57%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/10 3/6 8/16
Converted % 50% 50% 50%
Conceded 4 2 6
Saved 4/4 2/2 6
Saved % 100% 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

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